Generated: 2026-07-27 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-24 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
$235.24 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.04% • $0.09 • 0.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.80
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
37.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (3d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking above supply • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $233.15–$235.15
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $233.82–$234.09 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.94
Supply bottom / risk area
$233.15
Supply top / breakout
$235.15
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 243.03
1:3.94
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/1H supply @ 249.60
1:7.22
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 253.12
1:8.98
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $235.15 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $233.15–$235.15 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $243.03, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.11x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.09 approach to the trigger, $2.00 zone thickness (the stop), $7.88 runway to the next zone -- 3.9:1 at the trigger, 1.17x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$388.02 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.60% • $2.33 • 0.21× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.13
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
44.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-29 (2d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-29 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply $383.40–$385.69
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $384.20–$384.94 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:5.10
Supply bottom / risk area
$383.40
Supply top / breakout
$385.69
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 397.36
1:5.10
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 409.20
1:10.27
Fresh
T3
90m/1H supply @ 419.69
1:14.85
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $385.69 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 90m supply zone identified at $383.40–$385.69 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $397.36, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.9x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.33 approach to the trigger, $2.29 zone thickness (the stop), $11.67 runway to the next zone -- 5.1:1 at the trigger, 1.26x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$93.86 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.45% • $0.42 • 0.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.52
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
39.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (3d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply $92.82–$93.44
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $93.17–$93.37 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.58
Supply bottom / risk area
$92.82
Supply top / breakout
$93.44
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H supply @ 95.66
1:3.58
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 99.64
1:10.00
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 103.84
1:16.77
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $93.44 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 2H supply zone identified at $92.82–$93.44 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 2H supply zone identified at $95.66, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: MSTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.81x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.42 approach to the trigger, $0.62 zone thickness (the stop), $2.22 runway to the next zone -- 3.6:1 at the trigger, 0.48x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📈 CRWD — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Textbook geometryCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$187.11 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.46% • $2.73 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.44
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (36d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $182.59–$184.38
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $183.43–$184.20 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.53
Supply bottom / risk area
$182.59
Supply top / breakout
$184.38
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 190.70
1:3.53
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H supply @ 203.60
1:10.74
Fresh
T3
3H/90m supply @ 206.86
1:12.56
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $184.38 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $182.59–$184.38 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $190.70, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: CRWD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.58x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.73 approach to the trigger, $1.79 zone thickness (the stop), $6.32 runway to the next zone -- 3.5:1 at the trigger, 0.87x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📈 GOOGL — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$324.78 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.82% • $2.66 • 0.23× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.57
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
32.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (93d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible breaking above supply • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/90m supply $319.73–$322.12
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $320.10–$320.83 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$319.73
Supply top / breakout
$322.12
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 345.31
1:9.70
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 350.88
1:12.03
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 369.60
1:19.87
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $322.12 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $319.73–$322.12 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $345.31, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.77x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.66 approach to the trigger, $2.39 zone thickness (the stop), $23.19 runway to the next zone -- 9.7:1 at the trigger, 2.23x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 2.23x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
$266.00 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.05% • $2.79 • 0.12× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$23.21
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
38.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-29 (2d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-29 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/90m/1H supply $268.79–$274.83
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $270.52–$270.77 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.70
Supply top / failure
$274.83
Supply bottom / rejection
$268.79
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 224.50
1:4.70
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 219.09
1:5.31
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 176.31
1:10.16
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $268.79 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 3H supply zone at $268.79–$274.83 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $224.50, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ARM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.79x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.79 to reach the zone, $6.04 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $44.29 runway to the target -- 7.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $44.29 to $224.50 -- a long 7.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 PANW — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Reversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$328.97 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.61% • $5.30 • 0.30× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$17.51
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
50.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-18 (22d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-08-18 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $334.26–$338.46
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $335.28–$335.96 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.15
Supply top / failure
$338.46
Supply bottom / rejection
$334.26
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 299.04
1:3.15
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 293.56
1:3.73
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 280.82
1:5.07
3 tests
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $334.26 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $334.26–$338.46 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $299.04, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.29 to reach the zone, $4.20 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $35.22 runway to the target -- 8.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $35.22 to $299.04 -- a long 8.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 AVGO — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$390.45 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.76% • $2.97 • 0.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$15.35
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-03 (38d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/90m/1H supply $383.66–$387.47
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $385.01–$386.15 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.53
Supply bottom / risk area
$383.66
Supply top / breakout
$387.47
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 404.74
1:4.53
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 416.28
1:7.56
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 481.57
1:24.70
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $387.47 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 3H supply zone identified at $383.66–$387.47 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $404.74, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: AVGO is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.68x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.98 approach to the trigger, $3.81 zone thickness (the stop), $17.27 runway to the next zone -- 4.5:1 at the trigger, 1.32x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 1.32x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📈 IONQ — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$34.10 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.76% • $0.26 • 0.10× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.54
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
26.0 (oversold)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (9d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) lands before the 2026-08-05 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible breaking above supply • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/90m/1H supply $33.10–$33.84
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $33.56–$33.75 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.97
Supply bottom / risk area
$33.10
Supply top / breakout
$33.84
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 37.52
1:4.97
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 39.03
1:7.01
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 42.86
1:12.19
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $33.84 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $33.10–$33.84 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $37.52, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: IONQ is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.94x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $0.26 approach to the trigger, $0.74 zone thickness (the stop), $3.68 runway to the next zone -- 5.0:1 at the trigger, 1.55x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 1.55x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📈 TSLA — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$316.41 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.21% • $6.99 • 0.42× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$16.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
28.0 (oversold)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-21 (86d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-10-21 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/90m/1H supply $319.35–$323.40
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $321.28–$322.69 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$319.35
Supply top / breakout
$323.40
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 374.01
1:12.50
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 380.84
1:14.18
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 389.04
1:16.21
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $323.40 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $319.35–$323.40 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 1D supply zone identified at $374.01, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.43x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $6.99 approach to the trigger, $4.05 zone thickness (the stop), $50.61 runway to the next zone -- 12.5:1 at the trigger, 3.43x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.42x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 3.43x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 SHOP — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Reversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$117.58 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.37% • $0.44 • 0.07× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.92
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (9d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) lands before the 2026-08-05 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $118.02–$119.09
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $118.41–$118.72 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.25
Supply top / failure
$119.09
Supply bottom / rejection
$118.02
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H demand @ 114.18
1:2.25
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.60
1:5.95
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 102.97
1:9.68
2 tests
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $118.02 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $118.02–$119.09 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $114.18, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.44 to reach the zone, $1.07 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.84 runway to the target -- 3.6:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $3.84 to $114.18 -- a long 3.6:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 CRWD — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$187.11 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.77% • $7.05 • 0.68× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.44
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (36d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $190.70–$194.16
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $192.42–$192.48 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.73
Supply bottom / risk area
$190.70
Supply top / breakout
$194.16
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H supply @ 203.60
1:2.73
Fresh
T2
3H/90m supply @ 206.86
1:3.67
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
📈 Break Above Supply Zone @ $194.16 (Bullish): If price breaks above the 4H supply zone identified at $190.70–$194.16 and holds above the open, VWAP, and 9EMA, I'll watch for higher highs and strong bullish structure. If volume confirms the breakout, I'll consider entering a call position. My target will be the 4H supply zone identified at $203.60, holding the trade as long as price continues to respect the 9EMA as support.
Daily trend: CRWD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.58x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $7.05 approach to the trigger, $3.46 zone thickness (the stop), $9.44 runway to the next zone -- 2.7:1 at the trigger, 1.58x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.68x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.58x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
$47.72 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.10% • $0.05 • 0.02× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.66
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (3d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $44.70–$47.67
Tight core (where 13 zones align): $46.55–$46.69 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.10
Demand bottom / failure
$44.70
Demand top / hold area
$47.67
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H supply @ 48.03
1:0.10
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 49.64
1:0.64
Fresh
T3
1H supply @ 50.69
1:0.98
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $47.67 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 1D demand zone identified at $44.70–$47.67. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 2H supply zone identified at $48.03, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.05 to reach the zone, $2.97 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $0.36 runway to the target -- 0.1:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $48.03 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$47.72 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.65% • $0.31 • 0.12× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.66
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (3d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply $48.03–$49.00
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $48.25–$48.27 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.04
Supply top / failure
$49.00
Supply bottom / rejection
$48.03
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 47.67
1:0.04
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 43.63
1:3.20
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $48.03 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 2H supply zone at $48.03–$49.00 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $47.67, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.54x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.31 to reach the zone, $0.97 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $0.36 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $47.67 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
📉 CRWD — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$187.11 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.92% • $3.59 • 0.34× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.44
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (36d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $190.70–$194.16
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $192.42–$192.48 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.68
Supply top / failure
$194.16
Supply bottom / rejection
$190.70
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 175.27
1:1.68
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 163.57
1:3.34
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 155.25
1:4.52
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $190.70 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $190.70–$194.16 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $175.27, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRWD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.26x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.59 to reach the zone, $3.46 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $15.43 runway to the target -- 4.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $15.43 to $175.27 -- a long 4.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 SPY — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$745.31 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.58% • $11.78 • 1.67× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $757.06–$759.69
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $757.80–$758.30 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.43
Supply top / failure
$759.69
Supply bottom / rejection
$757.06
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 739.18
1:0.43
1 test
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 728.85
1:1.14
2 tests
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 720.07
1:1.76
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $757.06 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $757.06–$759.69 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $739.18, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SPY is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.34x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $11.75 to reach the zone, $2.63 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $17.88 runway to the target -- 6.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $17.88 to $739.18 -- a long 6.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 APP — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$401.94 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.66% • $10.69 • 0.42× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$25.64
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
31.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (9d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) lands before the 2026-08-05 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $412.64–$416.50
T1 R:R
1:0.60
Supply top / failure
$416.50
Supply bottom / rejection
$412.64
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 393.22
1:0.60
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $412.64 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $412.64–$416.50 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $393.22, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: APP is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $10.70 to reach the zone, $3.86 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $19.42 runway to the target -- 5.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $19.42 to $393.22 -- a long 5.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 NOW — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$101.12 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.58% • $3.62 • 0.59× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.18
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (93d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/90m/1H supply $104.74–$105.72
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $104.95–$105.18 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.67
Supply top / failure
$105.72
Supply bottom / rejection
$104.74
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H demand @ 98.03
1:0.67
Fresh
T2
1H demand @ 92.42
1:1.89
Fresh
T3
3H/1H demand @ 90.23
1:2.37
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $104.74 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 3H supply zone at $104.74–$105.72 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $98.03, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.76x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.62 to reach the zone, $0.98 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.71 runway to the target -- 6.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $6.71 to $98.03 -- a long 6.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$16.72 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.02% • $0.34 • 0.41× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.83
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-29 (2d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-29 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
normal volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply $17.06–$17.14
T1 R:R
1:0.32
Supply top / failure
$17.14
Supply bottom / rejection
$17.06
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 16.59
1:0.32
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 15.44
1:3.07
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $17.06 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 90m supply zone at $17.06–$17.14 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $16.59, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped for now: target 2 is 1.55x daily ATR away (swing-distance), but current volume doesn't yet show the momentum a multi-day hold would want. Reversal geometry: $0.34 to reach the zone, $0.08 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $0.47 runway to the target -- 5.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $0.47 to $16.59 -- a long 5.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$161.93 as of 2026-07-27 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.90% • $4.70 • 0.54× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$8.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-30 (3d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-30 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply $166.63–$167.94
T1 R:R
1:0.25
Supply top / failure
$167.94
Supply bottom / rejection
$166.63
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 160.43
1:0.25
2 tests
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18
1:2.29
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 141.29
1:3.43
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $166.63 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1H supply zone at $166.63–$167.94 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $160.43, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COIN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.57x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.70 to reach the zone, $1.31 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.20 runway to the target -- 4.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $6.20 to $160.43 -- a long 4.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
APP
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
At zone: needs confirmation
B
0.01%
1:2.50
T1 1:2.50 → T3 1:5.90
One successful retest (1 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
PANW
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.03%
1:1.23
T1 1:1.23 → T3 1:6.93
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
ASTS
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.07%
1:2.28
T1 1:2.28 → T3 1:23.58
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure