Generated: 2026-07-24 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-23 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
$16.74 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.66% • $0.11 • 0.13× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.86
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-29 (5d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-29 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/90m/1H supply $16.85–$17.06
T1 R:R
1:4.06
Supply top / failure
$17.06
Supply bottom / rejection
$16.85
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 15.44
1:4.06
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $16.85 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $16.85–$17.06 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $15.44, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.11 to reach the zone, $0.21 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.41 runway to the target -- 6.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $1.41 to $15.44 -- a long 6.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 COST — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$924.42 as of 2026-07-24 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.98% • $9.06 • 0.48× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$18.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-24 (62d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-24 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/90m/1H supply $933.47–$938.59
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $935.78–$938.59 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.47
Supply top / failure
$938.59
Supply bottom / rejection
$933.47
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D demand @ 861.14
1:4.47
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $933.47 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 3H supply zone at $933.47–$938.59 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $861.14, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: COST is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 3.36x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $9.05 to reach the zone, $5.12 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $72.33 runway to the target -- 14.1:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (14.1x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.
📉 PANW — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Reversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$328.17 as of 2026-07-24 08:30 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.86% • $6.10 • 0.32× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$19.09
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
51.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-18 (25d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-08-18 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $334.26–$338.46
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $335.28–$335.96 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.83
Supply top / failure
$338.46
Supply bottom / rejection
$334.26
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 299.04
1:2.83
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 293.56
1:3.36
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 280.82
1:4.60
3 tests
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $334.26 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $334.26–$338.46 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $299.04, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.53x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $6.09 to reach the zone, $4.20 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $35.22 runway to the target -- 8.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $35.22 to $299.04 -- a long 8.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$208.25 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.19% • $0.40 • 0.05× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.35
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-29 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (33d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-29) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $208.65–$214.39
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $213.77–$213.81 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.76
Supply top / failure
$214.39
Supply bottom / rejection
$208.65
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 197.43
1:1.76
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 189.21
1:3.10
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 183.91
1:3.96
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $208.65 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $208.65–$214.39 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $197.43, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.59x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.40 to reach the zone, $5.74 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.22 runway to the target -- 1.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $197.43 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$977.63 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.50% • $4.89 • 0.07× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$71.55
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-29 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-23 (61d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-29) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-23 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $957.83–$972.77
T1 R:R
1:0.28
Demand bottom / failure
$957.83
Demand top / hold area
$972.77
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/1H supply @ 983.12
1:0.28
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/1H supply @ 998.80
1:1.07
Fresh
T3
4H/2H/90m supply @ 1033.29
1:2.81
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $972.77 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 4H demand zone identified at $957.83–$972.77. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 1D supply zone identified at $983.12, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MU is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $4.86 to reach the zone, $14.94 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $10.35 runway to the target -- 0.7:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $983.12 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$322.15 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.55% • $1.77 • 0.24× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.45
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (6d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-29) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $323.93–$329.60
Tight core (where 11 zones align): $324.50–$325.89 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Supply top / failure
$329.60
Supply bottom / rejection
$323.93
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H demand @ 320.87
1:0.17
Fresh
T2
1D demand @ 317.31
1:0.65
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 315.49
1:0.89
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $323.93 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $323.93–$329.60 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $320.87, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: AAPL is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.78 to reach the zone, $5.67 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.06 runway to the target -- 0.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $320.87 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$101.45 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.51% • $0.52 • 0.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.32
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-29 (5d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-29 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/90m/1H demand $98.05–$100.93
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $99.31–$99.83 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Demand bottom / failure
$98.05
Demand top / hold area
$100.93
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H/2H/1H supply @ 102.02
1:0.17
Fresh
T2
3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 105.07
1:1.06
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 112.23
1:3.17
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
📈 Demand Zone Test $100.93 (Bullish): I'll be observing for a test & bounce at the 3H demand zone identified at $98.05–$100.93. If we HOLD ABOVE this demand zone, the open price, 9EMA, and we see a bullish candlestick pattern, this would be a good opportunity to go long, anticipating a move upwards towards the 3H supply zone identified at $102.02, holding above the 9EMA.
Daily trend: HOOD is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.52 to reach the zone, $2.88 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.09 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $102.02 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$977.63 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.56% • $5.47 • 0.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$71.55
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-29 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-23 (61d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-29) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-23 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H supply $983.12–$995.89
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $992.30–$994.80 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.27
Supply top / failure
$995.89
Supply bottom / rejection
$983.12
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 972.77
1:0.27
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 927.61
1:2.74
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 885.64
1:5.04
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $983.12 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $983.12–$995.89 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $972.77, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: MU is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $5.49 to reach the zone, $12.77 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $10.35 runway to the target -- 0.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $972.77 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$692.64 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.29% • $2.01 • 0.15× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$13.39
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-29 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H supply $694.67–$698.66
T1 R:R
1:0.70
Supply top / failure
$698.66
Supply bottom / rejection
$694.67
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H demand @ 688.40
1:0.70
3 tests
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 682.53
1:1.68
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 674.66
1:2.99
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $694.67 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $694.67–$698.66 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $688.40, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.03 to reach the zone, $3.99 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.27 runway to the target -- 1.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $688.40 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
📉 CRWD — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$184.80 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.17% • $2.16 • 0.19× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.65
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (39d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $186.97–$189.11
T1 R:R
1:2.21
Supply top / failure
$189.11
Supply bottom / rejection
$186.97
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 175.27
1:2.21
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 163.57
1:4.93
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 155.25
1:6.86
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $186.97 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $186.97–$189.11 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $175.27, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRWD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.82x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.17 to reach the zone, $2.14 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.70 runway to the target -- 5.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $11.70 to $175.27 -- a long 5.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$286.00 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.85% • $11.01 • 0.49× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$22.67
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-29 (5d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-29 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $297.00–$300.65
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $298.85–$300.30 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.94
Supply top / failure
$300.65
Supply bottom / rejection
$297.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 272.22
1:0.94
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 224.50
1:4.20
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 219.09
1:4.57
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $297.00 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $297.00–$300.65 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $272.22, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ARM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $11.00 to reach the zone, $3.65 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $24.78 runway to the target -- 6.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $24.78 to $272.22 -- a long 6.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 INTC — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$103.18 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.73% • $3.85 • 0.52× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.47
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-29 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-22 (90d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-29) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-10-22 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $107.03–$109.19
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $107.77–$108.78 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.90
Supply top / failure
$109.19
Supply bottom / rejection
$107.03
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/1H demand @ 97.79
1:0.90
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 95.70
1:1.24
Fresh
T3
4H/2H/90m demand @ 84.54
1:3.10
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $107.03 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1D supply zone at $107.03–$109.19 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $97.79, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.85 to reach the zone, $2.16 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $9.24 runway to the target -- 4.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $9.24 to $97.79 -- a long 4.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 NOW — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$94.10 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.43% • $1.35 • 0.22× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.20
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
36.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (96d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply $95.45–$96.12
T1 R:R
1:1.92
Supply top / failure
$96.12
Supply bottom / rejection
$95.45
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H/1H demand @ 90.23
1:1.92
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 88.58
1:2.73
Fresh
T3
90m/1H demand @ 82.99
1:5.50
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $95.45 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $95.45–$96.12 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $90.23, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.79x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.35 to reach the zone, $0.67 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.22 runway to the target -- 7.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.22 to $90.23 -- a long 7.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 CRM — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$159.22 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.27% • $3.61 • 0.49× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.43
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (40d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $162.84–$163.63
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $163.31–$163.55 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.51
Supply top / failure
$163.63
Supply bottom / rejection
$162.84
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 156.96
1:0.51
1 test
T2
1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 150.62
1:1.95
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $162.84 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $162.84–$163.63 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $156.96, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $3.62 to reach the zone, $0.79 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.88 runway to the target -- 7.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.88 to $156.96 -- a long 7.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 CRWD — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$184.80 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.19% • $5.90 • 0.51× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.65
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-01 (39d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-09-01 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $190.70–$194.16
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $192.42–$192.48 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.02
Supply top / failure
$194.16
Supply bottom / rejection
$190.70
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 175.27
1:1.02
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 163.57
1:2.27
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 155.25
1:3.16
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $190.70 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $190.70–$194.16 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $175.27, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: CRWD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.82x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.90 to reach the zone, $3.46 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $15.43 runway to the target -- 4.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $15.43 to $175.27 -- a long 4.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 UBER — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$69.43 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.20% • $0.83 • 0.37× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.24
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
39.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (12d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) lands before the 2026-08-05 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $70.26–$70.56
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $70.33–$70.47 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.50
Supply top / failure
$70.56
Supply bottom / rejection
$70.26
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 68.86
1:0.50
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 68.28
1:1.02
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $70.26 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $70.26–$70.56 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $68.86, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: UBER is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.83 to reach the zone, $0.30 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.40 runway to the target -- 4.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $1.40 to $68.86 -- a long 4.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 RKLB — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$70.29 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.99% • $1.40 • 0.24× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.90
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
35.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-10 (17d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-08-10 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/1H supply $71.69–$72.94
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $71.99–$72.14 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.39
Supply top / failure
$72.94
Supply bottom / rejection
$71.69
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 66.61
1:1.39
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 61.35
1:3.37
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 57.36
1:4.88
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $71.69 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 3H supply zone at $71.69–$72.94 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $66.61, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: RKLB is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.52x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.40 to reach the zone, $1.25 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.08 runway to the target -- 4.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.08 to $66.61 -- a long 4.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 SHOP — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$113.35 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.12% • $4.67 • 0.77× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.10
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (12d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) lands before the 2026-08-05 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $118.02–$119.09
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $118.41–$118.72 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.83
Supply top / failure
$119.09
Supply bottom / rejection
$118.02
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.60
1:0.83
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 102.97
1:1.81
2 tests
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 98.75
1:2.54
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $118.02 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $118.02–$119.09 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $108.60, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.7x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.67 to reach the zone, $1.07 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $9.42 runway to the target -- 8.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $9.42 to $108.60 -- a long 8.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 PLTR — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$124.84 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.22% • $1.52 • 0.23× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.76
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-03 (10d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) lands before the 2026-08-03 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply $126.36–$127.64
T1 R:R
1:0.85
Supply top / failure
$127.64
Supply bottom / rejection
$126.36
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H demand @ 122.45
1:0.85
Fresh
T2
1D/1H demand @ 117.67
1:2.56
Fresh
T3
3H/90m/1H demand @ 112.83
1:4.29
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $126.36 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 2H supply zone at $126.36–$127.64 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $122.45, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.78x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.52 to reach the zone, $1.28 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.91 runway to the target -- 3.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $3.91 to $122.45 -- a long 3.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 APP — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$401.25 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.84% • $11.40 • 0.42× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$26.93
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
32.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (12d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) lands before the 2026-08-05 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-08-07) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-31 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $412.64–$416.50
T1 R:R
1:0.53
Supply top / failure
$416.50
Supply bottom / rejection
$412.64
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 393.22
1:0.53
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $412.64 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 4H supply zone at $412.64–$416.50 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $393.22, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: APP is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $11.39 to reach the zone, $3.86 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $19.42 runway to the target -- 5.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $19.42 to $393.22 -- a long 5.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$286.00 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.70% • $4.86 • 0.21× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$22.67
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-29 (5d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-31) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-29 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/1H supply $290.85–$294.00
T1 R:R
1:1.72
Supply top / failure
$294.00
Supply bottom / rejection
$290.85
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 272.22
1:1.72
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 224.50
1:7.69
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 219.09
1:8.36
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $290.85 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 2H supply zone at $290.85–$294.00 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $272.22, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ARM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.85 to reach the zone, $3.15 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $18.63 runway to the target -- 5.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $18.63 to $272.22 -- a long 5.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 ASTS — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$59.51 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.47% • $0.28 • 0.05× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.83
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
37.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-10 (17d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-08-10 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply $59.79–$60.06
T1 R:R
1:2.05
Supply top / failure
$60.06
Supply bottom / rejection
$59.79
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 58.38
1:2.05
Fresh
T2
90m/1H demand @ 55.02
1:8.16
Fresh
T3
1D demand @ 49.08
1:18.96
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $59.79 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 1H supply zone at $59.79–$60.06 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $58.38, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: ASTS is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.79x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.28 to reach the zone, $0.27 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.41 runway to the target -- 5.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $1.41 to $58.38 -- a long 5.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 NOW — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$94.10 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.04% • $2.86 • 0.46× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.20
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
36.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-10-28 (96d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-10-28 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply $96.96–$97.98
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $97.47–$97.98 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.00
Supply top / failure
$97.98
Supply bottom / rejection
$96.96
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H/1H demand @ 90.23
1:1.00
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 88.58
1:1.42
Fresh
T3
90m/1H demand @ 82.99
1:2.86
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $96.96 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 90m supply zone at $96.96–$97.98 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $90.23, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: NOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.79x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.86 to reach the zone, $1.02 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.73 runway to the target -- 6.6:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $6.73 to $90.23 -- a long 6.6:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 HIMS — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$33.02 as of 2026-07-24 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.15% • $1.37 • 0.56× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.43
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-31 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-08-07 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-10 (17d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-31) and swing expiry (2026-08-07) land before the 2026-08-10 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
normal volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H supply $34.39–$34.89
T1 R:R
1:1.52
Supply top / failure
$34.89
Supply bottom / rejection
$34.39
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 30.18
1:1.52
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 27.18
1:3.12
Fresh
T3
90m/1H demand @ 25.73
1:3.90
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
📉 Supply Zone Rejection @ $34.39 (Bearish): If price tests & holds below the 2H supply zone at $34.39–$34.89 and rejects it while staying below the 9EMA, VWAP, and the open price, I'll monitor for lower lows forming on the 5-minute chart. If volume supports the downside move, that confirms bearish pressure. With all confirmations in place, I'll look to enter a put position targeting the demand zone below at $30.18, holding the trade as long as price stays below the 9EMA.
Daily trend: HIMS is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped for now: target 2 is 2.4x daily ATR away (swing-distance), but current volume doesn't yet show the momentum a multi-day hold would want. Reversal geometry: $1.37 to reach the zone, $0.50 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.21 runway to the target -- 8.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $4.21 to $30.18 -- a long 8.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
PLTR
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.01%
1:1.50
T1 1:1.50 → T3 1:15.83
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
UBER
Calls
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.14%
1:2.27
T1 1:2.27 → T3 1:5.24
One successful retest (1 tests)
Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
GOOGL
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.16%
1:0.48
T1 1:0.48 → T3 1:11.47
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving