Generated: 2026-07-30 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-29 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
$453.57 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.70% • $12.25 • 0.32× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$37.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
36.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (5d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-03) lands before the 2026-08-04 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-12) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m supply $454.85–$465.81
T1 R:R
1:2.67
Supply bottom / risk area
$454.85
Supply top / breakout
$465.81
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H supply @ 495.10
1:2.67
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 522.03
1:5.13
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 531.09
1:5.96
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $465.81 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $454.85–$465.81 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1H supply zone identified at $495.10, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: AMD is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.81x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $12.24 approach to the trigger, $10.96 zone thickness (the stop), $29.29 runway to the next zone -- 2.7:1 at the trigger, 1.10x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📉 PLTR — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Textbook geometryIV crush riskPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$121.85 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.70% • $0.85 • 0.12× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.86
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
44.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-03 (4d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-03 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. A 2026-07-31 expiry lands before the report and avoids it.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $122.70–$124.04
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $122.90–$123.21 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.75
Demand top / risk area
$124.04
Demand bottom / breakdown
$122.70
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/1H demand @ 117.67
1:3.75
Fresh
T2
3H/90m/1H demand @ 112.83
1:7.37
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.44
1:10.64
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $122.70 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $122.70 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $117.67, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.96x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.85 approach to the trigger, $1.34 zone thickness (the stop), $5.03 runway to the next zone -- 3.8:1 at the trigger, 0.86x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 NET — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumIV crush riskPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$272.90 as of 2026-07-30 08:30 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.65% • $9.96 • 0.73× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$13.68
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-06 (7d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-06 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. A 2026-07-31 expiry lands before the report and avoids it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand $262.95–$267.57
T1 R:R
1:3.26
Demand top / risk area
$267.57
Demand bottom / breakdown
$262.95
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 247.88
1:3.26
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 228.38
1:7.48
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 212.23
1:10.98
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $262.95 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 2H demand zone below $262.95 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $247.88, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NET is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.83x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $9.95 approach to the trigger, $4.62 zone thickness (the stop), $15.07 runway to the next zone -- 3.3:1 at the trigger, 1.83x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.73x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.83x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📉 NVDA — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$193.82 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.08% • $5.97 • 0.76× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
38.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (27d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $187.85–$189.21
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $188.11–$188.21 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.90
Demand top / risk area
$189.21
Demand bottom / breakdown
$187.85
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 183.91
1:2.90
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 178.10
1:7.17
Fresh
T3
1H demand @ 173.28
1:10.71
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $187.85 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $187.85 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $183.91, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.01x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $5.97 approach to the trigger, $1.36 zone thickness (the stop), $3.94 runway to the next zone -- 2.9:1 at the trigger, 1.26x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.76x daily ATR before entry. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📉 AAPL — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+IV crush riskPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$335.20 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.00% • $3.35 • 0.43× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
66.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (0d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-03) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $331.85–$333.07
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $332.06–$332.49 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$333.07
Demand bottom / breakdown
$331.85
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 321.73
1:8.30
Fresh
T2
1D demand @ 317.31
1:11.92
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 315.49
1:13.41
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $331.85 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $331.85 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $321.73, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AAPL is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.72x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.35 approach to the trigger, $1.22 zone thickness (the stop), $10.12 runway to the next zone -- 8.3:1 at the trigger, 1.72x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.43x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.72x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 CRM — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$181.50 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.68% • $8.49 • 1.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.40
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (8 DTE) | swing 2026-08-14 (15 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (34d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-14) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/1H demand $173.01–$175.75
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $173.24–$174.27 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.42
Demand top / risk area
$175.75
Demand bottom / breakdown
$173.01
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 163.65
1:3.42
Fresh
T2
4H/2H demand @ 161.21
1:4.31
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 157.51
1:5.66
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $173.01 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 4H demand zone below $173.01 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 4H demand zone identified at $163.65, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRM is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.13x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $8.49 approach to the trigger, $2.74 zone thickness (the stop), $9.36 runway to the next zone -- 3.4:1 at the trigger, 2.13x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 1.01x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.13x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 META — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$529.05 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.77% • $19.95 • 0.86× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$23.31
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (90d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking below demand • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand $548.97–$550.25
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand top / risk area
$550.25
Demand bottom / breakdown
$548.97
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H demand @ 524.55
1:19.08
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $548.97 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 90m demand zone below $548.97 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 90m demand zone identified at $524.55, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: META is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Trade geometry: $19.92 approach to the trigger, $1.28 zone thickness (the stop), $24.42 runway to the next zone -- 19.1:1 at the trigger, 1.90x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.85x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.90x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 SHOP — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+IV crush riskPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$127.30 as of 2026-07-30 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.97% • $3.78 • 0.59× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.40
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-05 (6d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-05 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. A 2026-07-31 expiry lands before the report and avoids it.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/90m/1H demand $123.52–$126.90
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $124.22–$124.50 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.75
Demand top / risk area
$126.90
Demand bottom / breakdown
$123.52
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.24
1:2.75
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.60
1:4.41
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 102.97
1:6.08
2 tests
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
📉 Break Below Demand $123.52 (Bearish): If we BREAK below the 3H demand zone below $123.52 and prices maintain below the open price, holding the 9EMA & VWAP as resistance and forming lower lows, I'll be closely monitoring the strength of the market for potential continuation to the downside. I'll be interested in playing it short, targeting the 1D demand zone identified at $114.24, holding below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.04x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.78 approach to the trigger, $3.38 zone thickness (the stop), $9.28 runway to the next zone -- 2.8:1 at the trigger, 2.04x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.59x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.04x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
$453.57 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.28% • $1.27 • 0.03× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$37.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
36.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (5d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-03) lands before the 2026-08-04 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-12) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m supply $454.85–$465.81
T1 R:R
1:1.38
Supply top / failure
$465.81
Supply bottom / rejection
$454.85
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H demand @ 436.70
1:1.38
1 test
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 418.53
1:2.86
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.31
1:7.86
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $454.85 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $454.85–$465.81 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $436.70, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AMD is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.55x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.28 to reach the zone, $10.96 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $18.15 runway to the target -- 1.7:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $436.70 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$783.57 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.07% • $31.89 • 0.41× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$78.67
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
35.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-23 (55d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-09-23 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply $815.45–$848.36
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $820.53–$831.00 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.75
Supply top / failure
$848.36
Supply bottom / rejection
$815.45
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/90m/1H demand @ 734.96
1:0.75
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 646.76
1:2.11
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 581.06
1:3.13
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $815.45 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $815.45–$848.36 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $734.96, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MU is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.74x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $31.88 to reach the zone, $32.91 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $80.49 runway to the target -- 2.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $734.96 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$163.27 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.01% • $3.28 • 0.34× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.58
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-08-04 (5d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) holds THROUGH the 2026-08-04 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. A 2026-07-31 expiry lands before the report and avoids it.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $149.00–$159.99
Tight core (where 23 zones align): $151.10–$151.11 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.13
Demand bottom / failure
$149.00
Demand top / hold area
$159.99
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 165.08
1:0.13
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H supply @ 173.99
1:0.75
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 181.58
1:1.28
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $159.99 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $149.00–$159.99. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $165.08, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ANET is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.91x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.28 to reach the zone, $10.99 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.09 runway to the target -- 0.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $165.08 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$181.80 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.99% • $1.80 • 0.17× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.31
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
44.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (8 DTE) | swing 2026-08-14 (15 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (33d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-14) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand $176.46–$180.00
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $178.43–$179.38 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.97
Demand bottom / failure
$176.46
Demand top / hold area
$180.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 186.97
1:0.97
1 test
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 190.70
1:1.67
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H supply @ 203.60
1:4.08
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $180.00 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 2H demand zone identified at $176.46–$180.00. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $186.97, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRWD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.11x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.80 to reach the zone, $3.54 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.97 runway to the target -- 2.0:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $186.97 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$672.39 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.75% • $31.94 • 2.33× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$13.68
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
32.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-04 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H demand $635.25–$640.47
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $637.20–$637.60 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.08
Demand bottom / failure
$635.25
Demand top / hold area
$640.47
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 675.49
1:0.08
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 689.81
1:0.47
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 703.62
1:0.84
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $640.47 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $635.25–$640.47. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $675.49, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.28x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $31.92 to reach the zone, $5.22 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $35.02 runway to the target -- 6.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $35.02 to $675.49 -- a long 6.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 MSFT — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$426.65 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.27% • $13.95 • 1.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.75
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (90d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $440.61–$442.83
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $441.29–$442.11 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.06
Supply top / failure
$442.83
Supply bottom / rejection
$440.61
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H demand @ 393.40
1:2.06
1 test
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 384.93
1:2.58
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.02
1:3.31
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $440.61 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $440.61–$442.83 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $393.40, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.83x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $13.96 to reach the zone, $2.22 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $47.21 runway to the target -- 21.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $47.21 to $393.40 -- a long 21.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$335.20 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.64% • $2.15 • 0.27× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
66.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (0d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-03) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $331.85–$333.07
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $332.06–$332.49 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.44
Demand bottom / failure
$331.85
Demand top / hold area
$333.07
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 340.03
1:1.44
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $333.07 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $331.85–$333.07. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $340.03, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AAPL is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.13 to reach the zone, $1.22 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.96 runway to the target -- 5.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $6.96 to $340.03 -- a long 5.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 META — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$529.05 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.85% • $4.50 • 0.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$23.31
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (90d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand $520.26–$524.55
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Demand bottom / failure
$520.26
Demand top / hold area
$524.55
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 590.83
1:7.03
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 602.99
1:8.41
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 626.45
1:11.08
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $524.55 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 90m demand zone identified at $520.26–$524.55. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $590.83, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: META is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.65x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.50 to reach the zone, $4.29 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $66.28 runway to the target -- 15.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $66.28 to $590.83 -- a long 15.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 SMCI — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$26.82 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
5.00% • $1.34 • 0.61× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.20
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-11 (12d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-07) lands before the 2026-08-11 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-14) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-08-07 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $25.09–$25.48
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $25.22–$25.23 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.79
Demand bottom / failure
$25.09
Demand top / hold area
$25.48
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 28.18
1:0.79
Fresh
T2
1H supply @ 29.68
1:1.65
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 30.11
1:1.90
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $25.48 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $25.09–$25.48. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $28.18, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SMCI is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.34 to reach the zone, $0.39 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.70 runway to the target -- 6.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $2.70 to $28.18 -- a long 6.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 CRM — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$181.50 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.17% • $5.75 • 0.69× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.40
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-07 (8 DTE) | swing 2026-08-14 (15 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (34d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-07) and swing expiry (2026-08-14) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/1H demand $173.01–$175.75
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $173.24–$174.27 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.86
Demand bottom / failure
$173.01
Demand top / hold area
$175.75
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 188.79
1:0.86
Fresh
T2
1D/1H supply @ 200.84
1:2.28
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 209.06
1:3.25
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $175.75 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $173.01–$175.75. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $188.79, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRM is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.3x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.75 to reach the zone, $2.74 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $13.04 runway to the target -- 4.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $13.04 to $188.79 -- a long 4.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 NVDA — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$193.82 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.38% • $4.61 • 0.59× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
38.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (27d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $187.85–$189.21
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $188.11–$188.21 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.20
Demand bottom / failure
$187.85
Demand top / hold area
$189.21
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 195.00
1:0.20
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 205.60
1:1.97
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 218.72
1:4.17
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $189.21 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $187.85–$189.21. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $195.00, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.61 to reach the zone, $1.36 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.79 runway to the target -- 4.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.79 to $195.00 -- a long 4.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 MSFT — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$426.65 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.84% • $3.58 • 0.31× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.75
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (90d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply $430.22–$431.57
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply top / failure
$431.57
Supply bottom / rejection
$430.22
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H demand @ 393.40
1:6.76
1 test
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H demand @ 384.93
1:8.48
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.02
1:10.90
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $430.22 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1H supply zone at $430.22–$431.57 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $393.40, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.83x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.57 to reach the zone, $1.35 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $36.82 runway to the target -- 27.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $36.82 to $393.40 -- a long 27.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$335.20 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.02% • $13.48 • 1.72× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
66.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (0d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-08-03) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $319.35–$321.73
Tight core (where 9 zones align): $320.04–$320.33 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.30
Demand bottom / failure
$319.35
Demand top / hold area
$321.73
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/90m/1H supply @ 340.03
1:0.30
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $321.73 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $319.35–$321.73. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $340.03, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AAPL is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $13.47 to reach the zone, $2.38 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $18.30 runway to the target -- 7.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $18.30 to $340.03 -- a long 7.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 SPY — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$734.13 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.04% • $22.32 • 2.90× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.69
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
38.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-04 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $708.37–$711.82
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $709.36–$709.75 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Demand bottom / failure
$708.37
Demand top / hold area
$711.82
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 738.51
1:0.17
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 746.62
1:0.48
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 757.06
1:0.89
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $711.82 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $708.37–$711.82. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $738.51, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SPY is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.62x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $22.31 to reach the zone, $3.45 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $26.69 runway to the target -- 7.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $26.69 to $738.51 -- a long 7.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 GOOGL — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$334.30 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.12% • $13.77 • 1.16× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.91
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-03 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (90d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-08-03) and swing expiry (2026-08-12) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $318.96–$320.52
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $319.17–$319.73 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.72
Demand bottom / failure
$318.96
Demand top / hold area
$320.52
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 345.31
1:0.72
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 350.88
1:1.08
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 369.60
1:2.30
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $320.52 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $318.96–$320.52. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 4H supply zone identified at $345.31, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.96x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $13.78 to reach the zone, $1.56 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $24.79 runway to the target -- 15.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $24.79 to $345.31 -- a long 15.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 SPY — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$734.13 as of 2026-07-30 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.42% • $32.45 • 4.22× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.69
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
38.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-08-04 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-12 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/90m/1H demand $698.53–$701.66
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $699.47–$699.79 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.12
Demand bottom / failure
$698.53
Demand top / hold area
$701.66
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 738.51
1:0.12
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 746.62
1:0.35
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 757.06
1:0.64
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $701.66 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $698.53–$701.66. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $738.51, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SPY is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.62x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $32.47 to reach the zone, $3.13 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $36.85 runway to the target -- 11.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $36.85 to $738.51 -- a long 11.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
AMD
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.07%
1:0.12
T1 1:0.12 → T3 1:5.20
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SOFI
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.12%
1:2.10
T1 1:2.10 → T3 1:4.37
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
QQQ
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.13%
1:0.94
T1 1:0.94 → T3 1:7.57
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
GOOGL
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
At zone: needs confirmation
B
0.13%
1:2.75
T1 1:2.75 → T3 1:6.69
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SHOP
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.31%
1:0.98
T1 1:0.98 → T3 1:4.55
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
COST
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
At zone: needs confirmation
B
0.51%
1:6.00
T1 1:14.76 → T3 1:45.54
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
UBER
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.70%
1:0.63
T1 1:0.63 → T3 1:2.05
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPY
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.72%
1:0.35
T1 1:0.35 → T3 1:1.81
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SHOP
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.72%
1:0.94
T1 1:0.94 → T3 1:13.91
One successful retest (1 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
MSFT
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Near zone: developing
B
0.83%
1:6.00
T1 1:8.06 → T3 1:23.52
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
COST
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.87%
1:0.77
T1 1:0.77 → T3 1:2.24
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
COST
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Near zone: developing
B
0.96%
1:6.00
T1 1:6.73 → T3 1:17.30
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
HOOD
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
1.03%
1:0.26
T1 1:0.26 → T3 1:2.06
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
MSFT
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Near zone: developing
B
1.15%
1:6.00
T1 1:6.70 → T3 1:21.30
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SPY
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
1.31%
1:0.56
T1 1:0.56 → T2 1:2.56
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
MSFT
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Near zone: developing
B
1.33%
1:6.00
T1 1:7.16 → T3 1:17.71
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure