Mark each card Accurate / Mixed / Incorrect as you manually backtest. Marks are saved in this browser only — export to keep a durable record or aggregate across days.
Generated: 2026-09-28 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-09-25 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
Final setups
22
All candidates
145
Bullish / bearish
13 / 9
Avg. distance
2.02%
Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm Rangebound & calm — fade the edges, breakouts unreliable, small targets. 📊 Scanner posture: Scanner edge is WEAKEST here (backtest -0.05R, and the worst real-money bucket). Be very selective, demand confirmation, size down and take fast profits. Far-target SWINGS can still work — same-day should be sparing.
🎯 Primed — Top 5
Highest-conviction names by a composite of the signals that trend our way in testing — A+ grade, with the weekly trend, price near the zone, RSI momentum, validated-edge badge. A curated ranking, not a proven hard edge — tracked forward to see if it beats the rest on real results.
Name
Setup
Zone
T1 R:R
Primed
Why
RKLB
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls
$75.86–$76.71
1:2.86
9.0
with trend (trending)near zoneRSI momentumR:R ≥2
NET
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts
$345.02–$348.78
1:5.42
7.5
counter-trendnear zone (sweet-spot)RSI momentumvalidated edgeR:R ≥2
PLTR
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls → calls
$191.25–$193.15
1:6.00
7.5
with trend (trending)RSI momentumR:R ≥2
AMD
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts
$605.93–$622.02
1:3.58
6.5
counter-trendnear zonevalidated edgeR:R ≥2
CRM
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts
$229.81–$233.65
1:6.00
6.0
counter-trendnear zone (sweet-spot)RSI momentumR:R ≥2
🌙 Swing — Top 5
Best multi-day holds by the signals proven for far-target swings — a calm/ranging tape (the regime where these pay), with the weekly trend, directional volume, grade, and the far-target R:R. These reach a distant zone, so they need days, not one session — size and stops for a swing. A curated ranking, tracked forward.
✅ Confirmations that have worked (our backtests + trade review)
Before entry — only take it if:
On today's list and trading its direction (counter-scanner was 17% win / off-list −$7.4k).
Price on the with-trade side of the day's OPEN (calls above, puts below) — the one entry filter that separated your winners (43% vs 31%).
Setup carries a validated-edge badge — Steady momentum and/or Textbook geometry (the +0.30–0.55R cells).
Continuation or demand-bounce, not a rejection (your log: bounces 71% vs rejections 27%).
Breakouts only: daily RSI extended with the move (RSI ≥70 on supply breaks backtested 57% win / +0.35R).
Volume expanding in the trade's direction (VPA) — not absorption / being faded.
Managing the trade:
Hold the 2–3 hour thesis on a 20% stop (1–3hr holds won 56%; tighter stops got noise-clipped).
Take profit into the ~0.3-ATR pop — don't hold for +60% the move rarely reaches.
Move stop to breakeven once up ~⅓R (31% of losers were green first).
Not discriminating in your data (skip as "confirmation"): VWAP, raw volume, or 9EMA alone — the items above are what actually separated winners from losers.
Mag7 — Next-Day Signal Summary
Core names at a glance for tomorrow, whether or not they made the final list. 🟢 = setup carries a backtest-validated edge (Textbook geometry / Steady momentum — the strongest cells in the backtest); 🟡 = setup present, no validated edge; ⚪ = no setup near price.
Name
Signal / lean
Best next-day setup
Validated edge
Nearest S/D
Regime · Weekly · RS
AAPL $339.88
🟡 puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts @ $328.35 · R:R 1:0.18 (developing) zone $328.35–$337.90 · grade B
—
S — / D $337.90
trending up · calm bullish wk · leading QQQ by +5.2% over 20d
AMZN $247.58
🟡 puts · trend-aligned
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts @ $249.24 · R:R 1:6.00 (developing) zone $249.24–$251.19 · grade B
Steady mom.
S $249.15 / D $229.31
ranging · calm bearish-leaning wk · lagging QQQ by -5.8% over 20d
GOOGL $341.19
🟡 puts · trend-aligned
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts @ $337.35 · R:R 1:1.65 (developing) zone $337.35–$339.27 · grade B
Steady mom.
S $344.60 / D $339.27
choppy · normal bearish wk · lagging QQQ by -2.3% over 20d
META $748.00
🟢 calls · trend-aligned
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls @ $712.53 · R:R 1:0.56 ★ final list zone $706.10–$712.53 · grade B
Steady mom.
S $771.31 / D $712.53
trending up · volatile bullish wk · leading QQQ by +28.4% over 20d
MSFT $509.50
🟡 calls · trend-aligned
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls → calls @ $484.13 · R:R 1:0.21 ★ final list zone $477.15–$484.13 · grade B
—
S $516.28 / D $497.96
transitional · normal bullish wk · lagging QQQ by -1.0% over 20d
NVDA $228.86
🟡 puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts → puts @ $223.55 · R:R 1:1.35 (developing) zone $223.55–$224.35 · grade B
—
S — / D $224.35
ranging · calm bullish wk · lagging QQQ by -4.5% over 20d
TSLA $370.68
🟢 puts
Supply Rejection — Puts → puts @ $372.64 · R:R 1:0.10 ★ final list zone $372.64–$386.70 · grade B
TextbookSteady mom.
S $372.64 / D $369.00
ranging · calm bullish-leaning wk · leading QQQ by +1.6% over 20d
📅 Events ahead (10 days)
Scheduled IV drivers — macro releases (whole market) and earnings (single-name). Earnings inflate a name's IV going in and crush it after, so don't hold a single option through the report; macro days are catalyst-momentum, not zone days.
Date
Event
IV note
2026-09-30 (in 2d)
📊 MU earnings
Elevated IV into it, crush after — avoid holding a single-name option through it.
$342.00 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.88% • $3.01 • 0.16× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$19.26
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
62.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (31d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand $345.02–$348.78
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $345.37–$346.00 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.42
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/90m/1H demand @ 324.65
1:5.42
Fresh
T2
90m demand @ 320.14
1:6.62
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $345.02 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 2H demand zone below $345.02 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $324.65, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): NET weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 69.7).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +10.0% over 20d (NET +13.2% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.02 approach to the trigger, $3.76 zone thickness (the stop), $20.37 runway to the next zone -- 5.4:1 at the trigger, 1.21x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
$624.50 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.97% • $18.55 • 0.71× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$26.21
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
73.0 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (36d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H demand $605.93–$622.02
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $608.08–$609.73 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.58
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 548.32
1:3.58
Fresh
T2
4H/3H demand @ 535.00
1:4.41
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $605.93 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 1D demand zone below $605.93 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 4H demand zone identified at $548.32, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMD is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): AMD weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 71.2).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +29.1% over 20d (AMD +32.3% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.91x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $18.57 approach to the trigger, $16.09 zone thickness (the stop), $57.61 runway to the next zone -- 3.6:1 at the trigger, 2.91x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.71x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.91x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$71.69 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.04% • $2.18 • 1.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.02
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
37.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-20 (22d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-20 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $73.30–$73.87
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $73.64–$73.69 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.05
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H supply @ 75.61
1:3.05
Fresh
T2
90m/1H supply @ 76.42
1:4.47
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $73.87 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $73.30–$73.87 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 2H supply zone identified at $75.61, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: NFLX is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): NFLX weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 36.5).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -14.1% over 20d (NFLX -10.9% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.94x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.18 approach to the trigger, $0.57 zone thickness (the stop), $1.74 runway to the next zone -- 3.0:1 at the trigger, 1.94x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 1.08x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.94x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$227.69 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.93% • $2.12 • 0.25× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.56
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-12-02 (65d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-12-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $229.81–$233.65
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $232.15–$232.18 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 206.11
1:6.17
Fresh
T2
1D/3H demand @ 198.41
1:8.18
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $229.81 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $229.81 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $206.11, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): CRM weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 60.1).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -10.4% over 20d (CRM -7.2% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.12 approach to the trigger, $3.84 zone thickness (the stop), $23.70 runway to the next zone -- 6.2:1 at the trigger, 3.02x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 3.02x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
$195.12 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.26% • $2.46 • 0.21× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.56
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (31d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $192.67–$195.02
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $194.14–$194.38 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 173.99
1:7.95
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18
1:18.93
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $192.67 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $192.67 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $173.99, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): COIN weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 55.2).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -0.9% over 20d (COIN +2.3% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.83x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.45 approach to the trigger, $2.35 zone thickness (the stop), $18.68 runway to the next zone -- 8.0:1 at the trigger, 1.83x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 1.83x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
$186.41 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.62% • $6.75 • 1.16× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-02 (35d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-11-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible rejecting from supply • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $191.25–$193.15
Tight core (where 11 zones align): $192.89–$192.96 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D supply @ 205.04
1:6.26
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $193.15 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $191.25–$193.15 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $205.04, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): PLTR weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 63.2).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -1.2% over 20d (PLTR +2.0% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.2x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $6.74 approach to the trigger, $1.90 zone thickness (the stop), $11.89 runway to the next zone -- 6.3:1 at the trigger, 3.20x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 1.16x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 3.20x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
$73.53 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.32% • $3.18 • 0.83× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
59.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-09 (42d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-11-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume rejecting from supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $75.86–$76.71
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $76.10–$76.37 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.86
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 79.14
1:2.86
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H supply @ 81.81
1:6.00
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $76.71 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $75.86–$76.71 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $79.14, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: RKLB is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): RKLB weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 49.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +6.3% over 20d (RKLB +9.5% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.15x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.18 approach to the trigger, $0.85 zone thickness (the stop), $2.43 runway to the next zone -- 2.9:1 at the trigger, 1.46x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.83x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.46x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
$923.29 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.22% • $2.03 • 0.15× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$13.72
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-12-10 (73d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-12-10 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $925.35–$935.76
Tight core (where 11 zones align): $930.32–$930.76 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.38
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H demand @ 918.55
1:0.38
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 899.12
1:1.94
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $925.35 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $925.35–$935.76 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $918.55, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COST is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): COST weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 43.8).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -4.5% over 20d (COST -1.3% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.76x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.06 to reach the zone, $10.41 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.80 runway to the target -- 0.7:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $918.55 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$370.68 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.53% • $1.96 • 0.18× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.21
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (23d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $372.64–$386.70
Tight core (where 21 zones align): $382.18–$382.30 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 369.00
1:0.10
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 319.53
1:3.19
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $372.64 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $372.64–$386.70 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $369.00, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): TSLA weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 50.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +1.6% over 20d (TSLA +4.9% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 4.56x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.96 to reach the zone, $14.06 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.64 runway to the target -- 0.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $369.00 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$370.68 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.45% • $1.67 • 0.15× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.21
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (23d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $323.64–$369.00
Tight core (where 70 zones align): $356.11–$356.64 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.04
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 372.64
1:0.04
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 389.04
1:0.39
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $369.00 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $323.64–$369.00. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $372.64, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): TSLA weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 50.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +1.6% over 20d (TSLA +4.9% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.64x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.68 to reach the zone, $45.36 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.64 runway to the target -- 0.1:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $372.64 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$61.53 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.63% • $1.00 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.90
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-09 (42d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-11-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $57.47–$60.53
Tight core (where 17 zones align): $58.32–$58.35 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.08
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 61.85
1:0.08
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 70.62
1:2.24
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $60.53 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $57.47–$60.53. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $61.85, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ASTS is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): ASTS weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 45.5).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -2.6% over 20d (ASTS +0.6% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.33x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.00 to reach the zone, $3.06 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.32 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $61.85 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$61.53 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.52% • $0.32 • 0.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.90
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-09 (42d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-11-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $61.85–$70.10
Tight core (where 19 zones align): $66.10–$66.60 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.12
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 60.53
1:0.12
Fresh
T2
1D/2H/90m demand @ 57.36
1:0.49
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $61.85 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $61.85–$70.10 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $60.53, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ASTS is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): ASTS weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 45.5).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -2.6% over 20d (ASTS +0.6% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 3.19x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.32 to reach the zone, $8.25 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.32 runway to the target -- 0.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $60.53 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$740.67 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.61% • $4.52 • 0.48× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.50
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $745.19–$748.35
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $747.20–$748.35 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.36
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m demand @ 737.87
1:0.36
1 test
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 721.45
1:2.50
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $745.19 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $745.19–$748.35 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $737.87, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): QQQ weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 63.8).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +0.0% over 20d (QQQ +3.2% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.02x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.52 to reach the zone, $3.16 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.32 runway to the target -- 2.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $737.87 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$923.29 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.51% • $4.71 • 0.34× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$13.72
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-12-10 (73d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-12-10 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H demand $913.44–$918.55
T1 R:R
1:0.21
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 925.35
1:0.21
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m supply @ 938.45
1:1.54
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $918.55 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 3H demand zone identified at $913.44–$918.55. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $925.35, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COST is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): COST weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 43.8).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -4.5% over 20d (COST -1.3% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.74 to reach the zone, $5.11 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.80 runway to the target -- 1.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $925.35 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$740.67 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.38% • $2.81 • 0.30× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.50
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m demand $734.90–$737.87
T1 R:R
1:0.78
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 745.19
1:0.78
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $737.87 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 90m demand zone identified at $734.90–$737.87. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $745.19, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): QQQ weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 63.8).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +0.0% over 20d (QQQ +3.2% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.80 to reach the zone, $2.97 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.32 runway to the target -- 2.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $745.19 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$71.69 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.25% • $1.61 • 0.80× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.02
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
37.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-20 (22d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-20 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $73.30–$73.87
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $73.64–$73.69 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.50
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/2H/90m/1H demand @ 70.59
1:0.50
1 test
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 69.36
1:1.07
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $73.30 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $73.30–$73.87 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $70.59, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NFLX is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): NFLX weekly trend is bearish (price below its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 36.5).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -14.1% over 20d (NFLX -10.9% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.61 to reach the zone, $0.57 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.71 runway to the target -- 4.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $2.71 to $70.59 -- a long 4.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$748.00 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.74% • $35.46 • 1.20× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$29.58
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
71.3 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (30d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H demand $706.10–$712.53
T1 R:R
1:0.56
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 771.31
1:0.56
Fresh
T2
1D supply @ 780.25
1:0.77
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $712.53 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1H demand zone identified at $706.10–$712.53. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $771.31, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: META is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): META weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 64.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +28.4% over 20d (META +31.6% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $35.47 to reach the zone, $6.43 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $58.78 runway to the target -- 9.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $58.78 to $771.31 -- a long 9.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$130.75 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.87% • $3.75 • 0.68× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.54
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
51.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (30d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $124.81–$127.00
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $125.34–$125.82 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.91
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m supply @ 136.16
1:0.91
Fresh
T2
90m/1H supply @ 138.41
1:1.29
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $127.00 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $124.81–$127.00. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 2H supply zone identified at $136.16, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): NOW weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 58.2).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -5.3% over 20d (NOW -2.0% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.75 to reach the zone, $2.19 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $9.16 runway to the target -- 4.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $9.16 to $136.16 -- a long 4.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$73.53 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.89% • $1.39 • 0.36× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
59.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-09 (42d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-11-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $71.08–$72.14
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $71.08–$71.52 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.95
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 75.86
1:0.95
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 79.14
1:2.29
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $72.14 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $71.08–$72.14. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $75.86, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: RKLB is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): RKLB weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and below its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 49.0).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +6.3% over 20d (RKLB +9.5% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.15x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.39 to reach the zone, $1.06 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.72 runway to the target -- 3.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $3.72 to $75.86 -- a long 3.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$157.15 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.06% • $3.24 • 0.36× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (31d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H demand $152.30–$153.91
T1 R:R
1:0.51
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H supply @ 159.63
1:0.51
Fresh
T2
1D/3H/2H/90m supply @ 161.01
1:0.80
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $153.91 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1H demand zone identified at $152.30–$153.91. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1H supply zone identified at $159.63, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): MSTR weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 56.8).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +12.2% over 20d (MSTR +15.4% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.03x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.24 to reach the zone, $1.61 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.72 runway to the target -- 3.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.72 to $159.63 -- a long 3.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$509.50 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.42% • $22.52 • 2.06× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.95
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (30d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $484.30–$486.96
T1 R:R
1:0.27
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m supply @ 516.28
1:0.27
Fresh
T2
1D supply @ 541.55
1:1.27
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $486.96 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $484.30–$486.96. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 90m supply zone identified at $516.28, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): MSFT weekly trend is bullish (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 64.4).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • lagging QQQ by -1.0% over 20d (MSFT +2.2% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.93x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $22.54 to reach the zone, $2.66 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $29.32 runway to the target -- 11.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $29.32 to $516.28 -- a long 11.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$157.15 as of 2026-09-28 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.27% • $6.71 • 0.74× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-10-02 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-10-09 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (31d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-10-02) and swing expiry (2026-10-09) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H demand $149.44–$150.44
T1 R:R
1:0.32
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H supply @ 159.63
1:0.32
Fresh
T2
1D/3H/2H/90m supply @ 161.01
1:0.50
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $150.44 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1H demand zone identified at $149.44–$150.44. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1H supply zone identified at $159.63, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Weekly trend (HTF): MSTR weekly trend is bullish-leaning (price above its 10-wk avg and above its 30-wk avg, weekly RSI 56.8).
Market / rel. strength: Market regime: SPY ranging · calm, QQQ trending up · calm • leading QQQ by +12.2% over 20d (MSTR +15.4% vs QQQ +3.2%)
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.03x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $6.71 to reach the zone, $1.00 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $9.19 runway to the target -- 9.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $9.19 to $159.63 -- a long 9.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
SPY
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.02%
1:0.79
T1 1:0.79 → T2 1:1.58
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
COIN
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.05%
1:1.27
T1 1:1.27 → T3 1:4.11
One successful retest (1 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
ANET
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.10%
1:0.92
T1 1:0.92
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
META
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
At zone: needs confirmation
B
0.27%
1:6.00
T1 1:76.49 → T3 1:196.94
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
ANET
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.29%
1:0.78
T1 1:0.78 → T3 1:12.85
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
HIMS
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.31%
1:0.35
T1 1:0.35 → T3 1:4.86
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
TEM
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.33%
1:1.27
T1 1:1.27
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving