Generated: 2026-07-17 08:21 PM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-17 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Latest price uses the newest downloaded bar for proximity; the Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so it trails the live tape by ~15-20 min. Zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
$51.50 as of 2026-07-17 07:35 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.19% • $1.13 • 0.34× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.36
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume rejecting from supply • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/1H supply $52.32–$52.63
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $52.36–$52.47 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$52.32
Supply top / breakout
$52.63
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H supply @ 55.02
1:7.71
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 55.81
1:10.26
Fresh
T3
3H/2H/1H supply @ 59.63
1:22.58
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 3H/2H/1H supply breakout level near $52.63, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.
Daily trend: RBLX is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.42x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.13 approach to the trigger, $0.31 zone thickness (the stop), $2.39 runway to the next zone -- 7.7:1 at the trigger, 1.05x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else).
📉 SOFI — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$17.30 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.12% • $0.02 • 0.02× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.94
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (12d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
elevated volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $17.32–$17.59
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $17.45–$17.49 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply top / failure
$17.59
Supply bottom / rejection
$17.32
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 15.44
1:6.41
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $17.59, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.97x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.02 to reach the zone, $0.27 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.88 runway to the target -- 7.0:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (7.0x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).
📉 SOFI — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Steady momentumPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$17.30 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.66% • $0.46 • 0.49× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.94
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
46.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (12d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
elevated volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H supply $17.76–$17.93
T1 R:R
1:2.95
Supply top / failure
$17.93
Supply bottom / rejection
$17.76
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 15.44
1:2.95
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H supply zone near $17.93, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.97x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.46 to reach the zone, $0.17 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.32 runway to the target -- 13.7:1. Below the validated reversal profile: the zone is thin relative to the target (13.7x -- a bounce wants a thick base, not a big runway).
📈 ANET — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$168.46 as of 2026-07-17 07:45 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.51% • $4.23 • 0.36× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.59
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (18d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/1H supply $171.86–$172.69
T1 R:R
1:6.00
Supply bottom / risk area
$171.86
Supply top / breakout
$172.69
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 181.58
1:10.71
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 4H/2H/1H supply breakout level near $172.69, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.
Daily trend: ANET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Trade geometry: $4.23 approach to the trigger, $0.83 zone thickness (the stop), $8.89 runway to the next zone -- 10.7:1 at the trigger, 1.13x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.37x daily ATR before entry.
📈 SPY — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Setup Grade A+Calls
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$742.50 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.64% • $4.75 • 0.62× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.69
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-22 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/2H/1H supply $745.94–$747.27
Tight core (where 3 zones align): $746.34–$747.10 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:2.59
Supply bottom / risk area
$745.94
Supply top / breakout
$747.27
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 750.72
1:2.59
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 3H/2H/1H supply breakout level near $747.27, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.
Daily trend: SPY is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Range-bound), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Trade geometry: $4.77 approach to the trigger, $1.33 zone thickness (the stop), $3.45 runway to the next zone -- 2.6:1 at the trigger, 1.07x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.62x daily ATR before entry.
📉 IONQ — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$35.00 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.60% • $1.26 • 0.38× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.29
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
26.1 (oversold)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI strongly extended in the trade direction (backtest: 55% win, +0.31 avg R)
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (19d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
2H/90m/1H demand $33.74–$34.95
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $33.95–$34.17 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:3.27
Demand top / risk area
$34.95
Demand bottom / breakdown
$33.74
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 29.78
1:3.27
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 29.36
1:3.62
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 2H/90m/1H demand breakdown level near $33.74, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.
Daily trend: IONQ is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.58x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.26 approach to the trigger, $1.21 zone thickness (the stop), $3.96 runway to the next zone -- 3.3:1 at the trigger, 1.58x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.38x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.58x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.
