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Supply & Demand Scenario Watchlist — 2026-08-08

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Generated: 2026-08-08 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York
Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only
Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50
Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion.
Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-08-07 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source)
Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
Final setups
21
All candidates
161
Bullish / bearish
9 / 12
Avg. distance
1.57%
Excellent: 1:4+ Strong: 1:2.5–1:3.99 Acceptable: 1:2.0–1:2.49 Watch only: 1:1.5–1:1.99 Poor: <1:1.5

Quick View

SectionSymbolContractScenarioSetup GradeCurrent PriceZoneDistanceT1 R:RR:R RangeTarget Ladder
Near-TermTSLAPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$329.004H/3H/1H demand $326.52–$327.170.75%1:6.00T1 1:10.75 → T2 1:23.55T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 319.53 (RR 10.75, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 311.21 (RR 23.55, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2)
ImmediateCOSTCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$947.004H/3H/2H/1H demand $941.27–$946.190.09%1:3.68T1 1:3.68 → T3 1:8.48T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 968.07 (RR 3.68, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.5) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 980.39 (RR 5.83, one_test, tests 1, quality 14.0) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 995.60 (RR 8.48, one_test, tests 1, quality 15.9) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 1003.69 (RR 9.89, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.3) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 1026.41 (RR 13.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0)
Near-TermAMDPutsSupply Rejection — PutsA+$483.154H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $489.29–$496.401.27%1:3.26T1 1:3.26 → T3 1:9.50T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.00 (RR 3.26, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0) | T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.53 (RR 4.88, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.31 (RR 9.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.6) | T4: 90m/1H demand @ 342.82 (RR 10.59, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.6) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 328.09 (RR 11.70, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.1)
Near-TermQQQCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$723.234H/3H/2H/90m demand $718.82–$721.240.28%1:2.84T1 1:2.84T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 735.76 (RR 2.84, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4)
Near-TermINTCCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$101.692H/90m/1H demand $100.31–$101.110.57%1:3.87T1 1:3.87 → T3 1:7.71T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 107.03 (RR 3.87, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.8) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 109.58 (RR 5.72, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 112.33 (RR 7.71, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.0) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 122.20 (RR 14.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.1) | T5: 1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 139.12 (RR 27.12, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.9)
Near-TermAMZNPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$274.341D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $269.68–$272.761.70%1:6.00T1 1:13.11 → T3 1:15.55T1: 1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.31 (RR 13.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.9) | T2: 4H/3H/2H demand @ 225.23 (RR 14.43, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.79 (RR 15.55, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 213.78 (RR 18.15, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4) | T5: 3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 206.35 (RR 20.56, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.0)
FutureTSLACallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$329.001D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $315.52–$319.532.88%1:3.34T1 1:3.34 → T3 1:4.45T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 374.01 (RR 3.34, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.8) | T2: 1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.84 (RR 3.85, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.3) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 389.04 (RR 4.45, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.7) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 393.73 (RR 4.80, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.3) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 407.68 (RR 5.84, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.3)
Near-TermAVGOCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$426.453H/2H/90m/1H demand $416.89–$424.740.40%1:5.76T1 1:5.76T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 481.57 (RR 5.76, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0)
Near-TermGOOGLPutsSupply Rejection — PutsA+$354.704H/3H/2H/90m supply $355.71–$358.470.28%1:5.31T1 1:5.31 → T3 1:9.07T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.67 (RR 5.31, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.9) | T2: 1D/3H demand @ 327.90 (RR 7.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.7) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 320.52 (RR 9.07, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.7) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 318.09 (RR 9.71, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.2) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 305.46 (RR 13.06, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6)
Near-TermSOFICallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$18.342H/90m/1H demand $18.02–$18.210.72%1:4.79T1 1:4.79 → T3 1:11.60T1: 2H/90m/1H supply @ 19.88 (RR 4.79, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.8) | T2: 1D/4H/90m/1H supply @ 20.39 (RR 6.37, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.3) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 22.07 (RR 11.60, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.9) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 24.12 (RR 17.97, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.7) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 25.36 (RR 21.83, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.6)
FuturePLTRPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$171.814H/90m/1H demand $168.31–$170.882.04%1:4.72T1 1:4.72 → T3 1:17.88T1: 1D/3H/2H demand @ 156.18 (RR 4.72, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1) | T2: 4H/90m/1H demand @ 125.89 (RR 16.51, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.9) | T3: 2H demand @ 122.35 (RR 17.88, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.0) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 121.19 (RR 18.33, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9) | T5: 1D/1H demand @ 117.67 (RR 19.70, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0)
ImmediateNFLXCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$74.162H/90m/1H demand $73.92–$74.140.03%1:6.00T1 1:7.54 → T3 1:29.07T1: 2H/90m/1H supply @ 75.97 (RR 7.54, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.0) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 77.33 (RR 13.20, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.3) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 81.14 (RR 29.07, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4) | T4: 3H/2H supply @ 84.05 (RR 41.19, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.8) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 85.72 (RR 48.15, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.3)
FutureAPPCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$347.0090m/1H demand $332.68–$337.512.73%1:4.71T1 1:4.71 → T3 1:7.12T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 414.48 (RR 4.71, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.9) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 429.59 (RR 5.77, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.4) | T3: 1D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 448.90 (RR 7.12, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.8) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 505.65 (RR 11.08, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.7) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 510.11 (RR 11.39, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9)
Near-TermTSLACallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsA+$329.004H/3H/1H demand $326.52–$327.170.56%1:6.00T1 1:18.15 → T3 1:24.21T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 374.01 (RR 18.15, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.8) | T2: 1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.84 (RR 20.90, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.3) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 389.04 (RR 24.21, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.7) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 393.73 (RR 26.10, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.3) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 407.68 (RR 31.73, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.3)
ImmediateTEMPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$51.921D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply $52.01–$53.500.17%1:0.92T1 1:0.92 → T3 1:4.90T1: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 50.47 (RR 0.92, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.1) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 46.70 (RR 3.30, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 44.18 (RR 4.90, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.9) | T4: 4H/3H/1H demand @ 43.39 (RR 5.40, one_test, tests 1, quality 10.0) | T5: 1D/90m/1H demand @ 42.41 (RR 6.02, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.3)
FutureAMDPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$483.151D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply $504.00–$530.134.32%1:0.92T1 1:0.92 → T3 1:2.68T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.00 (RR 0.92, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0) | T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.53 (RR 1.38, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.31 (RR 2.68, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.6) | T4: 90m/1H demand @ 342.82 (RR 2.99, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.6) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 328.09 (RR 3.30, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.1)
ImmediateMUPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$880.004H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $881.47–$913.330.17%1:0.19T1 1:0.19 → T3 1:4.35T1: 2H/90m demand @ 873.83 (RR 0.19, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.9) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 829.50 (RR 1.52, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.8) | T3: 1D/90m/1H demand @ 734.96 (RR 4.35, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.8) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 646.76 (RR 7.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 581.06 (RR 8.97, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.1)
FutureNVDAPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$223.802H/90m/1H supply $228.32–$231.502.02%1:0.17T1 1:0.17 → T3 1:1.46T1: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 222.46 (RR 0.17, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.3) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 220.41 (RR 0.44, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.9) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 212.57 (RR 1.46, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.9) | T4: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 208.15 (RR 2.03, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.7) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 200.81 (RR 2.99, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.3)
FutureNVDAPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$223.804H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $234.11–$236.544.61%1:0.11T1 1:0.11 → T3 1:0.88T1: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 222.46 (RR 0.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.3) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 220.41 (RR 0.27, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.9) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 212.57 (RR 0.88, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.9) | T4: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 208.15 (RR 1.23, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.7) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 200.81 (RR 1.80, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.3)
FutureSHOPPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$151.2090m/1H supply $155.77–$156.383.02%1:0.28T1 1:0.28 → T3 1:5.86T1: 2H demand @ 149.78 (RR 0.28, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.2) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 147.58 (RR 0.70, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.3) | T3: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 120.89 (RR 5.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.3) | T4: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 117.80 (RR 6.45, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.24 (RR 7.14, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.5)

Final / Actionable Setups

📉 TSLA — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Textbook geometry Puts
385.45368.21350.97333.73316.50Demand 326.52–327.17Supply 374.01–380.69Current 329.0008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$329.00
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.75% • $2.47 • 0.17× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.94
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (74d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/1H demand
$326.52–$327.17
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $326.72–$327.00 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$327.17
Demand bottom / breakdown
$326.52
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 319.531:10.75Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 311.211:23.55Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $326.52 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $326.52 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $319.53, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Trade geometry: $2.48 approach to the trigger, $0.65 zone thickness (the stop), $6.99 runway to the next zone -- 10.8:1 at the trigger, 0.63x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else).

📈 COST — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Calls
959.05953.19947.34941.48935.62Demand 941.27–946.19Supply 943.42–957.16Current 947.0008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$947.00
as of 2026-08-07 06:50 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.09% • $0.85 • 0.05× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$18.60
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-24 (47d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-09-24 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/1H demand
$941.27–$946.19
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $945.15–$945.35 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.68
Demand bottom / failure
$941.27
Demand top / hold area
$946.19
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 968.071:3.68Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 980.391:5.831 test
T34H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 995.601:8.481 test
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $946.19 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $941.27–$946.19. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $968.07, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COST is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.8x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.81 to reach the zone, $4.92 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $21.88 runway to the target -- 4.5:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (4.5x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).

📉 AMD — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
502.49489.82477.14464.47451.80Demand 455.30–486.72Supply 482.25–483.64Current 483.1508/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$483.15
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.27% • $6.14 • 0.15× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$39.93
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (87d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$489.29–$496.40
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $492.15–$493.80 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.26
Supply top / failure
$496.40
Supply bottom / rejection
$489.29
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.001:3.26Fresh
T24H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.531:4.88Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.311:9.50Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $489.29 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $489.29–$496.40 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $440.00, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.62x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $6.14 to reach the zone, $7.11 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $49.29 runway to the target -- 6.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $49.29 to $440.00 -- a long 6.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 QQQ — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Calls
733.37728.79724.21719.64715.06Demand 718.82–721.24Supply 717.74–731.92Current 723.2308/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$723.23
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.28% • $2.03 • 0.14× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.94
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
57.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-13 (5 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m demand
$718.82–$721.24
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $719.22–$720.10 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.84
Demand bottom / failure
$718.82
Demand top / hold area
$721.24
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 735.761:2.84Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $721.24 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $718.82–$721.24. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $735.76, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.99 to reach the zone, $2.42 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $14.52 runway to the target -- 6.0:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (6.0x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).

📈 INTC — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Calls
107.56105.00102.4499.8897.32Demand 100.31–101.11Supply 100.23–106.85Current 101.6908/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$101.69
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.57% • $0.58 • 0.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.70
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-22 (75d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-22 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand
$100.31–$101.11
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $100.85–$100.87 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.87
Demand bottom / failure
$100.31
Demand top / hold area
$101.11
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 107.031:3.87Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 109.581:5.72Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 112.331:7.71Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $101.11 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 2H demand zone identified at $100.31–$101.11. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $107.03, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: INTC is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.58 to reach the zone, $0.80 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.92 runway to the target -- 7.4:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (7.4x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).

📉 AMZN — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
281.98278.68275.38272.07268.77Demand 269.68–272.76Supply 276.06–281.07Current 274.3408/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$274.34
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.70% • $4.66 • 0.47× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.99
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (82d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$269.68–$272.76
Tight core (where 13 zones align): $271.10–$271.33 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$272.76
Demand bottom / breakdown
$269.68
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.311:13.11Fresh
T24H/3H/2H demand @ 225.231:14.43Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.791:15.55Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $269.68 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 1D demand zone below $269.68 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $229.31, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 4.51x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $4.66 approach to the trigger, $3.08 zone thickness (the stop), $40.37 runway to the next zone -- 13.1:1 at the trigger, 4.51x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.47x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 4.51x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📈 TSLA — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
385.45368.21350.97333.73316.50Demand 326.52–327.17Supply 374.01–380.69Current 329.0008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$329.00
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.88% • $9.48 • 0.63× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.94
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (74d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$315.52–$319.53
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $318.31–$318.58 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.34
Demand bottom / failure
$315.52
Demand top / hold area
$319.53
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 374.011:3.34Fresh
T21D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.841:3.85Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 389.041:4.45Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $319.53 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $315.52–$319.53. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $374.01, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.01x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $9.47 to reach the zone, $4.01 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $54.48 runway to the target -- 13.6:1. Below the validated reversal profile: still 0.63x daily ATR from the zone; the zone is thin relative to the target (13.6x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.

📈 AVGO — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
431.96427.91423.87419.82415.77Demand 416.89–424.74Supply 420.55–428.03Current 426.4508/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$426.45
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.40% • $1.71 • 0.11× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$16.20
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (25d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$416.89–$424.74
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $420.07–$421.14 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.76
Demand bottom / failure
$416.89
Demand top / hold area
$424.74
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 481.571:5.76Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $424.74 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 3H demand zone identified at $416.89–$424.74. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $481.57, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AVGO is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.4x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.71 to reach the zone, $7.85 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $56.83 runway to the target -- 7.2:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (7.2x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.

📉 GOOGL — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
359.61357.71355.80353.90352.00Demand 352.71–356.32Supply 355.71–358.47Current 354.7008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$354.70
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.28% • $0.99 • 0.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$13.23
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (81d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m supply
$355.71–$358.47
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $357.86–$358.31 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.31
Supply top / failure
$358.47
Supply bottom / rejection
$355.71
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.671:5.31Fresh
T21D/3H demand @ 327.901:7.11Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 320.521:9.07Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $355.71 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $355.71–$358.47 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $334.67, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.51x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.01 to reach the zone, $2.76 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $21.04 runway to the target -- 7.6:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (7.6x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.

📈 SOFI — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
19.9119.4018.8918.3917.88Demand 18.02–18.21Supply 18.21–19.77Current 18.3408/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$18.34
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.72% • $0.13 • 0.15× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.87
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-27 (80d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-27 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand
$18.02–$18.21
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $18.03–$18.10 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.79
Demand bottom / failure
$18.02
Demand top / hold area
$18.21
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m/1H supply @ 19.881:4.79Fresh
T21D/4H/90m/1H supply @ 20.391:6.37Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 22.071:11.60Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $18.21 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 2H demand zone identified at $18.02–$18.21. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 2H supply zone identified at $19.88, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.78x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.13 to reach the zone, $0.19 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.67 runway to the target -- 8.8:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (8.8x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.

📉 PLTR — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
173.41169.80166.19162.57158.96Demand 168.31–170.88Supply 170.15–172.00Current 171.8108/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$171.81
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.04% • $3.50 • 0.38× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.27
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
72.8 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-02 (86d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
bouncing from demand • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/90m/1H demand
$168.31–$170.88
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $169.23–$169.51 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.72
Demand top / risk area
$170.88
Demand bottom / breakdown
$168.31
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/3H/2H demand @ 156.181:4.72Fresh
T24H/90m/1H demand @ 125.891:16.51Fresh
T32H demand @ 122.351:17.88Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $168.31 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $168.31 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $156.18, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.69x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.50 approach to the trigger, $2.57 zone thickness (the stop), $12.13 runway to the next zone -- 4.7:1 at the trigger, 1.69x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.38x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.69x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📈 NFLX — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
75.2474.6674.0873.5072.91Demand 73.92–74.14Supply 74.08–75.08Current 74.1608/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$74.16
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.03% • $0.02 • 0.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.16
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-20 (73d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-20 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand
$73.92–$74.14
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $73.93–$74.05 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand bottom / failure
$73.92
Demand top / hold area
$74.14
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m/1H supply @ 75.971:7.54Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 77.331:13.20Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 81.141:29.07Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $74.14 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 2H demand zone identified at $73.92–$74.14. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 2H supply zone identified at $75.97, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NFLX is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 3.23x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.02 to reach the zone, $0.22 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.83 runway to the target -- 8.3:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (8.3x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.

📈 APP — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
434.12407.95381.78355.62329.45Demand 339.23–343.87Supply 414.48–426.90Current 347.0008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$347.00
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.73% • $9.47 • 0.38× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$25.05
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
32.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-04 (88d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand
$332.68–$337.51
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $333.22–$334.21 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.71
Demand bottom / failure
$332.68
Demand top / hold area
$337.51
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 414.481:4.71Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 429.591:5.77Fresh
T31D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 448.901:7.12Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $337.51 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 90m demand zone identified at $332.68–$337.51. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $414.48, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: APP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.69x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $9.49 to reach the zone, $4.83 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $76.97 runway to the target -- 15.9:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (15.9x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.

📈 TSLA — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
385.45368.21350.97333.73316.50Demand 326.52–327.17Supply 374.01–380.69Current 329.0008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$329.00
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.56% • $1.84 • 0.12× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.94
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (74d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/1H demand
$326.52–$327.17
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $326.72–$327.00 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand bottom / failure
$326.52
Demand top / hold area
$327.17
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 374.011:18.15Fresh
T21D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.841:20.90Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 389.041:24.21Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $327.17 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $326.52–$327.17. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $374.01, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.01x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.83 to reach the zone, $0.65 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $46.84 runway to the target -- 72.1:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (72.1x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.

📉 TEM — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
54.0052.1850.3648.5446.72Demand 49.58–50.47Supply 52.01–53.50Current 51.9208/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$51.92
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.17% • $0.09 • 0.03× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (87d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply
$52.01–$53.50
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $52.67–$52.76 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.92
Supply top / failure
$53.50
Supply bottom / rejection
$52.01
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m/1H demand @ 50.471:0.92Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 46.701:3.30Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 44.181:4.90Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $52.01 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $52.01–$53.50 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $50.47, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TEM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.72x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.09 to reach the zone, $1.49 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.54 runway to the target -- 1.0:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $50.47 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 AMD — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
502.49489.82477.14464.47451.80Demand 455.30–486.72Supply 482.25–483.64Current 483.1508/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$483.15
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.32% • $20.87 • 0.52× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$39.93
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (87d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply
$504.00–$530.13
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $526.88–$529.87 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.92
Supply top / failure
$530.13
Supply bottom / rejection
$504.00
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.001:0.92Fresh
T24H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.531:1.38Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.311:2.68Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $504.00 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $504.00–$530.13 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $440.00, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.62x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $20.85 to reach the zone, $26.13 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $64.00 runway to the target -- 2.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $440.00 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 MU — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
918.63899.40880.17860.95841.72Demand 860.31–873.83Supply 881.47–913.33Current 880.0008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$880.00
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.17% • $1.50 • 0.02× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$84.67
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-23 (46d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-09-23 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$881.47–$913.33
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $893.94–$898.99 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.19
Supply top / failure
$913.33
Supply bottom / rejection
$881.47
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m demand @ 873.831:0.19Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 829.501:1.52Fresh
T31D/90m/1H demand @ 734.961:4.35Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $881.47 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $881.47–$913.33 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $873.83, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MU is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.47 to reach the zone, $31.86 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.64 runway to the target -- 0.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $873.83 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 NVDA — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
228.03225.74223.45221.17218.88Demand 221.55–222.46Supply 219.51–227.40Current 223.8008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$223.80
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.02% • $4.52 • 0.58× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.83
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (18d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply
$228.32–$231.50
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Supply top / failure
$231.50
Supply bottom / rejection
$228.32
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m/1H demand @ 222.461:0.17Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 220.411:0.44Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 212.571:1.46Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $228.32 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 2H supply zone at $228.32–$231.50 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $222.46, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $4.52 to reach the zone, $3.18 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.86 runway to the target -- 1.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $222.46 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 NVDA — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Steady momentum Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
228.03225.74223.45221.17218.88Demand 221.55–222.46Supply 219.51–227.40Current 223.8008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$223.80
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.61% • $10.32 • 1.32× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.83
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-12 (4 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (18d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-12) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$234.11–$236.54
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $235.75–$236.03 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.11
Supply top / failure
$236.54
Supply bottom / rejection
$234.11
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m/1H demand @ 222.461:0.11Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 220.411:0.27Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 212.571:0.88Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $234.11 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $234.11–$236.54 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $222.46, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $10.31 to reach the zone, $2.43 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.65 runway to the target -- 4.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $11.65 to $222.46 -- a long 4.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📉 SHOP — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Steady momentum Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
157.24154.12150.99147.86144.74Demand 148.86–149.78Supply 155.77–156.38Current 151.2008/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$151.20
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.02% • $4.57 • 0.54× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.44
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
71.3 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (87d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply
$155.77–$156.38
T1 R:R
1:0.28
Supply top / failure
$156.38
Supply bottom / rejection
$155.77
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H demand @ 149.781:0.28Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 147.581:0.70Fresh
T32H/90m/1H demand @ 120.891:5.86Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $155.77 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 90m supply zone at $155.77–$156.38 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $149.78, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 3.59x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.57 to reach the zone, $0.61 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.99 runway to the target -- 9.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.99 to $149.78 -- a long 9.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📉 TEM — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Steady momentum Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
54.0052.1850.3648.5446.72Demand 49.58–50.47Supply 52.01–53.50Current 51.9208/07 09:3008/07 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$51.92
as of 2026-08-07 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.33% • $2.25 • 0.74× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-14 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-03 (87d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-14) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply
$54.17–$54.76
T1 R:R
1:0.51
Supply top / failure
$54.76
Supply bottom / rejection
$54.17
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/90m/1H demand @ 50.471:0.51Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 46.701:1.84Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 44.181:2.73Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $54.17 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1H supply zone at $54.17–$54.76 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $50.47, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: TEM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.72x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.25 to reach the zone, $0.59 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.70 runway to the target -- 6.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $3.70 to $50.47 -- a long 6.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

Developing Scenario Watchlist

SymbolContractScenarioStatusSetup GradeDistanceT1 R:RR:R Range SummaryFreshnessConfirmation Checklist
METACallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.04%1:1.87T1 1:1.87 → T3 1:8.69Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
RBLXPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.06%1:1.20T1 1:1.20 → T3 1:4.91One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
NOWPutsSupply Rejection — PutsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.07%1:6.00T1 1:18.79 → T3 1:22.94One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.16%1:0.57T1 1:0.57Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPYPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.18%1:0.36T1 1:0.36 → T3 1:4.32Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SPYPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.32%1:1.20T1 1:1.20 → T3 1:12.93Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
NFLXPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.32%1:0.64T1 1:0.64 → T3 1:20.73Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
IONQPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.34%1:0.29T1 1:0.29 → T3 1:1.55Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
NOWCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.36%1:2.69T1 1:2.69 → T3 1:45.67One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SPYCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.45%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NFLXCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.51%1:0.59T1 1:0.59 → T3 1:2.29Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.51%1:0.24T1 1:0.24Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
MSFTPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.53%1:1.73T1 1:1.73 → T3 1:19.37Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
AMZNCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.58%1:0.37T1 1:0.37 → T2 1:1.84Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
QQQPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.61%1:1.42T1 1:1.42 → T3 1:9.47Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
COSTPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.61%1:0.25T1 1:0.25 → T3 1:3.33Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
AMZNPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.63%1:0.23T1 1:0.23 → T3 1:7.30Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
COSTCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.74%1:2.76T1 1:2.76 → T3 1:6.36One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
RKLBCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.75%1:6.00T1 1:9.14 → T3 1:26.11One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SPYPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.76%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:6.27Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
CRMPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.77%1:0.89T1 1:0.89 → T3 1:5.11Multiple retests (2 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PANWPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.80%1:0.69T1 1:0.69 → T3 1:18.55Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
COSTPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.81%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:21.94One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
APPCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsNear zone: developingB0.90%1:6.00T1 1:8.68 → T3 1:13.11Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
METAPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.00%1:0.37T1 1:0.37 → T3 1:6.19Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
NVDAPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.01%1:1.25T1 1:1.25 → T3 1:14.73Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
GOOGLCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.06%1:0.44T1 1:0.44 → T3 1:9.87Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
QQQCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.08%1:1.36T1 1:1.36Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
MSFTCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.10%1:0.93T1 1:0.93 → T2 1:12.92Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NOWPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.14%1:2.28T1 1:2.28 → T3 1:2.78Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
HOODPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsNear zone: developingB1.21%1:3.47T1 1:3.47 → T3 1:28.67Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
NETPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.24%1:0.44T1 1:0.44 → T3 1:4.31Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
COSTCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.24%1:1.19T1 1:1.19 → T3 1:2.74Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
PANWCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.27%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
QQQPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.28%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:13.02Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
METACallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.36%1:0.92T1 1:0.92 → T3 1:4.30Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
INTCPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.36%1:0.68T1 1:0.68 → T3 1:21.88Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
ASTSPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.39%1:0.46T1 1:0.46 → T3 1:2.77One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
GOOGLPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.41%1:1.95T1 1:1.95 → T3 1:3.32Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
ANETCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.43%1:2.41T1 1:2.41Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving

Zone Map / Research Context

SymbolContractScenarioStatusSetup GradeDistanceT1 R:RR:R Range SummaryFreshnessConfirmation Checklist
PANWCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC0.12%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
ASTSCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC0.51%1:0.41T1 1:0.41 → T3 1:2.53Multiple retests (4 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
HOODPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC1.78%1:0.33T1 1:0.33 → T3 1:2.76Multiple retests (4 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
HOODCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsFuture scenarioB2.35%1:6.00T1 1:10.81 → T3 1:30.91Multiple retests (4 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NETCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC2.59%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
ARMPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC2.73%1:0.64T1 1:0.64 → T3 1:5.89Multiple retests (3 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
ARMCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC3.84%1:0.95T1 1:0.95 → T3 1:18.92Multiple retests (3 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
AVGOPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC4.11%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:6.85One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure

v0.29 separates setup quality from entry confirmation. The watchlist prepares Calls/Puts scenarios, target ladders, R:R tiers, and confirmation checklists; entry-confirmation scoring belongs to backtesting/trade review.