Generated: 2026-07-20 09:00 AM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-17 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
$171.70 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.58% • $1.00 • 0.09× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.59
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (15d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply $171.86–$172.69
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$171.86
Supply top / breakout
$172.69
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 181.58
1:10.71
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 4H/2H/1H supply breakout level near $172.69, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.
Daily trend: ANET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Trade geometry: $0.99 approach to the trigger, $0.83 zone thickness (the stop), $8.89 runway to the next zone -- 10.7:1 at the trigger, 0.85x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
📈 RBLX — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Textbook geometryCalls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$51.54 as of 2026-07-20 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.11% • $1.09 • 0.32× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.36
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (10d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/1H supply $52.32–$52.63
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $52.36–$52.47 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$52.32
Supply top / breakout
$52.63
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H supply @ 55.02
1:7.71
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 55.81
1:10.26
Fresh
T3
3H/2H/1H supply @ 59.63
1:22.58
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 3H/2H/1H supply breakout level near $52.63, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.41x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.09 approach to the trigger, $0.31 zone thickness (the stop), $2.39 runway to the next zone -- 7.7:1 at the trigger, 1.04x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else).
📉 RBLX — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$51.54 as of 2026-07-20 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.51% • $0.78 • 0.23× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.36
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (10d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/1H supply $52.32–$52.63
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $52.36–$52.47 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.65
Supply top / failure
$52.63
Supply bottom / rejection
$52.32
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 47.56
1:3.65
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 43.63
1:7.26
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 3H/2H/1H supply zone near $52.63, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.35x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.78 to reach the zone, $0.31 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.76 runway to the target -- 15.3:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (15.3x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).
📉 SOFI — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$17.38 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.19% • $0.38 • 0.40× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.94
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (9d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
elevated volume below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H supply $17.76–$17.93
T1 R:R
1:3.53
Supply top / failure
$17.93
Supply bottom / rejection
$17.76
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 15.44
1:3.53
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H supply zone near $17.93, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.05x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.38 to reach the zone, $0.17 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.32 runway to the target -- 13.7:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (13.7x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway); the approach is sideways, not the grinding pace that preceded the holds that worked.
📉 TEM — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$48.70 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.76% • $2.32 • 0.55× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$4.19
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (10d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible breaking below demand • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $51.02–$52.67
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $51.53–$51.91 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:4.09
Demand top / risk area
$52.67
Demand bottom / breakdown
$51.02
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 44.27
1:4.09
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/1H demand @ 43.03
1:4.84
1 test
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 42.37
1:5.24
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand breakdown level near $51.02, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.
Daily trend: TEM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.51x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.32 approach to the trigger, $1.65 zone thickness (the stop), $6.75 runway to the next zone -- 4.1:1 at the trigger, 2.17x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.55x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.17x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 ANET — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Reversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$171.70 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.10% • $0.17 • 0.01× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.59
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (15d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply $171.86–$172.69
T1 R:R
1:2.50
Supply top / failure
$172.69
Supply bottom / rejection
$171.86
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 169.21
1:2.50
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 159.99
1:11.77
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.54
1:23.28
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/2H/1H supply zone near $172.69, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: ANET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.0x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.16 to reach the zone, $0.83 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.65 runway to the target -- 3.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $2.65 to $169.21 -- a long 3.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$701.29 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.66% • $4.63 • 0.31× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/1H supply $705.94–$713.60
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $707.96–$709.01 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:1.05
Supply top / failure
$713.60
Supply bottom / rejection
$705.94
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H demand @ 688.40
1:1.05
2 tests
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 682.53
1:1.52
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 674.66
1:2.16
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/1H supply zone near $713.60, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.8x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.65 to reach the zone, $7.66 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $17.54 runway to the target -- 2.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $688.40 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$384.21 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.26% • $4.84 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$18.65
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-22 (2d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-22 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $389.04–$391.85
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $390.59–$391.85 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.21
Supply top / failure
$391.85
Supply bottom / rejection
$389.04
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 382.58
1:0.21
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 354.42
1:3.90
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 346.91
1:4.88
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $391.85, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.6x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.83 to reach the zone, $2.81 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.46 runway to the target -- 2.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $382.58 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$72.57 as of 2026-07-20 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.23% • $0.89 • 0.35× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.52
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (16d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $73.46–$77.81
Tight core (where 16 zones align): $74.28–$74.40 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.51
Supply top / failure
$77.81
Supply bottom / rejection
$73.46
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 69.91
1:0.51
Fresh
T2
1H demand @ 68.86
1:0.71
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 68.28
1:0.82
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $77.81, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: UBER is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.89 to reach the zone, $4.35 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.55 runway to the target -- 0.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $69.91 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$357.75 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.19% • $0.68 • 0.03× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$19.46
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
67.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-18 (29d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-18 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand $347.04–$357.06
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $350.34–$351.06 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.32
Demand bottom / failure
$347.04
Demand top / hold area
$357.06
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H supply @ 361.21
1:0.32
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand zone near $347.04, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.69 to reach the zone, $10.02 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.15 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $361.21 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$646.50 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.53% • $16.36 • 0.53× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$30.66
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (9d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $662.85–$691.52
Tight core (where 19 zones align): $668.12–$668.60 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.26
Supply top / failure
$691.52
Supply bottom / rejection
$662.85
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H demand @ 634.60
1:0.26
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 615.98
1:0.68
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 563.29
1:1.85
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $691.52, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: META is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.71x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $16.35 to reach the zone, $28.67 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $28.25 runway to the target -- 1.0:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $634.60 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$122.99 as of 2026-07-20 08:35 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.67% • $2.05 • 0.34× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.04
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (16d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $115.17–$120.93
Tight core (where 8 zones align): $116.92–$117.24 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.17
Demand bottom / failure
$115.17
Demand top / hold area
$120.93
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 124.31
1:0.17
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 131.88
1:1.14
Fresh
T3
1D supply @ 142.40
1:2.48
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $115.17, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 3.21x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.06 to reach the zone, $5.76 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.38 runway to the target -- 0.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $124.31 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$746.07 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.17% • $1.27 • 0.16× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.69
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m demand $739.98–$744.80
Tight core (where 10 zones align): $740.23–$740.88 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.76
Demand bottom / failure
$739.98
Demand top / hold area
$744.80
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 750.72
1:0.76
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/3H/2H/90m demand zone near $739.98, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: SPY is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Range-bound), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.27 to reach the zone, $4.82 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.92 runway to the target -- 1.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $750.72 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$701.29 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.92% • $34.50 • 2.33× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $735.76–$746.95
Tight core (where 23 zones align): $744.24–$744.28 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.28
Supply top / failure
$746.95
Supply bottom / rejection
$735.76
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H demand @ 688.40
1:0.28
2 tests
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 682.53
1:0.41
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 674.66
1:0.58
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $746.95, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.8x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $34.47 to reach the zone, $11.19 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $47.36 runway to the target -- 4.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $47.36 to $688.40 -- a long 4.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 IONQ — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$35.77 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.89% • $1.75 • 0.53× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.29
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
26.1 (oversold)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (11 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (16d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $37.52–$38.33
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $37.53–$37.67 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.32
Supply top / failure
$38.33
Supply bottom / rejection
$37.52
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H demand @ 34.95
1:0.32
Fresh
T2
1H demand @ 29.78
1:2.34
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 29.36
1:2.50
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $38.33, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: IONQ is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.82x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.75 to reach the zone, $0.81 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.57 runway to the target -- 3.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $2.57 to $34.95 -- a long 3.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$100.95 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.47% • $0.47 • 0.08× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.67
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-22 (2d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-22 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/1H demand $99.47–$100.48
T1 R:R
1:2.03
Demand bottom / failure
$99.47
Demand top / hold area
$100.48
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 103.96
1:2.03
Fresh
T2
3H/2H/90m supply @ 104.74
1:2.56
2 tests
T3
4H/3H supply @ 106.50
1:3.75
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/1H demand zone near $99.47, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: NOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.47 to reach the zone, $1.01 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.48 runway to the target -- 3.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $3.48 to $103.96 -- a long 3.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$348.10 as of 2026-07-20 08:40 AM EDT — Premarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
1.78% • $6.20 • 0.56× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.07
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-22 (2d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-22 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply $354.31–$355.38
T1 R:R
1:0.34
Supply top / failure
$355.38
Supply bottom / rejection
$354.31
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/90m demand @ 345.61
1:0.34
Fresh
T2
1D/3H demand @ 341.18
1:0.95
4 tests
T3
4H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 332.93
1:2.08
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1H supply zone near $355.38, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $6.21 to reach the zone, $1.07 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $8.70 runway to the target -- 8.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $8.70 to $345.61 -- a long 8.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
COST
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.08%
1:0.53
T1 1:0.53 → T3 1:12.05
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AMZN
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.15%
1:0.06
T1 1:0.06 → T3 1:1.82
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving