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Supply & Demand Scenario Watchlist — 2026-08-12

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Generated: 2026-08-12 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York
Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only
Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50
Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion.
Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-08-11 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source)
Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
Final setups
22
All candidates
160
Bullish / bearish
7 / 15
Avg. distance
1.89%
Excellent: 1:4+ Strong: 1:2.5–1:3.99 Acceptable: 1:2.0–1:2.49 Watch only: 1:1.5–1:1.99 Poor: <1:1.5

Quick View

SectionSymbolContractScenarioSetup GradeCurrent PriceZoneDistanceT1 R:RR:R RangeTarget Ladder
Near-TermNOWPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$125.104H/3H/2H/1H demand $123.28–$125.001.45%1:4.02T1 1:4.02 → T3 1:5.10T1: 90m/1H demand @ 116.36 (RR 4.02, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.0) | T2: 1H demand @ 115.42 (RR 4.57, fresh, tests 0, quality 7.8) | T3: 1D demand @ 114.51 (RR 5.10, one_test, tests 1, quality 10.2) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 111.42 (RR 6.90, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.9) | T5: 4H/3H demand @ 102.16 (RR 12.28, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.9)
FuturePLTRPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$172.764H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $168.31–$171.992.58%1:3.30T1 1:3.30 → T3 1:12.49T1: 1D/3H/2H demand @ 156.18 (RR 3.30, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1) | T2: 4H/90m/1H demand @ 125.89 (RR 11.53, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.9) | T3: 2H demand @ 122.35 (RR 12.49, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.0) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 121.19 (RR 12.80, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9) | T5: 1D/1H demand @ 117.67 (RR 13.76, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0)
FutureSHOPPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$151.374H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $145.19–$147.584.08%1:6.00T1 1:10.17 → T3 1:12.95T1: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 120.89 (RR 10.17, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.3) | T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 117.80 (RR 11.46, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.24 (RR 12.95, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.5) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.60 (RR 15.31, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.1) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 102.97 (RR 17.67, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 9.9)
Near-TermAMZNPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$273.461D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $269.68–$272.761.38%1:6.00T1 1:13.11 → T3 1:15.55T1: 1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.31 (RR 13.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.9) | T2: 4H/3H/2H demand @ 225.23 (RR 14.43, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.79 (RR 15.55, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 213.78 (RR 18.15, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4) | T5: 3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 206.35 (RR 20.56, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.0)
Near-TermSPYPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$773.874H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $767.46–$769.430.83%1:4.62T1 1:4.62 → T3 1:10.14T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 758.35 (RR 4.62, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.7) | T2: 1H demand @ 755.11 (RR 6.27, fresh, tests 0, quality 7.9) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 747.49 (RR 10.14, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.7) | T4: 2H/1H demand @ 740.48 (RR 13.70, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.1) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 728.85 (RR 19.60, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 11.5)
Near-TermQQQPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$725.353H/90m/1H demand $714.00–$717.671.56%1:3.71T1 1:3.71 → T3 1:6.63T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 700.38 (RR 3.71, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.5) | T2: 1H demand @ 695.90 (RR 4.93, fresh, tests 0, quality 7.8) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 689.68 (RR 6.63, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.6) | T4: 90m/1H demand @ 684.79 (RR 7.96, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.6) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 660.07 (RR 14.69, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.6)
Near-TermAMDPutsSupply Rejection — PutsA+$483.244H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $489.29–$496.401.25%1:3.29T1 1:3.29 → T3 1:9.57T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.00 (RR 3.29, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0) | T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.53 (RR 4.92, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.31 (RR 9.57, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.6) | T4: 90m/1H demand @ 342.82 (RR 10.67, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.6) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 328.09 (RR 11.79, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.1)
FutureSMCICallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsA+$34.494H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $31.98–$32.854.76%1:3.00T1 1:3.00 → T3 1:12.60T1: 90m supply @ 35.46 (RR 3.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.2) | T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 40.22 (RR 8.47, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 43.81 (RR 12.60, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 45.23 (RR 14.23, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 48.76 (RR 18.29, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1)
FutureINTCPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$99.604H/2H/90m/1H demand $96.65–$97.432.96%1:6.00T1 1:7.24 → T3 1:20.17T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 91.00 (RR 7.24, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.5) | T2: 3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 82.81 (RR 17.74, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 6.9) | T3: 90m/1H demand @ 80.92 (RR 20.17, one_test, tests 1, quality 7.6) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 67.64 (RR 37.19, fresh, tests 0, quality 22.1) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/1H demand @ 64.94 (RR 40.65, one_test, tests 1, quality 14.3)
FutureTEMPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$55.904H/3H/90m demand $54.58–$55.052.36%1:5.36T1 1:5.36 → T3 1:16.77T1: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 52.06 (RR 5.36, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1) | T2: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 50.47 (RR 8.74, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.1) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 46.70 (RR 16.77, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 44.18 (RR 22.13, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.9) | T5: 4H/3H/1H demand @ 43.39 (RR 23.81, one_test, tests 1, quality 10.0)
Near-TermMSTRPutsSupply Rejection — PutsA+$97.561D/4H/3H/2H supply $99.51–$101.952.00%1:2.39T1 1:2.39T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 87.09 (RR 2.39, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4)
FutureCOINCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsA+$150.224H/2H/1H supply $152.74–$154.202.65%1:4.78T1 1:4.78 → T3 1:19.21T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 161.18 (RR 4.78, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.5) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 170.54 (RR 11.19, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.8) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 182.25 (RR 19.21, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.9) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 188.38 (RR 23.41, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6) | T5: 3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 211.98 (RR 39.58, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.6)
ImmediateMSFTPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$501.171D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply $501.49–$506.980.06%1:1.94T1 1:1.94 → T3 1:18.55T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 489.90 (RR 1.94, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.5) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 465.10 (RR 6.21, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.5) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 393.40 (RR 18.55, fresh, tests 0, quality 22.5) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 384.93 (RR 20.01, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.8) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.02 (RR 22.06, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4)
Near-TermGOOGLPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$345.771D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $350.19–$357.611.28%1:0.94T1 1:0.94 → T3 1:2.13T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.67 (RR 0.94, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.9) | T2: 1D/3H demand @ 327.90 (RR 1.51, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.7) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 320.52 (RR 2.13, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.7) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 318.09 (RR 2.34, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.2) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 305.46 (RR 3.40, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6)
Near-TermRBLXCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$36.381D/4H/3H/2H/1H demand $35.16–$36.240.38%1:0.17T1 1:0.17 → T3 1:1.75T1: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 36.59 (RR 0.17, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.5) | T2: 1H supply @ 37.35 (RR 0.80, one_test, tests 1, quality 5.4, soft obstacle: low_quality) | T3: 2H/90m supply @ 38.52 (RR 1.75, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.6) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 49.90 (RR 11.08, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.8) | T5: 1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 52.45 (RR 13.17, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.0)
ImmediateAMZNPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$273.461D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply $274.01–$281.070.20%1:0.09T1 1:0.09 → T3 1:6.34T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 272.76 (RR 0.09, one_test, tests 1, quality 16.0) | T2: 1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.31 (RR 5.80, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.9) | T3: 4H/3H/2H demand @ 225.23 (RR 6.34, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.79 (RR 6.79, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 213.78 (RR 7.84, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4)
Near-TermAMZNCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$273.461D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $269.68–$272.760.26%1:0.15T1 1:0.15 → T2 1:2.50T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 274.01 (RR 0.15, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.0) | T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 282.90 (RR 2.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.8)
FutureSHOPCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$151.374H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $145.19–$147.582.50%1:0.22T1 1:0.22 → T3 1:0.96T1: 1H supply @ 152.74 (RR 0.22, fresh, tests 0, quality 8.8) | T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 154.90 (RR 0.57, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.0) | T3: 1D/90m/1H supply @ 157.31 (RR 0.96, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.7) | T4: 1D supply @ 167.44 (RR 2.60, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.6) | T5: 1D supply @ 179.01 (RR 4.47, one_test, tests 1, quality 10.7)
Near-TermSNOWCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$332.304H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $322.48–$327.241.52%1:0.23T1 1:0.23T1: 90m/1H supply @ 334.57 (RR 0.23, one_test, tests 1, quality 7.2)
FutureSMCIPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$34.4990m supply $35.46–$35.982.81%1:2.23T1 1:2.23 → T3 1:6.05T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 31.16 (RR 2.23, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 28.78 (RR 3.83, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.5) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 25.48 (RR 6.05, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.5) | T4: 3H demand @ 24.19 (RR 6.91, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.8) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 23.47 (RR 7.40, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.3)

Final / Actionable Setups

📉 NOW — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Textbook geometry Steady momentum Puts
129.43127.78126.12124.47122.82Demand 123.28–125.00Supply 126.17–128.97Current 125.1008/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$125.10
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.45% • $1.81 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.02
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
68.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/1H demand
$123.28–$125.00
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $124.20–$124.84 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.02
Demand top / risk area
$125.00
Demand bottom / breakdown
$123.28
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m/1H demand @ 116.361:4.02Fresh
T21H demand @ 115.421:4.57Fresh
T31D demand @ 114.511:5.101 test
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $123.28 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $123.28 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 90m demand zone identified at $116.36, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NOW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.51x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.82 approach to the trigger, $1.72 zone thickness (the stop), $6.92 runway to the next zone -- 4.0:1 at the trigger, 1.25x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).

📉 PLTR — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Puts
182.66178.81174.95171.10167.25Demand 168.31–171.99Supply 177.07–181.60Current 172.7608/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$172.76
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.58% • $4.46 • 0.48× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.35
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
73.6 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-02 (82d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-11-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$168.31–$171.99
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $169.23–$169.51 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.30
Demand top / risk area
$171.99
Demand bottom / breakdown
$168.31
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/3H/2H demand @ 156.181:3.30Fresh
T24H/90m/1H demand @ 125.891:11.53Fresh
T32H demand @ 122.351:12.49Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $168.31 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $168.31 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $156.18, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.77x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $4.45 approach to the trigger, $3.68 zone thickness (the stop), $12.13 runway to the next zone -- 3.3:1 at the trigger, 1.77x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.48x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.77x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).

📉 SHOP — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Puts
155.49153.71151.93150.15148.37Demand 148.86–151.62Supply 152.74–154.34Current 151.3708/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$151.37
as of 2026-08-12 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.08% • $6.18 • 0.74× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.32
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
69.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (83d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$145.19–$147.58
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $145.50–$146.42 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$147.58
Demand bottom / breakdown
$145.19
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m/1H demand @ 120.891:10.17Fresh
T24H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 117.801:11.46Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.241:12.95Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $145.19 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $145.19 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 2H demand zone identified at $120.89, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.66x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $6.18 approach to the trigger, $2.39 zone thickness (the stop), $24.30 runway to the next zone -- 10.2:1 at the trigger, 3.66x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.74x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 3.66x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).

📉 AMZN — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
281.98278.68275.38272.07268.77Demand 269.68–272.76Supply 274.01–281.07Current 273.4608/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$273.46
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.38% • $3.77 • 0.37× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.30
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-26 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-17) and swing expiry (2026-08-26) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$269.68–$272.76
Tight core (where 15 zones align): $271.10–$271.33 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$272.76
Demand bottom / breakdown
$269.68
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.311:13.11Fresh
T24H/3H/2H demand @ 225.231:14.43Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.791:15.55Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $269.68 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 1D demand zone below $269.68 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $229.31, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 4.28x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.78 approach to the trigger, $3.08 zone thickness (the stop), $40.37 runway to the next zone -- 13.1:1 at the trigger, 4.28x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.37x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 4.28x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📉 SPY — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
778.40775.28772.15769.03765.91Demand 767.46–769.43Supply 772.60–776.85Current 773.8708/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$773.87
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.83% • $6.42 • 0.71× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.01
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-25 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$767.46–$769.43
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $767.81–$768.16 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.62
Demand top / risk area
$769.43
Demand bottom / breakdown
$767.46
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 758.351:4.62Fresh
T21H demand @ 755.111:6.27Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 747.491:10.14Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $767.46 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $767.46 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 4H demand zone identified at $758.35, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SPY is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.72x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $6.41 approach to the trigger, $1.97 zone thickness (the stop), $9.11 runway to the next zone -- 4.6:1 at the trigger, 1.72x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.71x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.72x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📉 QQQ — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
733.37728.17722.96717.75712.55Demand 714.00–717.67Supply 717.74–731.92Current 725.3508/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$725.35
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.56% • $11.32 • 0.79× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.38
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-25 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume
bouncing from demand • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/90m/1H demand
$714.00–$717.67
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $714.11–$714.90 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.71
Demand top / risk area
$717.67
Demand bottom / breakdown
$714.00
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 700.381:3.71Fresh
T21H demand @ 695.901:4.93Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 689.681:6.63Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $714.00 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 3H demand zone below $714.00 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 4H demand zone identified at $700.38, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.74x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $11.35 approach to the trigger, $3.67 zone thickness (the stop), $13.62 runway to the next zone -- 3.7:1 at the trigger, 1.74x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.79x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.74x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📉 AMD — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
486.99478.48469.97461.46452.95Demand 455.30–484.64Supply 475.10–483.73Current 483.2408/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$483.24
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.25% • $6.04 • 0.17× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$36.17
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-26 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (83d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-17) and swing expiry (2026-08-26) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$489.29–$496.40
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $492.15–$493.80 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.29
Supply top / failure
$496.40
Supply bottom / rejection
$489.29
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.001:3.29Fresh
T24H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.531:4.92Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.311:9.57Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $489.29 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $489.29–$496.40 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $440.00, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.79x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $6.05 to reach the zone, $7.11 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $49.29 runway to the target -- 6.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $49.29 to $440.00 -- a long 6.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 SMCI — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
36.5334.5332.5230.5228.52Demand 29.07–31.16Supply 35.46–35.98Current 34.4908/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$34.49
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.76% • $1.64 • 0.76× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.17
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (83d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
breaking above supply • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$31.98–$32.85
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $32.14–$32.36 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$31.98
Supply top / breakout
$32.85
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m supply @ 35.461:3.00Fresh
T24H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 40.221:8.47Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 43.811:12.60Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close above supply
  • □ hold/retest above zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ above 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $32.85 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $31.98–$32.85 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 90m supply zone identified at $35.46, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: SMCI is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.64x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.64 approach to the trigger, $0.87 zone thickness (the stop), $2.61 runway to the next zone -- 3.0:1 at the trigger, 1.96x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.76x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.96x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.

📉 INTC — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
100.4099.0597.6996.3394.98Demand 96.65–97.43Supply 98.43–100.03Current 99.6008/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$99.60
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.96% • $2.95 • 0.41× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.25
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-26 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-22 (71d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-17) and swing expiry (2026-08-26) land before the 2026-10-22 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
bouncing from demand • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand
$96.65–$97.43
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $96.80–$97.11 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$97.43
Demand bottom / breakdown
$96.65
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 91.001:7.24Fresh
T23H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 82.811:17.742 tests
T390m/1H demand @ 80.921:20.171 test
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $96.65 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $96.65 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $91.00, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: INTC is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.32x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.95 approach to the trigger, $0.78 zone thickness (the stop), $5.65 runway to the next zone -- 7.2:1 at the trigger, 1.19x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.41x daily ATR before entry. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.

📉 TEM — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
60.5058.4856.4754.4652.44Demand 54.58–55.05Supply 56.84–59.94Current 55.9008/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$55.90
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.36% • $1.32 • 0.40× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.31
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
62.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (83d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
bouncing from demand • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/90m demand
$54.58–$55.05
T1 R:R
1:5.36
Demand top / risk area
$55.05
Demand bottom / breakdown
$54.58
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 52.061:5.36Fresh
T22H/90m/1H demand @ 50.471:8.74Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 46.701:16.77Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $54.58 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $54.58 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 4H demand zone identified at $52.06, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TEM is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.64x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.32 approach to the trigger, $0.47 zone thickness (the stop), $2.52 runway to the next zone -- 5.4:1 at the trigger, 1.16x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.40x daily ATR before entry.

📉 MSTR — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
100.0297.2794.5191.7589.00Demand 89.76–97.62Supply 97.40–99.26Current 97.5608/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$97.56
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.00% • $1.95 • 0.35× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.57
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H supply
$99.51–$101.95
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $100.01–$100.08 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.39
Supply top / failure
$101.95
Supply bottom / rejection
$99.51
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 87.091:2.39Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $99.51 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $99.51–$101.95 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $87.09, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.88x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.95 to reach the zone, $2.44 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $12.42 runway to the target -- 5.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $12.42 to $87.09 -- a long 5.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 COIN — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
153.80150.71147.62144.54141.45Demand 142.30–148.18Supply 149.52–151.32Current 150.2208/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$150.22
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.65% • $3.98 • 0.44× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.11
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply
$152.74–$154.20
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $153.62–$154.20 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.78
Supply bottom / risk area
$152.74
Supply top / breakout
$154.20
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 161.181:4.78Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 170.541:11.19Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 182.251:19.21Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close above supply
  • □ hold/retest above zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ above 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $154.20 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $152.74–$154.20 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $161.18, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.23x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.98 approach to the trigger, $1.46 zone thickness (the stop), $6.98 runway to the next zone -- 4.8:1 at the trigger, 1.20x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.44x daily ATR before entry. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.

📉 MSFT — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
508.06504.15500.24496.33492.42Demand 493.50–502.96Supply 501.49–506.98Current 501.1708/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$501.17
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.06% • $0.30 • 0.02× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$17.52
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
77.7 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-26 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-17) and swing expiry (2026-08-26) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply
$501.49–$506.98
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $505.97–$506.98 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.94
Supply top / failure
$506.98
Supply bottom / rejection
$501.49
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 489.901:1.94Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 465.101:6.21Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 393.401:18.55Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $501.49 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $501.49–$506.98 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $489.90, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.06x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.32 to reach the zone, $5.49 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.59 runway to the target -- 2.1:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $489.90 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 GOOGL — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
358.93351.25343.57335.90328.22Demand 330.34–334.67Supply 346.09–347.87Current 345.7708/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$345.77
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.28% • $4.43 • 0.32× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$13.64
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-26 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (77d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-17) and swing expiry (2026-08-26) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$350.19–$357.61
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $355.96–$356.81 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.94
Supply top / failure
$357.61
Supply bottom / rejection
$350.19
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.671:0.94Fresh
T21D/3H demand @ 327.901:1.51Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 320.521:2.13Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $350.19 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $350.19–$357.61 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $334.67, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.85x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.42 to reach the zone, $7.42 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $15.52 runway to the target -- 2.1:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $334.67 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📈 RBLX — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Calls
37.6436.9736.3135.6434.98Demand 35.16–36.24Supply 36.59–37.01Current 36.3808/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$36.38
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.38% • $0.14 • 0.04× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.25
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
31.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
approaching demand grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H demand
$35.16–$36.24
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $36.01–$36.04 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Demand bottom / failure
$35.16
Demand top / hold area
$36.24
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 36.591:0.17Fresh
T21H supply @ 37.351:0.801 test
T32H/90m supply @ 38.521:1.75Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $36.24 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $35.16–$36.24. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $36.59, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.14 to reach the zone, $1.08 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $0.35 runway to the target -- 0.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $36.59 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 AMZN — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
281.98278.68275.38272.07268.77Demand 269.68–272.76Supply 274.01–281.07Current 273.4608/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$273.46
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.20% • $0.55 • 0.05× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.30
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-26 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-17) and swing expiry (2026-08-26) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply
$274.01–$281.07
Tight core (where 9 zones align): $277.65–$278.31 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.09
Supply top / failure
$281.07
Supply bottom / rejection
$274.01
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 272.761:0.091 test
T21D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.311:5.80Fresh
T34H/3H/2H demand @ 225.231:6.34Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $274.01 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $274.01–$281.07 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $272.76, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 4.28x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.55 to reach the zone, $7.06 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.25 runway to the target -- 0.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $272.76 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📈 AMZN — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Calls
281.98278.68275.38272.07268.77Demand 269.68–272.76Supply 274.01–281.07Current 273.4608/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$273.46
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.26% • $0.71 • 0.07× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.30
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-17 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-26 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-17) and swing expiry (2026-08-26) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$269.68–$272.76
Tight core (where 15 zones align): $271.10–$271.33 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.15
Demand bottom / failure
$269.68
Demand top / hold area
$272.76
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 274.011:0.15Fresh
T24H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 282.901:2.50Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $272.76 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $269.68–$272.76. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $274.01, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.70 to reach the zone, $3.08 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.25 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $274.01 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📈 SHOP — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Calls
155.49153.71151.93150.15148.37Demand 148.86–151.62Supply 152.74–154.34Current 151.3708/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$151.37
as of 2026-08-12 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.50% • $3.78 • 0.45× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.32
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
69.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (83d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$145.19–$147.58
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $145.50–$146.42 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.22
Demand bottom / failure
$145.19
Demand top / hold area
$147.58
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11H supply @ 152.741:0.22Fresh
T24H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 154.901:0.57Fresh
T31D/90m/1H supply @ 157.311:0.96Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $147.58 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $145.19–$147.58. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1H supply zone identified at $152.74, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $3.79 to reach the zone, $2.39 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.16 runway to the target -- 2.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $152.74 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📈 SNOW — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Calls
339.28334.77330.26325.75321.24Demand 322.48–327.24Supply 334.57–336.88Current 332.3008/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$332.30
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.52% • $5.05 • 0.33× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$15.26
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
81.1 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (21d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$322.48–$327.24
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $325.61–$325.67 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.23
Demand bottom / failure
$322.48
Demand top / hold area
$327.24
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m/1H supply @ 334.571:0.231 test
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $327.24 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $322.48–$327.24. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 90m supply zone identified at $334.57, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SNOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $5.06 to reach the zone, $4.76 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.33 runway to the target -- 1.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $334.57 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 SMCI — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
36.5334.5332.5230.5228.52Demand 29.07–31.16Supply 35.46–35.98Current 34.4908/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$34.49
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.81% • $0.97 • 0.45× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.17
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (83d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m supply
$35.46–$35.98
T1 R:R
1:2.23
Supply top / failure
$35.98
Supply bottom / rejection
$35.46
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 31.161:2.23Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 28.781:3.83Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 25.481:6.05Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $35.46 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 90m supply zone at $35.46–$35.98 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $31.16, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SMCI is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.54x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.97 to reach the zone, $0.52 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.30 runway to the target -- 8.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $4.30 to $31.16 -- a long 8.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📉 COIN — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
153.80150.71147.62144.54141.45Demand 142.30–148.18Supply 149.52–151.32Current 150.2208/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$150.22
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.68% • $2.52 • 0.28× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.11
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (78d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply
$152.74–$154.20
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $153.62–$154.20 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.51
Supply top / failure
$154.20
Supply bottom / rejection
$152.74
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 148.181:0.51Fresh
T24H/2H/1H demand @ 140.931:2.333 tests
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $152.74 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $152.74–$154.20 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $148.18, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.52 to reach the zone, $1.46 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.56 runway to the target -- 3.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $4.56 to $148.18 -- a long 3.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 HIMS — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Calls
32.6531.7830.9130.0429.17Demand 30.38–30.97Supply 31.07–32.41Current 30.8508/11 09:3008/11 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$30.85
as of 2026-08-12 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.05% • $0.94 • 0.32× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.93
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (2 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-28 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-09 (89d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-28) land before the 2026-11-09 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/90m/1H demand
$29.53–$29.91
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $29.53–$29.70 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Demand bottom / failure
$29.53
Demand top / hold area
$29.91
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/90m/1H supply @ 31.071:0.17Fresh
T21D/4H/2H/1H supply @ 32.521:1.27Fresh
T32H supply @ 34.391:2.682 tests
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $29.91 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 3H demand zone identified at $29.53–$29.91. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $31.07, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: HIMS is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.94 to reach the zone, $0.38 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.16 runway to the target -- 3.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $1.16 to $31.07 -- a long 3.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

Developing Scenario Watchlist

SymbolContractScenarioStatusSetup GradeDistanceT1 R:RR:R Range SummaryFreshnessConfirmation Checklist
NOWCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.08%1:0.59T1 1:0.59 → T3 1:9.09Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
TEMCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.09%1:3.41T1 1:3.41 → T3 1:25.90Multiple retests (3 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
GOOGLPutsSupply Rejection — PutsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.09%1:5.29T1 1:5.29 → T3 1:12.02Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
IONQCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.09%1:0.14T1 1:0.14 → T3 1:6.10One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
METAPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.13%1:0.55T1 1:0.55 → T3 1:3.60Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
CRMPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.13%1:0.72T1 1:0.72 → T3 1:11.24Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SNOWPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.13%1:2.34T1 1:2.34 → T3 1:9.83Multiple retests (2 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
NFLXCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.13%1:0.60T1 1:0.60 → T3 1:5.36Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SOFIPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.16%1:0.17T1 1:0.17 → T3 1:0.47Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SMCICallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.23%1:0.71T1 1:0.71 → T3 1:6.35One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
HOODCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.25%1:3.41T1 1:3.41 → T3 1:9.87Multiple retests (2 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
IONQPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.27%1:0.53T1 1:0.53 → T3 1:3.02Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
CRMCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.28%1:1.01T1 1:1.01 → T3 1:4.48Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
NFLXPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.43%1:0.22T1 1:0.22 → T3 1:8.71One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PLTRCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.45%1:0.97T1 1:0.97 → T2 1:7.25Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
UBERCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.53%1:0.33T1 1:0.33 → T3 1:3.20Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
NOWPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.54%1:0.71T1 1:0.71 → T3 1:9.42Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
COSTCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.55%1:0.74T1 1:0.74 → T3 1:3.57Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.57%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
NFLXCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.60%1:6.00T1 1:8.92 → T3 1:52.00One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
GOOGLCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.61%1:1.30T1 1:1.30 → T3 1:6.64Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
INTCPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.63%1:0.30T1 1:0.30 → T3 1:2.32Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SHOPPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.68%1:6.00T1 1:13.39 → T3 1:96.11One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SNOWPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.68%1:1.10T1 1:1.10 → T3 1:4.95One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
NFLXPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.72%1:0.32T1 1:0.32 → T3 1:10.36Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
AAPLPutsSupply Rejection — PutsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.75%1:2.58T1 1:2.58 → T3 1:6.56Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
COSTPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.88%1:0.31T1 1:0.31 → T3 1:4.75Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
COINCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsNear zone: developingB0.90%1:3.42T1 1:3.42 → T3 1:19.18One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NFLXCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.91%1:0.10T1 1:0.10 → T3 1:0.86Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AVGOCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsNear zone: developingB0.92%1:6.00T1 1:33.06Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
METACallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.16%1:0.05T1 1:0.05 → T3 1:2.59Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
CRMPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.16%1:1.40T1 1:1.40 → T3 1:7.29Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
MSFTCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.16%1:0.09T1 1:0.09 → T2 1:6.30Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
COSTPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.19%1:0.73T1 1:0.73 → T2 1:11.36Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
APPCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.21%1:1.53T1 1:1.53 → T3 1:15.36Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
AAPLCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsNear zone: developingB1.22%1:3.99T1 1:3.99 → T2 1:22.83Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
ARMCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsNear zone: developingB1.28%1:2.70T1 1:2.70 → T3 1:7.65One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
RKLBCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.39%1:0.45T1 1:0.45 → T3 1:5.33Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
QQQPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.44%1:0.36T1 1:0.36 → T3 1:1.36Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
CRWDPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.45%1:0.88T1 1:0.88 → T3 1:2.75Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening

Zone Map / Research Context

SymbolContractScenarioStatusSetup GradeDistanceT1 R:RR:R Range SummaryFreshnessConfirmation Checklist
METACallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.17%1:0.12T1 1:0.12 → T3 1:2.76Multiple retests (6 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NFLXPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC0.27%1:0.97T1 1:0.97 → T3 1:13.13Multiple retests (5 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
PANWCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC1.12%n/aNo valid targetOne successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
UBERCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC1.20%1:0.17T1 1:0.17 → T3 1:6.70Multiple retests (2 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SNOWCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC1.38%n/aNo valid targetOne successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SOFIPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC1.93%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:17.37Multiple retests (2 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC2.42%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
NETCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC2.77%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SOFIPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC3.20%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:5.04Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
AVGOPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC3.54%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:6.85One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC4.31%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving

v0.29 separates setup quality from entry confirmation. The watchlist prepares Calls/Puts scenarios, target ladders, R:R tiers, and confirmation checklists; entry-confirmation scoring belongs to backtesting/trade review.