Mark each card Accurate / Mixed / Incorrect as you manually backtest. Marks are saved in this browser only — export to keep a durable record or aggregate across days.
Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal Choppy — weak follow-through; be selective, take profit fast, size down. 📊 Scanner posture: Scanner edge is STRONGEST in this regime (backtest +0.16R, split-half stable). Lean into continuation/break setups and take the pop — but still demand a confirmation candle.
📅 Events ahead (10 days)
Scheduled IV drivers — macro releases (whole market) and earnings (single-name). Earnings inflate a name's IV going in and crush it after, so don't hold a single option through the report; macro days are catalyst-momentum, not zone days.
Date
Event
IV note
2026-09-30 (today)
📊 MU earnings
Elevated IV into it, crush after — avoid holding a single-name option through it.
Highest-conviction names by a composite of the signals that trend our way in testing — A+ grade, with the weekly trend, price near the zone, RSI momentum, validated-edge badge. A curated ranking, not a proven hard edge — tracked forward to see if it beats the rest on real results.
Name
Setup
Zone
T1 R:R
Primed
Why
MU
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls
$1,070.03–$1,074.00
1:6.00
10.5
with trend (trending)near zone (sweet-spot)RSI momentumvalidated edgeR:R ≥2
PLTR
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls
$191.25–$193.15
1:6.00
10.5
with trend (trending)near zoneRSI momentumvalidated edgeR:R ≥2
AAPL
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls
$331.56–$332.94
1:3.91
9.5
weekly lean (ranging)near zone (sweet-spot)RSI momentumvalidated edgeR:R ≥2
META
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls
$750.36–$753.80
1:5.09
8.0
weekly lean (ranging)near zoneRSI momentumR:R ≥2
MSFT
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls
$516.10–$519.08
1:6.00
8.0
weekly lean (ranging)near zoneRSI momentumR:R ≥2
🌙 Swing — Top 5
Best multi-day holds by the signals proven for far-target swings — a calm/ranging tape (the regime where these pay), with the weekly trend, directional volume, grade, and the far-target R:R. These reach a distant zone, so they need days, not one session — size and stops for a swing. A curated ranking, tracked forward.
✅ Confirmations that have worked (our backtests + trade review)
Before entry — only take it if:
On today's list and trading its direction (counter-scanner was 17% win / off-list −$7.4k).
Price on the with-trade side of the day's OPEN (calls above, puts below) — the one entry filter that separated your winners (43% vs 31%).
Setup carries a validated-edge badge — Steady momentum and/or Textbook geometry (the +0.30–0.55R cells).
Continuation or demand-bounce, not a rejection (your log: bounces 71% vs rejections 27%).
Breakouts only: daily RSI extended with the move (RSI ≥70 on supply breaks backtested 57% win / +0.35R).
Volume expanding in the trade's direction (VPA) — not absorption / being faded.
Managing the trade:
Hold the 2–3 hour thesis on a 20% stop (1–3hr holds won 56%; tighter stops got noise-clipped).
Take profit into the ~0.3-ATR pop — don't hold for +60% the move rarely reaches.
Move stop to breakeven once up ~⅓R (31% of losers were green first).
Not discriminating in your data (skip as "confirmation"): VWAP, raw volume, or 9EMA alone — the items above are what actually separated winners from losers.
Mag7 — Next-Day Signal Summary
Core names at a glance for tomorrow, whether or not they made the final list. 🟢 = setup carries a backtest-validated edge (Textbook geometry / Steady momentum — the strongest cells in the backtest); 🟡 = setup present, no validated edge; ⚪ = no setup near price.
Name
Signal / lean
Best next-day setup
Validated edge
Nearest S/D
Regime · Weekly · RS
AAPL $330.61
🟢 calls · trend-aligned
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls @ $332.94 · R:R 1:3.91 ★ final list zone $331.56–$332.94 · grade A+
Textbook
S $331.56 / D $330.40
choppy · normal bullish wk · leading QQQ by +1.0% over 20d
AMZN $247.18
🟡 calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls @ $250.93 · R:R 1:1.86 (developing) zone $249.15–$250.93 · grade B
—
S $249.15 / D $229.31
ranging · calm bearish-leaning wk · lagging QQQ by -8.0% over 20d
GOOGL $345.51
🟢 calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls @ $342.96 · R:R 1:6.00 ★ final list zone $341.83–$342.96 · grade A+
TextbookSteady mom.
S $351.19 / D $339.56
choppy · normal bearish wk · lagging QQQ by -2.5% over 20d
META $731.63
🟡 calls · trend-aligned
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls @ $753.80 · R:R 1:5.09 ★ final list zone $750.36–$753.80 · grade A+
—
S $750.36 / D $727.23
transitional · volatile bullish wk · leading QQQ by +26.1% over 20d
MSFT $510.01
🟡 calls · trend-aligned
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls @ $519.08 · R:R 1:6.00 ★ final list zone $516.10–$519.08 · grade A+
—
S $516.10 / D $509.19
choppy · normal bullish wk · lagging QQQ by -2.6% over 20d
NVDA $228.66
🟡 puts
Supply Rejection — Puts → puts @ $228.86 · R:R 1:0.45 (developing) zone $228.86–$236.54 · grade B
Textbook
S $228.86 / D $225.08
trending up · calm bullish wk · lagging QQQ by -0.0% over 20d
TSLA $351.90
🟡 calls · trend-aligned
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls @ $355.88 · R:R 1:0.59 (developing) zone $353.34–$355.88 · grade B
—
S $353.34 / D $319.53
ranging · calm bullish-leaning wk · lagging QQQ by -7.1% over 20d
$345.51 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.74% • $2.56 • 0.30× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-05 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-10-14 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-05) and swing expiry (2026-10-14) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m supply $341.83–$342.96
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $342.50–$342.85 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 351.19
1:7.28
Fresh
T2
1D supply @ 355.18
1:10.81
3 tests
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $342.96 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $341.83–$342.96 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $351.19, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): GOOGL weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 50.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -2.5% over 20d (GOOGL +0.5% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.67x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.55 approach to the trigger, $1.13 zone thickness (the stop), $8.23 runway to the next zone -- 7.3:1 at the trigger, 1.27x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$1,078.33 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.40% • $4.31 • 0.10× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$43.71
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
59.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-09-30 (0d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-10-05) holds THROUGH the 2026-09-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply $1,070.03–$1,074.00
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $1,072.14–$1,073.56 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 1122.92
1:12.32
Fresh
T2
1D supply @ 1196.21
1:30.78
2 tests
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $1,074.00 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 2H supply zone identified at $1,070.03–$1,074.00 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $1,122.92, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: MU is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): MU weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 63.9).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • leading QQQ by +8.1% over 20d (MU +11.1% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.7x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $4.33 approach to the trigger, $3.97 zone thickness (the stop), $48.92 runway to the next zone -- 12.3:1 at the trigger, 1.22x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$130.55 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.04% • $0.05 • 0.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.59
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/90m/1H supply $130.60–$132.44
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $131.30–$131.72 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.88
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 127.00
1:1.88
Fresh
T2
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 120.75
1:5.19
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $130.60 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $130.60–$132.44 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $127.00, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): NOW weekly trend is bearish-leaning (price below its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 54.7).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -15.2% over 20d (NOW -12.2% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.75x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.05 to reach the zone, $1.84 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.60 runway to the target -- 2.0:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $127.00 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
📈 AAPL — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Textbook geometrySwing-onlyCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$330.61 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.70% • $2.31 • 0.34× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-05 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-10-14 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (29d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-05) and swing expiry (2026-10-14) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/1H supply $331.56–$332.94
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $331.75–$332.34 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.91
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 338.34
1:3.91
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $332.94 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 2H supply zone identified at $331.56–$332.94 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $338.34, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: AAPL is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): AAPL weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 60.2).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • leading QQQ by +1.0% over 20d (AAPL +4.0% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Trade geometry: $2.33 approach to the trigger, $1.38 zone thickness (the stop), $5.40 runway to the next zone -- 3.9:1 at the trigger, 1.14x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else).
$187.84 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.83% • $5.32 • 0.92× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.77
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-02 (33d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $191.25–$193.15
Tight core (where 11 zones align): $192.89–$192.96 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D supply @ 205.04
1:6.26
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $193.15 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $191.25–$193.15 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $205.04, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): PLTR weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 61.9).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -2.6% over 20d (PLTR +0.3% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.98x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $5.31 approach to the trigger, $1.90 zone thickness (the stop), $11.89 runway to the next zone -- 6.3:1 at the trigger, 2.98x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.92x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.98x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$731.63 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.03% • $22.17 • 0.74× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$29.90
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-05 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-10-14 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-05) and swing expiry (2026-10-14) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $750.36–$753.80
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $751.86–$753.80 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.09
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 771.31
1:5.09
Fresh
T2
1D supply @ 780.25
1:7.69
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $753.80 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $750.36–$753.80 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $771.31, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: META is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): META weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 62.2).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • leading QQQ by +26.1% over 20d (META +29.1% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.63x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $22.17 approach to the trigger, $3.44 zone thickness (the stop), $17.51 runway to the next zone -- 5.1:1 at the trigger, 1.33x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.74x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.33x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
$15.82 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.40% • $0.38 • 0.63× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.60
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
36.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-27 (27d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-27 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction rejecting from supply • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H supply $16.11–$16.20
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $16.14–$16.19 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.11
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 16.57
1:4.11
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 17.54
1:14.89
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $16.20 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $16.11–$16.20 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $16.57, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): SOFI weekly trend is bearish-leaning (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 40.5).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -14.0% over 20d (SOFI -11.0% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.86x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.38 approach to the trigger, $0.09 zone thickness (the stop), $0.37 runway to the next zone -- 4.1:1 at the trigger, 1.25x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.63x daily ATR before entry.
$510.01 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.78% • $9.08 • 0.77× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.73
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-05 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-10-14 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-05) and swing expiry (2026-10-14) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m supply $516.10–$519.08
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D supply @ 541.55
1:7.54
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $519.08 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $516.10–$519.08 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $541.55, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): MSFT weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 62.4).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -2.6% over 20d (MSFT +0.3% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.69x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $9.07 approach to the trigger, $2.98 zone thickness (the stop), $22.47 runway to the next zone -- 7.5:1 at the trigger, 2.69x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.77x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.69x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
$357.50 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.71% • $2.54 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.92
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-05 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-10-14 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-12-09 (70d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-05) and swing expiry (2026-10-14) land before the 2026-12-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $360.03–$366.78
Tight core (where 16 zones align): $365.23–$365.27 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.68
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 351.16
1:0.68
Fresh
T2
1D/90m/1H demand @ 348.38
1:0.98
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $360.03 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $360.03–$366.78 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $351.16, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AVGO is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): AVGO weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 46.2).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -7.1% over 20d (AVGO -4.1% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.53x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.53 to reach the zone, $6.75 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $8.87 runway to the target -- 1.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $351.16 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$149.25 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.45% • $3.66 • 0.54× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (34d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $152.90–$156.49
Tight core (where 18 zones align): $155.21–$155.30 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 148.00
1:0.17
Fresh
T2
90m/1H demand @ 146.76
1:0.34
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $152.90 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $152.90–$156.49 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $148.00, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): SHOP weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 58.5).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -2.3% over 20d (SHOP +0.6% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $3.65 to reach the zone, $3.59 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.90 runway to the target -- 1.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $148.00 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$226.70 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.24% • $0.54 • 0.07× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.11
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
44.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-12-02 (63d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-12-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $227.24–$230.57
Tight core (where 9 zones align): $228.75–$228.78 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.42
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H demand @ 225.09
1:0.42
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 206.11
1:5.32
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $227.24 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $227.24–$230.57 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $225.09, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): CRM weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 56.6).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -15.5% over 20d (CRM -12.5% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.54x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.54 to reach the zone, $3.33 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.15 runway to the target -- 0.7:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $225.09 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$226.70 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.71% • $1.61 • 0.20× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.11
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
44.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-12-02 (63d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-12-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand $223.97–$225.09
T1 R:R
1:0.20
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 227.24
1:0.20
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 234.02
1:2.68
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $225.09 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 90m demand zone identified at $223.97–$225.09. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $227.24, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): CRM weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 56.6).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -15.5% over 20d (CRM -12.5% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.99x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.61 to reach the zone, $1.12 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.15 runway to the target -- 1.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $227.24 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$83.00 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.25% • $1.87 • 0.37× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.05
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
67.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (34d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H supply $84.87–$85.49
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $85.06–$85.43 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.06
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 77.87
1:2.06
Fresh
T2
1D/3H demand @ 76.64
1:2.55
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $84.87 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $84.87–$85.49 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $77.87, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TEM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): TEM weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 63.7).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • leading QQQ by +28.0% over 20d (TEM +31.0% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.39x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.87 to reach the zone, $0.62 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.00 runway to the target -- 11.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $7.00 to $77.87 -- a long 11.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$83.00 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.40% • $0.33 • 0.07× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.05
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
67.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (34d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply $83.33–$83.76
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 77.87
1:6.75
Fresh
T2
1D/3H demand @ 76.64
1:8.37
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $83.33 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1H supply zone at $83.33–$83.76 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $77.87, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TEM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): TEM weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 63.7).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • leading QQQ by +28.0% over 20d (TEM +31.0% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.39x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.33 to reach the zone, $0.43 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.46 runway to the target -- 12.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.46 to $77.87 -- a long 12.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$130.55 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.30% • $5.61 • 1.00× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.59
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m supply $136.16–$136.94
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $136.53–$136.94 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.56
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 127.00
1:0.56
Fresh
T2
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 120.75
1:1.53
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $136.16 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 2H supply zone at $136.16–$136.94 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $127.00, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): NOW weekly trend is bearish-leaning (price below its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 54.7).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -15.2% over 20d (NOW -12.2% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.75x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.61 to reach the zone, $0.78 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $9.16 runway to the target -- 11.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $9.16 to $127.00 -- a long 11.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$204.50 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.79% • $5.71 • 0.77× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.45
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (34d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply $210.20–$210.96
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $210.43–$210.67 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.79
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 199.39
1:0.79
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 193.02
1:1.78
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $210.20 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 90m supply zone at $210.20–$210.96 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $199.39, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ANET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): ANET weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 63.7).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • leading QQQ by +0.7% over 20d (ANET +3.7% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.54x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.70 to reach the zone, $0.76 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $10.81 runway to the target -- 14.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $10.81 to $199.39 -- a long 14.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$345.51 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.64% • $5.67 • 0.67× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-05 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-10-14 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-05) and swing expiry (2026-10-14) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $351.19–$353.87
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $352.82–$353.67 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.71
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H/90m/1H demand @ 339.56
1:0.71
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.19
1:1.36
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $351.19 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $351.19–$353.87 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $339.56, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): GOOGL weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 50.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -2.5% over 20d (GOOGL +0.5% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.08x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.68 to reach the zone, $2.68 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.63 runway to the target -- 4.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $11.63 to $339.56 -- a long 4.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$195.00 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.65% • $3.22 • 0.28× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.60
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
53.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-10-16 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (29d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-16) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $198.22–$199.88
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $199.16–$199.88 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.06
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H demand @ 189.83
1:1.06
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 173.99
1:4.31
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $198.22 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $198.22–$199.88 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $189.83, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): COIN weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 53.4).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -1.9% over 20d (COIN +1.0% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.81x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.22 to reach the zone, $1.66 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $8.39 runway to the target -- 5.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $8.39 to $189.83 -- a long 5.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$345.51 as of 2026-09-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.10% • $14.17 • 1.67× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-05 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-10-14 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-05) and swing expiry (2026-10-14) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $359.69–$364.99
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $362.50–$363.20 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.31
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H/90m/1H demand @ 339.56
1:0.31
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.19
1:0.58
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $359.69 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $359.69–$364.99 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $339.56, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): GOOGL weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 50.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY choppy · normal, QQQ trending up · normal • lagging QQQ by -2.5% over 20d (GOOGL +0.5% vs QQQ +3.0%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.08x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $14.18 to reach the zone, $5.30 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $20.13 runway to the target -- 3.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $20.13 to $339.56 -- a long 3.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
NVDA
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.03%
1:0.37
T1 1:0.37
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
AAPL
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.06%
1:0.42
T1 1:0.42 → T2 1:3.42
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
Generated: 2026-09-30 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York · Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only · Final report filter: setup grades A++ , min T1 R:R 1:2.50. Entry-confirmation score is reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion — the watchlist prepares Calls/Puts scenarios, target ladders and R:R tiers. Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed (~15–20 min behind the live tape). Zones are built from regular-session candles only; candidates are excluded while price is inside any active zone (unresolved chop). Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.