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Supply & Demand Scenario Watchlist — 2026-08-04

Generated: 2026-08-04 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York
Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only
Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50
Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion.
Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-08-03 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source)
Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
Final setups
23
All candidates
135
Bullish / bearish
10 / 13
Avg. distance
2.45%
Excellent: 1:4+ Strong: 1:2.5–1:3.99 Acceptable: 1:2.0–1:2.49 Watch only: 1:1.5–1:1.99 Poor: <1:1.5

Quick View

SectionSymbolContractScenarioSetup GradeCurrent PriceZoneDistanceT1 R:RR:R RangeTarget Ladder
Near-TermINTCCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsA+$95.254H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $92.31–$93.931.39%1:3.44T1 1:3.44 → T3 1:9.66T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 99.50 (RR 3.44, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.2) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 107.03 (RR 8.09, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.8) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 109.58 (RR 9.66, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 112.33 (RR 11.36, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.0) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 122.20 (RR 17.45, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.1)
FutureGOOGLPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$368.434H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $352.71–$356.324.27%1:5.00T1 1:5.00 → T3 1:8.92T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.67 (RR 5.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.9) | T2: 1D/3H demand @ 327.90 (RR 6.87, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.7) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 320.52 (RR 8.92, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.7) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 318.09 (RR 9.59, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.2) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 305.46 (RR 13.09, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6)
FutureAMZNPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$277.654H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $269.68–$271.832.87%1:6.00T1 1:18.78 → T3 1:22.27T1: 1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.31 (RR 18.78, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.9) | T2: 4H/3H/2H demand @ 225.23 (RR 20.67, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.79 (RR 22.27, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 213.78 (RR 26.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4) | T5: 3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 206.35 (RR 29.46, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.0)
FutureMSFTPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsA+$477.614H/3H/2H/1H demand $460.00–$465.103.69%1:6.00T1 1:13.06 → T3 1:17.05T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 393.40 (RR 13.06, fresh, tests 0, quality 22.5) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 384.93 (RR 14.72, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.8) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.02 (RR 17.05, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T4: 1H demand @ 352.69 (RR 21.04, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.4)
Near-TermAAPLCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsA+$302.884H/3H/2H/1H supply $305.05–$307.541.54%1:6.00T1 1:9.86 → T2 1:13.05T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 332.08 (RR 9.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.2) | T2: 1D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 340.03 (RR 13.05, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2)
FuturePLTRPutsSupply Rejection — PutsA+$144.984H/2H/90m/1H supply $152.01–$152.924.85%1:2.49T1 1:2.49 → T3 1:3.00T1: 90m/1H demand @ 125.17 (RR 2.49, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.4) | T2: 2H demand @ 122.35 (RR 2.85, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.0) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 121.19 (RR 3.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9) | T4: 1D/1H demand @ 117.67 (RR 3.44, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0) | T5: 3H/90m/1H demand @ 112.83 (RR 4.05, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.7)
ImmediateCRWDPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$203.584H/3H/2H/90m supply $203.60–$206.100.01%1:1.74T1 1:1.74 → T3 1:5.05T1: 90m/1H demand @ 199.19 (RR 1.74, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.5) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 194.43 (RR 3.63, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.3) | T3: 1D/90m/1H demand @ 190.86 (RR 5.05, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) | T4: 90m demand @ 183.09 (RR 8.13, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.2) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 180.70 (RR 9.08, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.5)
ImmediateSHOPPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$117.004H/3H/90m/1H supply $117.09–$118.840.08%1:1.50T1 1:1.50 → T3 1:7.62T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.24 (RR 1.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.5) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.60 (RR 4.57, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.1) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 102.97 (RR 7.62, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 9.9) | T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 98.75 (RR 9.92, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.5)
FutureSHOPCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$117.001D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $111.26–$114.242.36%1:0.02T1 1:0.02 → T3 1:2.10T1: 4H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 117.09 (RR 0.02, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.5) | T2: 4H/3H/1H supply @ 123.17 (RR 1.07, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.7) | T3: 1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 129.04 (RR 2.10, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1) | T4: 1D supply @ 142.40 (RR 4.43, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.8) | T5: 2H/90m supply @ 144.50 (RR 4.79, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.5)
FutureHIMSPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$30.991D/4H/2H/1H supply $32.52–$33.844.94%1:0.08T1 1:0.08 → T3 1:1.53T1: 1H demand @ 30.75 (RR 0.08, fresh, tests 0, quality 8.3) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 27.78 (RR 1.13, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.6) | T3: 2H/90m demand @ 26.64 (RR 1.53, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.7) | T4: 4H/3H/2H demand @ 25.68 (RR 1.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.6) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 23.88 (RR 2.49, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1)
ImmediateCOSTPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$948.524H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $950.36–$957.160.19%1:1.53T1 1:1.53 → T3 1:10.11T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 935.29 (RR 1.53, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.5) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 924.88 (RR 2.74, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.3) | T3: 1D demand @ 861.14 (RR 10.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.5)
ImmediateUBERPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$71.804H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $71.84–$72.000.06%1:1.75T1 1:1.75 → T3 1:12.82T1: 3H/1H demand @ 71.44 (RR 1.75, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.9) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 70.37 (RR 7.01, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2) | T3: 3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 69.19 (RR 12.82, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 68.18 (RR 17.78, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.8)
Near-TermAPPCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$410.002H/1H demand $402.70–$407.140.70%1:0.11T1 1:0.11 → T3 1:2.36T1: 90m/1H supply @ 410.79 (RR 0.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.8) | T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 414.48 (RR 0.61, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 427.24 (RR 2.36, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.0) | T4: 1D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 448.90 (RR 5.33, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.8) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 505.65 (RR 13.10, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.7)
Near-TermPANWPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$352.204H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $359.22–$362.461.99%1:1.53T1 1:1.53 → T3 1:5.18T1: 1D/4H/3H/90m/1H demand @ 336.49 (RR 1.53, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.6) | T2: 4H/3H/90m demand @ 315.33 (RR 3.59, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.0) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 299.04 (RR 5.18, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.4) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 293.56 (RR 5.72, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.9) | T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 280.82 (RR 6.96, multiple_tests, tests 3, quality 7.4)
FutureAMZNCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$277.654H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $269.68–$271.832.09%1:0.85T1 1:0.85T1: 90m/1H supply @ 284.45 (RR 0.85, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.3)
FutureAVGOPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$402.534H/2H/90m/1H supply $416.28–$423.583.42%1:0.86T1 1:0.86 → T3 1:4.16T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 384.40 (RR 0.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.7) | T2: 1D/4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 333.97 (RR 3.26, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1) | T3: 1D/3H/1H demand @ 315.06 (RR 4.16, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.5) | T4: 2H demand @ 309.42 (RR 4.42, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 2.9, soft obstacle: low_quality) | T5: 4H/2H/1H demand @ 303.15 (RR 4.72, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.2)
FutureMSFTCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$477.614H/3H/2H/1H demand $460.00–$465.102.62%1:0.47T1 1:0.47 → T3 1:3.63T1: 1D/90m/1H supply @ 485.93 (RR 0.47, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.0) | T2: 1D supply @ 507.49 (RR 1.70, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.8) | T3: 1D supply @ 541.55 (RR 3.63, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2)
FutureAMDPutsSupply Rejection — PutsB$505.004H/2H/90m/1H supply $522.03–$527.133.37%1:1.02T1 1:1.02 → T3 1:2.94T1: 1H demand @ 482.49 (RR 1.02, fresh, tests 0, quality 7.6) | T2: 1H demand @ 477.72 (RR 1.23, fresh, tests 0, quality 7.5) | T3: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.00 (RR 2.94, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0) | T4: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.53 (RR 3.91, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.31 (RR 6.67, fresh, tests 0, quality 21.6)
FutureGOOGLCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$368.434H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $352.71–$356.323.29%1:0.07T1 1:0.07 → T3 1:1.10T1: 1D/4H/90m/1H supply @ 369.60 (RR 0.07, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.6) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.38 (RR 0.76, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.6) | T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 385.70 (RR 1.10, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.7) | T4: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 396.87 (RR 1.81, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.4) | T5: 3H/90m/1H supply @ 400.31 (RR 2.03, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.7)
FutureCRMCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsB$182.004H/3H/1H demand $173.01–$175.753.43%1:0.56T1 1:0.56 → T3 1:2.10T1: 1H supply @ 187.00 (RR 0.56, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.7) | T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 188.27 (RR 0.70, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.4) | T3: 1D/1H supply @ 200.84 (RR 2.10, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.3) | T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 209.06 (RR 3.01, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6) | T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 227.96 (RR 5.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.8)

Final / Actionable Setups

📈 INTC — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Textbook geometry Calls
98.8095.2691.7288.1884.64Demand 90.04–90.71Supply 94.58–97.82Current 95.2508/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$95.25
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.39% • $1.32 • 0.17× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.96
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-22 (79d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-22 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$92.31–$93.93
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $92.68–$92.89 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.44
Supply bottom / risk area
$92.31
Supply top / breakout
$93.93
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 99.501:3.44Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 107.031:8.09Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 109.581:9.66Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close above supply
  • □ hold/retest above zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ above 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $93.93 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $92.31–$93.93 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $99.50, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.8x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.32 approach to the trigger, $1.62 zone thickness (the stop), $5.57 runway to the next zone -- 3.4:1 at the trigger, 0.87x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.

📉 GOOGL — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Steady momentum Puts
380.63373.13365.63358.14350.64Demand 352.71–356.32Supply 369.60–378.56Current 368.4308/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$368.43
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.27% • $15.73 • 1.12× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.07
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (85d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$352.71–$356.32
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $355.44–$356.32 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.00
Demand top / risk area
$356.32
Demand bottom / breakdown
$352.71
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 334.671:5.00Fresh
T21D/3H demand @ 327.901:6.87Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 320.521:8.92Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $352.71 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $352.71 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $334.67, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.4x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $15.72 approach to the trigger, $3.61 zone thickness (the stop), $18.04 runway to the next zone -- 5.0:1 at the trigger, 2.40x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 1.12x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.40x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).

📉 AMZN — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
288.60283.52278.44273.36268.28Demand 269.68–271.83Supply 284.45–286.57Current 277.6508/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$277.65
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.87% • $7.97 • 0.79× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
72.2 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (86d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$269.68–$271.83
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $271.04–$271.57 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$271.83
Demand bottom / breakdown
$269.68
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 229.311:18.78Fresh
T24H/3H/2H demand @ 225.231:20.67Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 221.791:22.27Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $269.68 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $269.68 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $229.31, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 4.82x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $7.97 approach to the trigger, $2.15 zone thickness (the stop), $40.37 runway to the next zone -- 18.8:1 at the trigger, 4.82x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.79x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 4.82x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.

📉 MSFT — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts
496.18486.47476.75467.03457.32Demand 460.00–465.10Supply 485.93–493.50Current 477.6108/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$477.61
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.69% • $17.62 • 1.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$17.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
78.3 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (85d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/1H demand
$460.00–$465.10
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $461.61–$462.91 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$465.10
Demand bottom / breakdown
$460.00
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 393.401:13.06Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 384.931:14.72Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.021:17.05Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close below demand
  • □ hold/retest below zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ below 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $460.00 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $460.00 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $393.40, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 4.82x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $17.61 approach to the trigger, $5.10 zone thickness (the stop), $66.60 runway to the next zone -- 13.1:1 at the trigger, 4.82x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 1.01x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 4.82x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.

📈 AAPL — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls
312.74309.32305.90302.48299.06Demand 300.00–305.55Supply 305.05–307.54Current 302.8808/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$302.88
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.54% • $4.66 • 0.46× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.18
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (86d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
rejecting from supply • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/1H supply
$305.05–$307.54
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $305.55–$305.97 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$305.05
Supply top / breakout
$307.54
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 332.081:9.86Fresh
T21D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 340.031:13.05Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ 5M close above supply
  • □ hold/retest above zone
  • □ volume expands on break or continuation
  • □ above 9EMA/VWAP
  • □ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $307.54 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $305.05–$307.54 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $332.08, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: AAPL is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.87x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $4.66 approach to the trigger, $2.49 zone thickness (the stop), $24.54 runway to the next zone -- 9.9:1 at the trigger, 2.87x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.46x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.87x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📉 PLTR — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
148.19141.60135.01128.43121.84Demand 124.56–125.17Supply 140.98–146.37Current 144.9808/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$144.98
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.85% • $7.03 • 1.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.92
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-11-02 (90d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-11-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H supply
$152.01–$152.92
T1 R:R
1:2.49
Supply top / failure
$152.92
Supply bottom / rejection
$152.01
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m/1H demand @ 125.171:2.49Fresh
T22H demand @ 122.351:2.85Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 121.191:3.00Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $152.01 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $152.01–$152.92 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $125.17, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.35x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $7.03 to reach the zone, $0.91 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $26.84 runway to the target -- 29.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $26.84 to $125.17 -- a long 29.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📉 CRWD — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
207.18203.26199.35195.44191.52Demand 197.47–199.19Supply 203.60–206.10Current 203.5808/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$203.58
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.01% • $0.02 • 0.00× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.18
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
62.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m supply
$203.60–$206.10
T1 R:R
1:1.74
Supply top / failure
$206.10
Supply bottom / rejection
$203.60
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m/1H demand @ 199.191:1.74Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 194.431:3.63Fresh
T31D/90m/1H demand @ 190.861:5.05Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $203.60 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $203.60–$206.10 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $199.19, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRWD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.02 to reach the zone, $2.50 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.41 runway to the target -- 1.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $199.19 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 SHOP — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold IV crush risk Puts
122.59119.55116.50113.46110.42Demand 111.26–114.24Supply 117.09–118.84Current 117.0008/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$117.00
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.08% • $0.09 • 0.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.37
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE) (crosses earnings)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE) (crosses earnings)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-05 (1d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-05 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume
below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/90m/1H supply
$117.09–$118.84
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $118.12–$118.19 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.50
Supply top / failure
$118.84
Supply bottom / rejection
$117.09
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.241:1.50Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.601:4.57Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 102.971:7.622 tests
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $117.09 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $117.09–$118.84 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $114.24, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.2x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.09 to reach the zone, $1.75 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.85 runway to the target -- 1.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $114.24 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📈 SHOP — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold IV crush risk Calls
122.59119.55116.50113.46110.42Demand 111.26–114.24Supply 117.09–118.84Current 117.0008/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$117.00
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.36% • $2.76 • 0.43× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.37
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE) (crosses earnings)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE) (crosses earnings)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-05 (1d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-05 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume
above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$111.26–$114.24
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $113.37–$113.40 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.02
Demand bottom / failure
$111.26
Demand top / hold area
$114.24
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 117.091:0.02Fresh
T24H/3H/1H supply @ 123.171:1.07Fresh
T31D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 129.041:2.10Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $114.24 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $111.26–$114.24. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $117.09, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.89x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.76 to reach the zone, $2.98 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.85 runway to the target -- 1.0:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $117.09 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 HIMS — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
34.3432.5230.7028.8827.06Demand 30.57–30.75Supply 32.52–33.84Current 30.9908/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$30.99
as of 2026-08-04 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.94% • $1.53 • 0.48× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.18
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE) (crosses earnings)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-10 (6d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) lands before the 2026-08-10 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-21) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-08-07 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/2H/1H supply
$32.52–$33.84
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $33.27–$33.60 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.08
Supply top / failure
$33.84
Supply bottom / rejection
$32.52
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11H demand @ 30.751:0.08Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 27.781:1.13Fresh
T32H/90m demand @ 26.641:1.53Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $32.52 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $32.52–$33.84 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $30.75, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: HIMS is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.53 to reach the zone, $1.32 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.77 runway to the target -- 1.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $30.75 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 COST — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold Puts
969.88963.31956.74950.17943.60Demand 945.50–955.04Supply 950.36–957.16Current 948.5208/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$948.52
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.19% • $1.80 • 0.09× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$19.77
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-24 (51d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-09-24 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$950.36–$957.16
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $952.77–$954.68 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.53
Supply top / failure
$957.16
Supply bottom / rejection
$950.36
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T14H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 935.291:1.53Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 924.881:2.74Fresh
T31D demand @ 861.141:10.11Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $950.36 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $950.36–$957.16 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $935.29, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COST is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 4.42x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.84 to reach the zone, $6.80 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $15.07 runway to the target -- 2.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $935.29 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 UBER — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold IV crush risk Puts
72.0971.7171.3270.9470.56Demand 71.02–71.44Supply 70.70–71.83Current 71.8008/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$71.80
as of 2026-08-04 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.06% • $0.04 • 0.02× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.29
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE) (crosses earnings)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE) (crosses earnings)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-05 (1d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-05 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$71.84–$72.00
T1 R:R
1:1.75
Supply top / failure
$72.00
Supply bottom / rejection
$71.84
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T13H/1H demand @ 71.441:1.75Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 70.371:7.01Fresh
T33H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 69.191:12.82Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $71.84 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $71.84–$72.00 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $71.44, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: UBER is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.04 to reach the zone, $0.16 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $0.40 runway to the target -- 2.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $71.44 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📈 APP — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Textbook geometry Steady momentum Reversal: base-hold IV crush risk Calls
415.50411.08406.66402.25397.83Demand 402.70–407.14Supply 410.79–413.99Current 410.0008/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$410.00
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.70% • $2.87 • 0.14× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$20.19
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
39.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE) (crosses earnings)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE) (crosses earnings)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-05 (1d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-05 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/1H demand
$402.70–$407.14
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $402.70–$405.11 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.11
Demand bottom / failure
$402.70
Demand top / hold area
$407.14
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m/1H supply @ 410.791:0.11Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 414.481:0.61Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 427.241:2.36Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $407.14 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 2H demand zone identified at $402.70–$407.14. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 90m supply zone identified at $410.79, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: APP is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.86 to reach the zone, $4.44 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.65 runway to the target -- 0.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $410.79 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).

📉 PANW — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
366.05353.04340.02327.00313.99Demand 317.58–336.49Supply 359.22–362.46Current 352.2008/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$352.20
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.99% • $7.01 • 0.47× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.89
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (28d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$359.22–$362.46
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $360.25–$360.84 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.53
Supply top / failure
$362.46
Supply bottom / rejection
$359.22
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/90m/1H demand @ 336.491:1.53Fresh
T24H/3H/90m demand @ 315.331:3.59Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 299.041:5.18Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $359.22 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $359.22–$362.46 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $336.49, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PANW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.48x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $7.02 to reach the zone, $3.24 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $22.73 runway to the target -- 7.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $22.73 to $336.49 -- a long 7.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 AMZN — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Calls
288.60283.52278.44273.36268.28Demand 269.68–271.83Supply 284.45–286.57Current 277.6508/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$277.65
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.09% • $5.80 • 0.58× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
72.2 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (86d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$269.68–$271.83
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $271.04–$271.57 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.85
Demand bottom / failure
$269.68
Demand top / hold area
$271.83
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m/1H supply @ 284.451:0.85Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $271.83 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $269.68–$271.83. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 90m supply zone identified at $284.45, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $5.82 to reach the zone, $2.15 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $12.62 runway to the target -- 5.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $12.62 to $284.45 -- a long 5.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📉 AVGO — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
418.31397.96377.62357.27336.92Demand 342.53–384.40Supply 404.74–412.70Current 402.5308/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$402.53
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.42% • $13.77 • 0.85× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$16.17
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (29d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H supply
$416.28–$423.58
T1 R:R
1:0.86
Supply top / failure
$423.58
Supply bottom / rejection
$416.28
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 384.401:0.86Fresh
T21D/4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 333.971:3.26Fresh
T31D/3H/1H demand @ 315.061:4.16Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $416.28 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $416.28–$423.58 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $384.40, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AVGO is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 4.24x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $13.75 to reach the zone, $7.30 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $31.88 runway to the target -- 4.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $31.88 to $384.40 -- a long 4.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 MSFT — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Calls
496.18486.47476.75467.03457.32Demand 460.00–465.10Supply 485.93–493.50Current 477.6108/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$477.61
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.62% • $12.51 • 0.72× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$17.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
78.3 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (85d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/1H demand
$460.00–$465.10
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $461.61–$462.91 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.47
Demand bottom / failure
$460.00
Demand top / hold area
$465.10
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/90m/1H supply @ 485.931:0.47Fresh
T21D supply @ 507.491:1.70Fresh
T31D supply @ 541.551:3.63Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $465.10 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $460.00–$465.10. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $485.93, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $12.51 to reach the zone, $5.10 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $20.83 runway to the target -- 4.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $20.83 to $485.93 -- a long 4.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📉 AMD — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway IV crush risk Puts
532.88512.05491.22470.38449.55Demand 479.31–482.49Supply 522.03–527.13Current 505.0008/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$505.00
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.37% • $17.02 • 0.41× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$41.57
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE) (crosses earnings)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE) (crosses earnings)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-04 (0d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-10) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-04 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible
approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H supply
$522.03–$527.13
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $522.03–$524.65 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.02
Supply top / failure
$527.13
Supply bottom / rejection
$522.03
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11H demand @ 482.491:1.02Fresh
T21H demand @ 477.721:1.23Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 440.001:2.94Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $522.03 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $522.03–$527.13 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $482.49, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMD is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.56x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $17.03 to reach the zone, $5.10 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $39.54 runway to the target -- 7.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $39.54 to $482.49 -- a long 7.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 GOOGL — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Calls
380.63373.13365.63358.14350.64Demand 352.71–356.32Supply 369.60–378.56Current 368.4308/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$368.43
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.29% • $12.12 • 0.86× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.07
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
61.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (85d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$352.71–$356.32
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $355.44–$356.32 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.07
Demand bottom / failure
$352.71
Demand top / hold area
$356.32
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/90m/1H supply @ 369.601:0.07Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.381:0.76Fresh
T31D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 385.701:1.10Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $356.32 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $352.71–$356.32. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $369.60, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $12.11 to reach the zone, $3.61 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $13.28 runway to the target -- 3.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $13.28 to $369.60 -- a long 3.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 CRM — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Calls
195.12189.96184.80179.64174.48Demand 175.90–181.50Supply 187.00–187.86Current 182.0008/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$182.00
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.43% • $6.24 • 0.71× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.85
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (29d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/1H demand
$173.01–$175.75
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $173.24–$174.27 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.56
Demand bottom / failure
$173.01
Demand top / hold area
$175.75
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11H supply @ 187.001:0.56Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 188.271:0.70Fresh
T31D/1H supply @ 200.841:2.10Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $175.75 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $173.01–$175.75. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1H supply zone identified at $187.00, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.13x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $6.25 to reach the zone, $2.74 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.25 runway to the target -- 4.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $11.25 to $187.00 -- a long 4.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📉 MU — Supply Rejection — Puts

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Puts
891.49858.90826.30793.70761.11Demand 822.77–824.80Supply 866.59–882.50Current 868.1808/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$868.18
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.81% • $24.40 • 0.27× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$88.99
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
44.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-23 (50d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-09-23 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply
$892.60–$901.18
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $897.77–$901.18 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.31
Supply top / failure
$901.18
Supply bottom / rejection
$892.60
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T190m/1H demand @ 824.801:1.31Fresh
T290m demand @ 814.471:1.63Fresh
T31D/90m/1H demand @ 734.961:4.04Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
  • □ supply test
  • □ rejection candle
  • □ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bearish continuation/DBD
  • □ downside volume response
  • □ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $892.60 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 90m supply zone at $892.60–$901.18 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $824.80, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MU is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $24.42 to reach the zone, $8.58 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $67.80 runway to the target -- 7.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $67.80 to $824.80 -- a long 7.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 META — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Calls
605.00590.50576.00561.51547.01Demand 551.01–556.50Supply 585.61–601.00Current 580.1308/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$580.13
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.07% • $23.61 • 0.92× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$25.80
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-10 (6 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-17 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (85d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-10) and swing expiry (2026-08-17) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume
approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H demand
$551.01–$556.50
T1 R:R
1:0.19
Demand bottom / failure
$551.01
Demand top / hold area
$556.50
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T11D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 585.611:0.19Fresh
T21D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 602.991:0.79Fresh
T34H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 626.451:1.59Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $556.50 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1H demand zone identified at $551.01–$556.50. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $585.61, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: META is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.8x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $23.63 to reach the zone, $5.49 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $29.11 runway to the target -- 5.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $29.11 to $585.61 -- a long 5.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

📈 RBLX — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls

Setup Grade B Reversal: 1:3 runway Calls
38.2337.3736.5135.6534.79Demand 35.16–35.60Supply 37.48–37.99Current 36.4108/03 09:3008/03 15:559EMAVWAP
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$36.41
as of 2026-08-04 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.22% • $0.81 • 0.22× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.73
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
29.1 (oversold)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (3 DTE)  |  swing 2026-08-21 (17 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-29 (86d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-21) land before the 2026-10-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction
approaching demand with weakness • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand
$35.16–$35.60
T1 R:R
1:0.86
Demand bottom / failure
$35.16
Demand top / hold area
$35.60
Target ladder:
TierZoneR:RFresh
T12H/1H supply @ 37.481:0.86Fresh
T24H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 49.901:10.79Fresh
T31D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 52.451:12.83Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
  • □ demand test
  • □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
  • □ reversal candle
  • □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
  • □ bullish continuation/RBR
  • □ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $35.60 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 90m demand zone identified at $35.16–$35.60. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 2H supply zone identified at $37.48, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 3.62x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.81 to reach the zone, $0.44 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.88 runway to the target -- 4.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $1.88 to $37.48 -- a long 4.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.

Developing Scenario Watchlist

SymbolContractScenarioStatusSetup GradeDistanceT1 R:RR:R Range SummaryFreshnessConfirmation Checklist
HOODPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.02%1:0.54T1 1:0.54 → T3 1:4.65Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
AVGOCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.02%1:0.19T1 1:0.19 → T3 1:6.45Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SPYCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.10%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
ANETCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.23%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
CRMCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.27%1:0.82T1 1:0.82 → T3 1:3.09Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
UBERCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.28%1:0.56T1 1:0.56 → T3 1:44.25One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NOWCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.34%1:0.46T1 1:0.46 → T3 1:1.84Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
MSTRPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.39%1:1.19T1 1:1.19 → T2 1:9.95One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
CRMPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.45%1:1.07T1 1:1.07 → T3 1:15.70Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
TSLACallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsAt zone: needs confirmationB0.45%1:6.00T1 1:12.50 → T3 1:16.21Multiple retests (3 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NFLXPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.52%1:1.55T1 1:1.55 → T2 1:2.55One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
MSTRCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.54%1:0.24T1 1:0.24 → T3 1:2.26Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AVGOPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RA+0.55%1:1.78T1 1:1.78 → T3 1:8.60Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
RKLBCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.59%1:2.46T1 1:2.46 → T3 1:16.14Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SPYPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsNear zone: developingB0.81%1:6.00T1 1:8.52 → T3 1:31.82Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SOFIPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.83%1:0.13T1 1:0.13 → T3 1:0.95Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
MSFTPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsNear zone: developingB0.84%1:4.10T1 1:4.10 → T3 1:24.05Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
COSTCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.91%1:1.60T1 1:1.60 → T3 1:5.65Multiple retests (2 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
APPCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB0.97%1:0.15T1 1:0.15 → T3 1:10.91Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
UBERPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.08%1:1.55T1 1:1.55 → T3 1:6.76Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
QQQPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.18%1:0.34T1 1:0.34 → T3 1:0.76Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
QQQPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsNear zone: developingB1.20%1:6.00T1 1:8.75 → T3 1:36.53One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
CRWDCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.24%1:0.30T1 1:0.30Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SMCIPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.31%1:0.54T1 1:0.54 → T3 1:2.78Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
HOODCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.34%1:0.01T1 1:0.01 → T3 1:5.17One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
HIMSPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsNear zone: developingB1.35%1:6.00T1 1:15.50 → T3 1:27.17Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
COSTCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.39%1:0.10T1 1:0.10 → T3 1:1.66Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
MUCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.52%1:1.82T1 1:1.82 → T3 1:5.82Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SHOPCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.57%1:2.47T1 1:2.47 → T3 1:13.46Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NFLXCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.70%1:0.86T1 1:0.86 → T3 1:4.24One successful retest (1 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.71%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
NVDAPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsNear zone: developingB1.75%1:6.00T1 1:6.66 → T3 1:27.27One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
APPPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.78%1:1.60T1 1:1.60Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
AMDCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsNear zone: developingB1.82%1:2.51T1 1:2.51 → T3 1:6.41Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SNOWCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB1.96%1:0.24T1 1:0.24Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPYPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB2.01%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:7.10Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
COSTPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB2.03%1:0.73T1 1:0.73 → T2 1:11.36Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
COSTPutsSupply Rejection — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB2.06%1:0.44T1 1:0.44 → T3 1:2.89Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
HOODPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsFuture scenarioB2.11%1:3.00T1 1:3.00 → T3 1:19.10One successful retest (1 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
UBERCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RB2.25%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:4.30Fresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure

Zone Map / Research Context

SymbolContractScenarioStatusSetup GradeDistanceT1 R:RR:R Range SummaryFreshnessConfirmation Checklist
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC0.70%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
NETCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC1.28%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
QQQPutsDemand Breakdown / Continuation — PutsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC1.93%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:5.61Fresh / untested (0 tests)Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC2.63%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AMZNCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC3.21%n/aNo valid targetFresh / untested (0 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NFLXCallsSupply Breakout / Continuation — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC3.56%1:0.00T1 1:0.00 → T3 1:3.63Multiple retests (3 tests)Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SPYCallsDemand Reversal / Hold — CallsBlocked: nearest zone limits R:RC4.16%n/aNo valid targetMultiple retests (2 tests)Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving

v0.29 separates setup quality from entry confirmation. The watchlist prepares Calls/Puts scenarios, target ladders, R:R tiers, and confirmation checklists; entry-confirmation scoring belongs to backtesting/trade review.