Mark each card Accurate / Mixed / Incorrect as you manually backtest. Marks are saved in this browser only — export to keep a durable record or aggregate across days.
Generated: 2026-08-18 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-08-17 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
$50.52 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.86% • $0.94 • 0.29× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.25
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand $49.58–$50.47
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $49.89–$50.12 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.24
Demand top / risk area
$50.47
Demand bottom / breakdown
$49.58
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 46.70
1:3.24
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 44.18
1:6.07
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/1H demand @ 43.39
1:6.96
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $49.58 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 2H demand zone below $49.58 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $46.70, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TEM is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.95x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.94 approach to the trigger, $0.89 zone thickness (the stop), $2.88 runway to the next zone -- 3.2:1 at the trigger, 1.18x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📉 INTC — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Textbook geometryPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$98.61 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.99% • $1.96 • 0.30× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.54
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-22 (65d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-24) and swing expiry (2026-08-31) land before the 2026-10-22 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $96.65–$97.71
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $96.91–$97.11 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.33
Demand top / risk area
$97.71
Demand bottom / breakdown
$96.65
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 91.00
1:5.33
Fresh
T2
3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 82.81
1:13.06
2 tests
T3
90m/1H demand @ 80.92
1:14.84
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $96.65 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $96.65 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $91.00, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.42x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.96 approach to the trigger, $1.06 zone thickness (the stop), $5.65 runway to the next zone -- 5.3:1 at the trigger, 1.16x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 PANW — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Textbook geometryPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$375.00 as of 2026-08-18 08:30 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.72% • $2.70 • 0.18× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.70
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (14d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-21) lands before the 2026-09-01 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-09-04) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-08-28 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/1H demand $372.30–$374.50
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $373.36–$374.36 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.09
Demand top / risk area
$374.50
Demand bottom / breakdown
$372.30
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 365.50
1:3.09
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 347.14
1:11.44
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/90m demand @ 315.33
1:25.90
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $372.30 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $372.30 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $365.50, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.9x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.70 approach to the trigger, $2.20 zone thickness (the stop), $6.80 runway to the next zone -- 3.1:1 at the trigger, 0.65x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else).
📉 QQQ — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$720.25 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.87% • $6.27 • 0.51× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$12.39
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/90m/1H demand $714.00–$718.33
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $714.11–$714.90 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.15
Demand top / risk area
$718.33
Demand bottom / breakdown
$714.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 700.38
1:3.15
Fresh
T2
1H demand @ 695.90
1:4.18
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 689.68
1:5.62
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $714.00 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 3H demand zone below $714.00 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 4H demand zone identified at $700.38, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.6x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $6.25 approach to the trigger, $4.33 zone thickness (the stop), $13.62 runway to the next zone -- 3.1:1 at the trigger, 1.60x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.50x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.60x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📉 SPY — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$768.95 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.34% • $2.61 • 0.33× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction breaking below demand • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $771.56–$773.09
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $772.00–$772.45 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$773.09
Demand bottom / breakdown
$771.56
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 758.35
1:8.63
Fresh
T2
1H demand @ 755.11
1:10.75
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 747.49
1:15.73
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $771.56 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $771.56 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 4H demand zone identified at $758.35, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SPY is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.76x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.61 approach to the trigger, $1.53 zone thickness (the stop), $13.21 runway to the next zone -- 8.6:1 at the trigger, 2.02x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 2.02x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📈 AAPL — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$307.36 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.22% • $6.82 • 0.81× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.40
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (72d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-24) and swing expiry (2026-08-31) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply $313.28–$314.18
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$313.28
Supply top / breakout
$314.18
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D supply @ 340.03
1:28.72
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $314.18 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 1H supply zone identified at $313.28–$314.18 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $340.03, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: AAPL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.89x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $6.82 approach to the trigger, $0.90 zone thickness (the stop), $25.85 runway to the next zone -- 28.7:1 at the trigger, 3.89x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.81x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 3.89x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📉 AMZN — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$260.22 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.93% • $2.42 • 0.24× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.00
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (72d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-24) and swing expiry (2026-08-31) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $262.63–$264.01
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $263.22–$263.41 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply top / failure
$264.01
Supply bottom / rejection
$262.63
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.31
1:8.16
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H demand @ 225.23
1:9.23
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.79
1:10.14
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $262.63 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $262.63–$264.01 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $229.31, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.09x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.41 to reach the zone, $1.38 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $33.32 runway to the target -- 24.1:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (24.1x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.
📈 INTC — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade A+Reversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$98.61 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.91% • $0.90 • 0.14× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.54
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-22 (65d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-24) and swing expiry (2026-08-31) land before the 2026-10-22 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $96.65–$97.71
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $96.91–$97.11 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.66
Demand bottom / failure
$96.65
Demand top / hold area
$97.71
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 103.82
1:2.66
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 109.58
1:5.60
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 112.33
1:7.00
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $97.71 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $96.65–$97.71. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $103.82, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.68x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.90 to reach the zone, $1.06 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.11 runway to the target -- 5.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $6.11 to $103.82 -- a long 5.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 COIN — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$148.58 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.93% • $5.84 • 0.70× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.31
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (72d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume rejecting from supply • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply $152.44–$154.42
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $153.62–$154.20 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.41
Supply bottom / risk area
$152.44
Supply top / breakout
$154.42
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 161.18
1:3.41
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 170.54
1:8.14
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 182.25
1:14.06
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $154.42 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $152.44–$154.42 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $161.18, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $5.84 approach to the trigger, $1.98 zone thickness (the stop), $6.76 runway to the next zone -- 3.4:1 at the trigger, 1.52x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.70x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.52x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
📉 SMCI — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$37.01 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.30% • $0.48 • 0.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.57
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
65.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m demand $37.49–$37.85
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$37.85
Demand bottom / breakdown
$37.49
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 32.02
1:15.19
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 28.78
1:24.19
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 25.48
1:33.36
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $37.49 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $37.49 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $32.02, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SMCI is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.94x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.48 approach to the trigger, $0.36 zone thickness (the stop), $5.47 runway to the next zone -- 15.2:1 at the trigger, 2.31x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 2.31x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 AMZN — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$260.22 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.70% • $7.03 • 0.70× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.00
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (72d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-24) and swing expiry (2026-08-31) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $267.24–$269.58
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $268.75–$269.24 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.30
Supply top / failure
$269.58
Supply bottom / rejection
$267.24
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.31
1:3.30
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H demand @ 225.23
1:3.74
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.79
1:4.11
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $267.24 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $267.24–$269.58 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $229.31, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.09x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $7.02 to reach the zone, $2.34 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $37.93 runway to the target -- 16.2:1. Below the validated reversal profile: still 0.70x daily ATR from the zone; the zone is thin relative to the target (16.2x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.
📉 IONQ — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$44.52 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.38% • $0.17 • 0.06× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.95
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-04 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking below demand • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $44.69–$45.47
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $44.94–$45.19 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.69
Demand top / risk area
$45.47
Demand bottom / breakdown
$44.69
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m demand @ 40.25
1:5.69
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 36.63
1:10.33
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 35.05
1:12.36
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $44.69 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $44.69 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 90m demand zone identified at $40.25, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: IONQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.68x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.17 approach to the trigger, $0.78 zone thickness (the stop), $4.44 runway to the next zone -- 5.7:1 at the trigger, 1.56x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 1.56x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 SHOP — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$149.08 as of 2026-08-18 08:05 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.61% • $3.89 • 0.49× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.88
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $145.19–$147.58
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $145.50–$146.42 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$147.58
Demand bottom / breakdown
$145.19
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H demand @ 120.89
1:10.17
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 117.80
1:11.46
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.24
1:12.95
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $145.19 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $145.19 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 2H demand zone identified at $120.89, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.58x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.89 approach to the trigger, $2.39 zone thickness (the stop), $24.30 runway to the next zone -- 10.2:1 at the trigger, 3.58x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.49x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 3.58x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
📈 RBLX — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$37.64 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.59% • $1.35 • 0.45× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.99
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
37.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (72d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $38.08–$38.99
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $38.53–$38.56 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$38.08
Supply top / breakout
$38.99
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 49.90
1:11.99
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 52.45
1:14.79
Fresh
T3
2H/90m/1H supply @ 55.02
1:17.62
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $38.99 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $38.08–$38.99 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $49.90, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 4.1x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.35 approach to the trigger, $0.91 zone thickness (the stop), $10.91 runway to the next zone -- 12.0:1 at the trigger, 4.10x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.45x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 4.10x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
📉 ARM — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$259.86 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.16% • $5.61 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$21.80
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-04 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $265.46–$273.66
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $270.90–$271.70 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.02
Demand top / risk area
$273.66
Demand bottom / breakdown
$265.46
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 240.71
1:3.02
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 219.09
1:5.65
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 176.31
1:10.87
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $265.46 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $265.46 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $240.71, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ARM is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.87x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $5.60 approach to the trigger, $8.20 zone thickness (the stop), $24.75 runway to the next zone -- 3.0:1 at the trigger, 1.39x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 1.39x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📈 TSLA — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$333.64 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.45% • $11.51 • 1.04× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.02
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (64d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-24) and swing expiry (2026-08-31) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction rejecting from supply • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply $339.48–$345.16
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $341.90–$342.35 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.08
Supply bottom / risk area
$339.48
Supply top / breakout
$345.16
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 374.01
1:5.08
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.84
1:6.28
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 389.04
1:7.73
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $345.16 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $339.48–$345.16 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $374.01, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.66x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $11.52 approach to the trigger, $5.68 zone thickness (the stop), $28.85 runway to the next zone -- 5.1:1 at the trigger, 3.66x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 1.05x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 3.66x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 TSLA — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$333.64 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.64% • $2.14 • 0.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.02
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (64d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-24) and swing expiry (2026-08-31) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction breaking below demand • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $335.76–$340.04
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $338.85–$339.31 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.79
Demand top / risk area
$340.04
Demand bottom / breakdown
$335.76
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 319.53
1:3.79
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 311.21
1:5.74
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $335.76 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $335.76 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $319.53, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.04x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.12 approach to the trigger, $4.28 zone thickness (the stop), $16.23 runway to the next zone -- 3.8:1 at the trigger, 1.67x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 1.67x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 IONQ — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$44.52 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.03% • $1.35 • 0.46× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.95
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-04 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking below demand • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $45.87–$46.65
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $46.38–$46.45 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$46.65
Demand bottom / breakdown
$45.87
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m demand @ 40.25
1:7.21
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 36.63
1:11.85
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 35.05
1:13.87
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $45.87 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $45.87 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 90m demand zone identified at $40.25, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: IONQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.68x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.35 approach to the trigger, $0.78 zone thickness (the stop), $5.62 runway to the next zone -- 7.2:1 at the trigger, 2.36x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.46x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.36x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
$149.08 as of 2026-08-18 08:05 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.03% • $0.04 • 0.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.88
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply $149.12–$150.75
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $149.32–$149.88 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.90
Supply top / failure
$150.75
Supply bottom / rejection
$149.12
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 147.58
1:0.90
Fresh
T2
2H/90m/1H demand @ 120.89
1:16.89
Fresh
T3
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 117.80
1:18.74
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $149.12 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 2H supply zone at $149.12–$150.75 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $147.58, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 3.58x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.04 to reach the zone, $1.63 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.54 runway to the target -- 0.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $147.58 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$149.08 as of 2026-08-18 08:05 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.01% • $1.51 • 0.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.88
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $145.19–$147.58
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $145.50–$146.42 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.01
Demand bottom / failure
$145.19
Demand top / hold area
$147.58
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H supply @ 149.12
1:0.01
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 154.43
1:1.37
Fresh
T3
1D/1H supply @ 157.99
1:2.29
2 tests
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $147.58 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $145.19–$147.58. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 2H supply zone identified at $149.12, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.50 to reach the zone, $2.39 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.54 runway to the target -- 0.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $149.12 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$375.00 as of 2026-08-18 08:30 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.88% • $7.05 • 0.48× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.70
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (14d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-21) lands before the 2026-09-01 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-09-04) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-08-28 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $382.06–$385.81
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $384.33–$384.44 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.05
Supply top / failure
$385.81
Supply bottom / rejection
$382.06
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/1H demand @ 374.50
1:0.05
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 365.50
1:0.88
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 347.14
1:2.58
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $382.06 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $382.06–$385.81 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $374.50, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.9x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $7.06 to reach the zone, $3.75 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.56 runway to the target -- 2.0:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $374.50 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$75.20 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.25% • $0.19 • 0.07× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.61
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
54.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-21 (3 DTE) | swing 2026-09-04 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-21) and swing expiry (2026-09-04) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/90m/1H demand $74.35–$75.01
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $74.68–$74.77 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.46
Demand bottom / failure
$74.35
Demand top / hold area
$75.01
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 75.59
1:0.46
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 78.00
1:3.29
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 79.08
1:4.56
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $75.01 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 3H demand zone identified at $74.35–$75.01. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $75.59, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: UBER is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.19 to reach the zone, $0.66 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $0.58 runway to the target -- 0.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $75.59 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$768.95 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.38% • $10.61 • 1.35× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $757.01–$758.35
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $757.43–$757.67 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.38
Demand bottom / failure
$757.01
Demand top / hold area
$758.35
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H supply @ 773.53
1:0.38
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 775.29
1:0.53
Fresh
T3
90m/1H supply @ 777.75
1:0.74
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $758.35 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $757.01–$758.35. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 90m supply zone identified at $773.53, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SPY is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $10.60 to reach the zone, $1.34 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $15.18 runway to the target -- 11.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $15.18 to $773.53 -- a long 11.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$768.95 as of 2026-08-18 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.79% • $21.45 • 2.73× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-24 (6 DTE) | swing 2026-08-31 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $745.19–$747.49
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $745.79–$746.30 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.19
Demand bottom / failure
$745.19
Demand top / hold area
$747.49
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H supply @ 773.53
1:0.19
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 775.29
1:0.27
Fresh
T3
90m/1H supply @ 777.75
1:0.37
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $747.49 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $745.19–$747.49. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 90m supply zone identified at $773.53, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SPY is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $21.46 to reach the zone, $2.30 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $26.04 runway to the target -- 11.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $26.04 to $773.53 -- a long 11.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
AVGO
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.01%
1:0.27
T1 1:0.27 → T3 1:2.32
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving