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Supply & Demand Scenario Watchlist — 2026-10-03

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Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-10-02 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source)

Final setups

All candidates

175

Bullish / bearish

4 / 4

Avg. distance

1.77%

🎯 Primed — Top 5 (day-reachable)

Highest-conviction day-trade names — composite of the signals that trend our way in testing (A+ grade, with the weekly trend, price near the zone, RSI momentum, validated-edge badge), and the target must be reachable in a day (T1 ≤1.8× ATR). Swing-distance setups are excluded here — see the Swing Top-5. A curated ranking, not a proven hard edge — tracked forward.

Name	Setup	Zone	T1 R:R	Primed	Why
APP	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls	$270.37–$272.71	1:3.68	8.0	near zone (sweet-spot) validated edge R:R ≥2 target reachable
COIN	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts	$180.81–$182.38	1:4.34	8.0	near zone (sweet-spot) validated edge R:R ≥2 target reachable
NET	Supply Rejection — Puts → puts	$350.01–$356.72	1:3.11	8.0	near zone (sweet-spot) RSI momentum validated edge R:R ≥2
COIN	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls	$180.81–$182.38	1:1.12	5.0	near zone (sweet-spot) validated edge target reachable

🌙 Swing — Top 5

Best multi-day holds by the signals proven for far-target swings — a calm/ranging tape (the regime where these pay), with the weekly trend, directional volume, grade, and the far-target R:R. These reach a distant zone, so they need days, not one session — size and stops for a swing. A curated ranking, tracked forward.

Name	Setup	Zone	Target R:R	Swing	Why
APP	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls	$270.37–$272.71	1:3.68 (2.0× ATR)	4.0	regime-caution directional volume R:R ≥3
COIN	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts	$180.81–$182.38	1:4.34 (2.9× ATR)	4.0	regime-caution directional volume R:R ≥3
ASTS	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls	$55.60–$58.18	1:4.21 (3.1× ATR)	4.0	regime-caution directional volume R:R ≥3
NET	Supply Rejection — Puts → puts	$350.01–$356.72	1:3.11 (1.5× ATR)	4.0	regime-caution directional volume R:R ≥3
MSFT	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls	$512.35–$515.51	1:5.03 (2.1× ATR)	4.0	regime-caution directional volume R:R ≥3

✅ Confirmations that have worked (our backtests + trade review)

Before entry — only take it if:

On today's list and trading its direction (counter-scanner was 17% win / off-list −$7.4k).
Price on the with-trade side of the day's OPEN (calls above, puts below) — the one entry filter that separated your winners (43% vs 31%).
Setup carries a validated-edge badge — Steady momentum and/or Textbook geometry (the +0.30–0.55R cells).
Continuation or demand-bounce, not a rejection (your log: bounces 71% vs rejections 27%).
Breakouts only: daily RSI extended with the move (RSI ≥70 on supply breaks backtested 57% win / +0.35R).
Volume expanding in the trade's direction (VPA) — not absorption / being faded.

Managing the trade:

Hold the 2–3 hour thesis on a 20% stop (1–3hr holds won 56%; tighter stops got noise-clipped).
Take profit into the ~0.3-ATR pop — don't hold for +60% the move rarely reaches.
Move stop to breakeven once up ~⅓R (31% of losers were green first).

Not discriminating in your data (skip as "confirmation"): VWAP, raw volume, or 9EMA alone — the items above are what actually separated winners from losers.

Mag7 — Next-Day Signal Summary

Core names at a glance for tomorrow, whether or not they made the final list. 🟢 = setup carries a backtest-validated edge (Textbook geometry / Steady momentum — the strongest cells in the backtest); 🟡 = setup present, no validated edge; ⚪ = no setup near price.

Name	Signal / lean	Best next-day setup	Validated edge	Nearest S/D	Regime · Weekly · RS
AAPL $333.60	🟡 calls · trend-aligned	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls @ $333.41 · R:R 1:0.46 (developing) zone $323.38–$333.41 · grade B	Textbook	S $338.34 / D $333.41	ranging · calm bullish wk · lagging QQQ by -2.8% over 20d
AMZN $251.39	🟡 calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls @ $250.81 · R:R 1:2.08 (developing) zone $250.02–$250.81 · grade B	Steady mom.	S $254.24 / D $250.81	ranging · calm bearish-leaning wk · lagging QQQ by -7.3% over 20d
GOOGL $343.25	🟡 puts · trend-aligned	Supply Rejection — Puts → puts @ $348.64 · R:R 1:0.37 (developing) zone $348.64–$353.87 · grade B	Textbook	S $348.64 / D $339.27	choppy · normal bearish wk · lagging QQQ by -4.1% over 20d
META $727.65	🟡 puts	Supply Rejection — Puts → puts @ $728.43 · R:R 1:1.09 (developing) zone $728.43–$741.58 · grade B	Textbook	S $728.43 / D $712.53	transitional · volatile bullish wk · leading QQQ by +14.8% over 20d
MSFT $517.19	🟢 calls · trend-aligned	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls @ $515.51 · R:R 1:5.03 ★ final list zone $512.35–$515.51 · grade A+	Steady mom.	S $541.55 / D $515.51	trending up · normal bullish wk · lagging QQQ by -3.0% over 20d
NVDA $234.22	🟡 puts	Supply Rejection — Puts → puts @ $234.87 · R:R 1:0.77 (developing) zone $234.87–$237.88 · grade B	Textbook	S $234.87 / D $231.42	trending up · calm bullish wk · lagging QQQ by -2.0% over 20d
TSLA $371.43	🟡 calls · trend-aligned	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls @ $362.07 · R:R 1:0.37 (developing) zone $323.64–$362.07 · grade B	Steady mom.	S $389.04 / D $362.07	ranging · calm bullish-leaning wk · lagging QQQ by -6.0% over 20d

Excellent: 1:4+ Strong: 1:2.5–1:3.99 Acceptable: 1:2.0–1:2.49 Watch only: 1:1.5–1:1.99 Poor: <1:1.5

Quick View — A+ setups

Section	Symbol	Contract	Scenario	Setup Grade	Current Price	Zone	Distance	T1 R:R	R:R Range	Target Ladder
Near-Term	APP	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	A+	$268.09	2H/90m/1H supply $270.37–$272.71	1.72%	1:3.68	T1 1:3.68 → T3 1:14.08	T1: 1D/4H/2H/1H supply @ 281.31 (RR 3.68, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0) \| T2: 3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 299.13 (RR 11.29, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.5)
Near-Term	COIN	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	A+	$183.26	2H/90m/1H demand $180.81–$182.38	1.34%	1:4.34	T1 1:4.34 → T3 1:25.40	T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 173.99 (RR 4.34, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.5) \| T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18 (RR 20.78, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0)
Near-Term	ASTS	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	A+	$58.48	1D/4H/2H/90m/1H demand $55.60–$58.18	0.51%	1:4.21	T1 1:4.21 → T3 1:7.69	T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 70.62 (RR 4.21, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.8) \| T2: 4H/2H supply @ 75.59 (RR 5.94, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 5.3, soft obstacle: low_quality)
Near-Term	NET	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	A+	$348.91	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $350.01–$356.72	0.32%	1:3.11	T1 1:3.11 → T3 1:4.62	T1: 1D/90m/1H demand @ 324.65 (RR 3.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) \| T2: 90m demand @ 320.14 (RR 3.68, fresh, tests 0, quality 8.7)
Near-Term	MSFT	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	A+	$517.19	2H/90m/1H demand $512.35–$515.51	0.32%	1:5.03	T1 1:5.03	T1: 1D supply @ 541.55 (RR 5.03, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2)
Future	CRM	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	A+	$233.97	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $223.43–$229.62	4.51%	1:2.80	T1 1:2.80 → T3 1:4.96	T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 206.11 (RR 2.80, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.5) \| T2: 1D/3H demand @ 198.41 (RR 4.04, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.8)
Future	ASTS	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	A+	$58.48	1D/4H/2H/90m/1H demand $55.60–$58.18	4.93%	1:2.53	T1 1:2.53 → T3 1:6.54	T1: 1D demand @ 49.08 (RR 2.53, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.1) \| T2: 1D demand @ 41.93 (RR 5.30, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.6)

Final / Actionable Setups

📈 APP — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade A+ Textbook geometry ⚡ 0DTE-OK 🌙 Swing: regime-caution Calls

Latest price ~15-min delayed

$268.09
as of 2026-10-02 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.

Distance to zone

1.72% • $4.61 • 0.30× ATR

How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.

Daily ATR

$15.61

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

28.4 (oversold)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-09 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-11-04 (32d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-09) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

volume expansion with direction
rejecting from supply • no meaningful gap

Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.

Zone

2H/90m/1H supply
$270.37–$272.71

T1 R:R

1:3.68

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/4H/2H/1H supply @ 281.31	1:3.68	Fresh
T2	3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 299.13	1:11.29	Fresh

Calls confirmation checklist

□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure

📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $272.71 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 2H supply zone identified at $270.37–$272.71 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $281.31, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.

Daily trend: APP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): APP weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 33.4).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -18.9% over 20d (APP -14.5% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.99x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $4.62 approach to the trigger, $2.34 zone thickness (the stop), $8.60 runway to the next zone -- 3.7:1 at the trigger, 0.85x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else).

📉 COIN — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade A+ Textbook geometry ⚡ 0DTE-OK 🌙 Swing: regime-caution Puts

Latest price ~15-min delayed

$183.26
as of 2026-10-02 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.

Distance to zone

1.34% • $2.46 • 0.20× ATR

Daily ATR

$12.20

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

49.5 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-09 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-10-29 (26d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-09) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap

Zone

2H/90m/1H demand
$180.81–$182.38

Tight core (where 3 zones align): $181.49–$182.16 — precise level to watch inside the zone.

T1 R:R

1:4.34

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 173.99	1:4.34	Fresh
T2	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18	1:20.78	Fresh

Puts confirmation checklist

□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure

📉 Break Below Demand $180.81 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 2H demand zone below $180.81 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $173.99, holding below the 9EMA.

Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): COIN weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 51.1).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -9.5% over 20d (COIN -5.0% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.87x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.45 approach to the trigger, $1.57 zone thickness (the stop), $6.82 runway to the next zone -- 4.3:1 at the trigger, 0.76x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else).

📈 ASTS — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Swing-only 🌙 Swing: regime-caution Calls

Latest price ~15-min delayed

$58.48
as of 2026-10-02 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.

Distance to zone

0.51% • $0.30 • 0.08× ATR

Daily ATR

$3.94

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

44.7 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-09 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-11-09 (37d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-09) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into supply

Zone

1D/4H/2H/90m/1H demand
$55.60–$58.18

Tight core (where 9 zones align): $56.92–$57.31 — precise level to watch inside the zone.

T1 R:R

1:4.21

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 70.62	1:4.21	Fresh
T2	4H/2H supply @ 75.59	1:5.94	2 tests

Calls confirmation checklist

□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving

📈 Demand Zone Test $58.18 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $55.60–$58.18. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $70.62, holding above the 9EMA.

Daily trend: ASTS is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): ASTS weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 43.8).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -10.4% over 20d (ASTS -5.9% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.08x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.30 to reach the zone, $2.58 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $12.44 runway to the target -- 4.8:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (4.8x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).

📉 NET — Supply Rejection — Puts

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Swing-only 🌙 Swing: regime-caution Puts

Latest price ~15-min delayed

$348.91
as of 2026-10-02 07:50 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.

Distance to zone

0.32% • $1.12 • 0.07× ATR

Daily ATR

$16.16

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

60.3 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-09 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-10-29 (26d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-09) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

high volume
below supply no trigger • gap into demand

Zone

1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$350.01–$356.72

Tight core (where 12 zones align): $351.96–$352.69 — precise level to watch inside the zone.

T1 R:R

1:3.11

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/90m/1H demand @ 324.65	1:3.11	Fresh
T2	90m demand @ 320.14	1:3.68	Fresh

Puts confirmation checklist

□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening

📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $350.01 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $350.01–$356.72 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $324.65, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.

Daily trend: NET is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): NET weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 69.7).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • leading QQQ by +18.2% over 20d (NET +22.7% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.10 to reach the zone, $6.71 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $25.36 runway to the target -- 3.8:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (3.8x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).

📈 MSFT — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Swing-only 🌙 Swing: regime-caution Calls

Latest price ~15-min delayed

$517.19
as of 2026-10-02 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.

Distance to zone

0.32% • $1.66 • 0.14× ATR

Daily ATR

$11.85

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

62.6 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-07 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-10-28 (25d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-07) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into supply

Zone

2H/90m/1H demand
$512.35–$515.51

Tight core (where 5 zones align): $513.91–$514.04 — precise level to watch inside the zone.

T1 R:R

1:5.03

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D supply @ 541.55	1:5.03	Fresh

Calls confirmation checklist

□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving

📈 Demand Zone Test $515.51 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 2H demand zone identified at $512.35–$515.51. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $541.55, holding above the 9EMA.

Daily trend: MSFT is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): MSFT weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 64.7).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -3.0% over 20d (MSFT +1.5% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.06x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.68 to reach the zone, $3.16 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $26.04 runway to the target -- 8.2:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (8.2x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).

📉 CRM — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade A+ Swing-only 🌙 Swing: regime-caution Puts

Latest price ~15-min delayed

$233.97
as of 2026-10-02 07:50 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.

Distance to zone

4.51% • $10.55 • 1.33× ATR

Daily ATR

$7.92

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

51.4 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-09 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-12-02 (60d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-09) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-12-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into demand

Zone

1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$223.43–$229.62

Tight core (where 13 zones align): $224.95–$225.09 — precise level to watch inside the zone.

T1 R:R

1:2.80

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 206.11	1:2.80	Fresh
T2	1D/3H demand @ 198.41	1:4.04	Fresh

Puts confirmation checklist

□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure

📉 Break Below Demand $223.43 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 1D demand zone below $223.43 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $206.11, holding below the 9EMA.

Daily trend: CRM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): CRM weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 60.3).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -15.7% over 20d (CRM -11.2% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $10.54 approach to the trigger, $6.19 zone thickness (the stop), $17.32 runway to the next zone -- 2.8:1 at the trigger, 3.52x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 1.33x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 3.52x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📉 ASTS — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade A+ Swing-only 🌙 Swing: regime-caution Puts

Latest price ~15-min delayed

Distance to zone

4.93% • $2.88 • 0.73× ATR

Daily ATR

$3.94

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

44.7 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-09 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-11-09 (37d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-09) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into supply

Zone

1D/4H/2H/90m/1H demand
$55.60–$58.18

Tight core (where 9 zones align): $56.92–$57.31 — precise level to watch inside the zone.

T1 R:R

1:2.53

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D demand @ 49.08	1:2.53	Fresh
T2	1D demand @ 41.93	1:5.30	Fresh

Puts confirmation checklist

□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure

📉 Break Below Demand $55.60 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 1D demand zone below $55.60 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $49.08, holding below the 9EMA.

Daily trend: ASTS is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): ASTS weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 43.8).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -10.4% over 20d (ASTS -5.9% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.39x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.88 approach to the trigger, $2.58 zone thickness (the stop), $6.52 runway to the next zone -- 2.5:1 at the trigger, 2.39x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.73x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.39x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📈 COIN — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Manual backtest result:

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Swing-only Reversal: base-hold Calls

Latest price ~15-min delayed

Distance to zone

0.48% • $0.88 • 0.07× ATR

Daily ATR

$12.20

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

49.5 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.

Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)

day 2026-10-09 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (13 DTE)

Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.

Earnings / IV crush

2026-10-29 (26d) — clear

Both your day expiry (2026-10-09) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.

Volume / movement context

high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap

Zone

2H/90m/1H demand
$180.81–$182.38

Tight core (where 3 zones align): $181.49–$182.16 — precise level to watch inside the zone.

T1 R:R

1:1.12

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 186.01	1:1.12	Fresh
T2	4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 193.74	1:4.27	3 tests

Calls confirmation checklist

□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving

📈 Demand Zone Test $182.38 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 2H demand zone identified at $180.81–$182.38. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $186.01, holding above the 9EMA.

Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Weekly trend (HTF): COIN weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 51.1).

Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -9.5% over 20d (COIN -5.0% vs QQQ +4.4%)

Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.88 to reach the zone, $1.57 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.63 runway to the target -- 2.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $186.01 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

Developing Scenario Watchlist

Symbol	Contract	Scenario	Status	Setup Grade	Distance	T1 R:R	R:R Range Summary	Freshness	Confirmation Checklist
CRM	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.02%	1:0.55	T1 1:0.55 → T3 1:4.51	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PLTR	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.04%	1:0.96	T1 1:0.96 → T3 1:17.57	One successful retest (1 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AAPL	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.06%	1:0.46	T1 1:0.46	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
IONQ	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.09%	1:0.63	T1 1:0.63 → T3 1:3.31	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
META	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.11%	1:1.09	T1 1:1.09 → T3 1:5.32	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SPY	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.12%	1:2.27	T1 1:2.27 → T2 1:5.12	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AVGO	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.17%	1:4.28	T1 1:4.28 → T3 1:13.23	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPY	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.20%	1:5.40	T1 1:5.40 → T3 1:42.83	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
AMZN	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.23%	1:2.08	T1 1:2.08 → T3 1:9.53	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
NVDA	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.28%	1:0.77	T1 1:0.77 → T3 1:3.21	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
HOOD	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.28%	1:0.42	T1 1:0.42 → T3 1:11.64	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
NFLX	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.31%	1:1.00	T1 1:1.00 → T3 1:21.00	Multiple retests (2 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
ANET	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.41%	1:0.49	T1 1:0.49	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SMCI	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.42%	1:0.38	T1 1:0.38 → T3 1:8.59	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SOFI	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.44%	1:0.18	T1 1:0.18 → T3 1:8.14	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPY	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.45%	1:0.13	T1 1:0.13 → T3 1:3.21	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
NFLX	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.47%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PLTR	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.47%	1:0.03	T1 1:0.03 → T3 1:0.91	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PLTR	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.49%	1:0.29	T1 1:0.29 → T3 1:11.92	One successful retest (1 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SMCI	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.52%	1:0.16	T1 1:0.16 → T3 1:5.17	One successful retest (1 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
AMZN	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.54%	1:0.81	T1 1:0.81 → T3 1:31.38	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
HOOD	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.56%	1:0.17	T1 1:0.17 → T3 1:4.04	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
COST	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.58%	1:1.20	T1 1:1.20 → T3 1:2.32	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
PLTR	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.63%	1:0.53	T1 1:0.53 → T3 1:9.67	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPY	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.66%	1:0.29	T1 1:0.29 → T2 1:0.66	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AMD	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.74%	1:3.42	T1 1:3.42 → T3 1:31.60	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
UBER	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.75%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
CRWD	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.76%	1:0.92	T1 1:0.92 → T3 1:11.54	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
PANW	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Near zone: developing	B	0.78%	1:2.71	T1 1:2.71 → T3 1:41.44	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SHOP	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.78%	1:0.86	T1 1:0.86 → T3 1:7.62	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
ARM	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.79%	1:0.31	T1 1:0.31 → T3 1:1.57	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
AVGO	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Near zone: developing	B	0.79%	1:4.48	T1 1:4.48 → T3 1:16.84	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
QQQ	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.79%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AMZN	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.80%	1:0.40	T1 1:0.40 → T3 1:1.84	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPY	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.90%	1:0.27	T1 1:0.27	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
PLTR	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.90%	1:0.00	T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:18.37	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
MSFT	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.94%	1:0.31	T1 1:0.31 → T3 1:8.03	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
HIMS	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.96%	1:0.16	T1 1:0.16 → T3 1:2.90	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SPY	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.02%	1:0.10	T1 1:0.10 → T3 1:2.61	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SPY	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.11%	1:0.00	T1 1:0.00	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure

Zone Map / Research Context

Symbol	Contract	Scenario	Status	Setup Grade	Distance	T1 R:R	R:R Range Summary	Freshness	Confirmation Checklist
NFLX	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	0.14%	n/a	No valid target	Multiple retests (2 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
AMD	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	0.27%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SNOW	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Near zone: developing	B	1.13%	1:3.01	T1 1:3.01 → T3 1:17.54	Multiple retests (4 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SNOW	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	1.52%	1:0.14	T1 1:0.14 → T3 1:2.97	One successful retest (1 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
ANET	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	1.87%	n/a	No valid target	One successful retest (1 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
PLTR	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	2.03%	1:0.02	T1 1:0.02 → T3 1:0.64	Multiple retests (2 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
GOOGL	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	3.48%	1:0.28	T1 1:0.28 → T3 1:1.07	Multiple retests (3 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SNOW	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	3.48%	n/a	No valid target	One successful retest (1 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
GOOGL	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	4.18%	1:0.00	T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:7.72	Multiple retests (3 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure

Generated: 2026-10-03 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York · Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only · Final report filter: setup grades A++ , min T1 R:R 1:2.50. Entry-confirmation score is reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion — the watchlist prepares Calls/Puts scenarios, target ladders and R:R tiers. Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed (~15–20 min behind the live tape). Zones are built from regular-session candles only; candidates are excluded while price is inside any active zone (unresolved chop). Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.