$202.55 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.63% • $1.28 • 0.17× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.35
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-22 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (40d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-22) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
3H/90m/1H supply $203.82–$207.81
Tight core (where 5 zones align): $206.46–$206.65 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.97
Supply top / failure
$207.81
Supply bottom / rejection
$203.82
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 197.43
1:0.97
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 189.21
1:2.54
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 183.91
1:3.55
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 3H/90m/1H supply zone near $207.81, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.82x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.27 to reach the zone, $3.99 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.39 runway to the target -- 1.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $197.43 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$157.05 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.35% • $0.55 • 0.06× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.15
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $157.60–$178.55
Tight core (where 29 zones align): $172.80–$172.87 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.41
Supply top / failure
$178.55
Supply bottom / rejection
$157.60
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18
1:0.41
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 141.29
1:0.73
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $178.55, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: COIN is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.72x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.55 to reach the zone, $20.95 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $9.42 runway to the target -- 0.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $148.18 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$424.85 as of 2026-07-17 07:50 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.28% • $9.69 • 0.29× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$33.73
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
36.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (19d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
elevated volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $434.55–$444.68
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $442.17–$443.30 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.62
Supply top / failure
$444.68
Supply bottom / rejection
$434.55
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/1H demand @ 412.55
1:0.62
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 393.22
1:1.60
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $444.68, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: APP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $9.70 to reach the zone, $10.13 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $22.00 runway to the target -- 2.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $412.55 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$276.06 as of 2026-07-17 07:20 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.58% • $1.60 • 0.11× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.27
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-06 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-06 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $262.05–$274.46
Tight core (where 24 zones align): $267.04–$268.27 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.14
Demand bottom / failure
$262.05
Demand top / hold area
$274.46
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H supply @ 278.07
1:0.14
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $262.05, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: NET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.60 to reach the zone, $12.41 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.61 runway to the target -- 0.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $278.07 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$52.50 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
4.32% • $2.27 • 0.54× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$4.19
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $44.30–$50.23
Tight core (where 35 zones align): $45.04–$45.16 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.02
Demand bottom / failure
$44.30
Demand top / hold area
$50.23
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/1H supply @ 52.66
1:0.02
Fresh
T2
1H supply @ 54.17
1:0.20
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 56.84
1:0.53
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $44.30, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: TEM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.27 to reach the zone, $5.93 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.43 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $52.66 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$276.06 as of 2026-07-17 07:20 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.73% • $2.02 • 0.14× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.27
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
64.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-06 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-06 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H supply $278.07–$282.10
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $281.55–$281.97 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.26
Supply top / failure
$282.10
Supply bottom / rejection
$278.07
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 274.46
1:0.26
Fresh
T2
4H/3H demand @ 260.84
1:2.52
1 test
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 247.88
1:4.67
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H supply zone near $282.10, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: NET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.98x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.01 to reach the zone, $4.03 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.61 runway to the target -- 0.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $274.46 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$94.95 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.94% • $2.79 • 0.38× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.39
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $90.02–$92.16
Tight core (where 13 zones align): $91.44–$91.49 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.39
Demand bottom / failure
$90.02
Demand top / hold area
$92.16
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 96.89
1:0.39
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 100.33
1:1.09
1 test
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 103.84
1:1.80
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $90.02, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: MSTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.79 to reach the zone, $2.14 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.73 runway to the target -- 2.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $96.89 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$94.95 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.04% • $1.94 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.39
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $96.89–$99.90
Tight core (where 7 zones align): $98.69–$98.84 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.28
Supply top / failure
$99.90
Supply bottom / rejection
$96.89
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 93.59
1:0.28
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 92.16
1:0.56
1 test
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 87.09
1:1.59
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $99.90, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: MSTR is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.94 to reach the zone, $3.01 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.30 runway to the target -- 1.1:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $93.59 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$346.45 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.14% • $0.49 • 0.04× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$11.07
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
IV CRUSH RISK — 2026-07-22 (5d)
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-22) holds THROUGH the 2026-07-22 report -- you would pay the earnings IV premium (measured ~+40 IV points on comparable names) and give it back as crush. No weekly expiry lands before the report, so any contract here holds through it.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1H supply $346.95–$348.52
T1 R:R
1:0.41
Supply top / failure
$348.52
Supply bottom / rejection
$346.95
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/90m demand @ 345.61
1:0.41
Fresh
T2
1D/3H demand @ 341.18
1:2.55
4 tests
T3
4H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 332.93
1:6.53
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1H supply zone near $348.52, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.50 to reach the zone, $1.57 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.34 runway to the target -- 0.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $345.61 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
$640.25 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.88% • $5.63 • 0.18× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$30.66
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (12d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-22) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand $626.00–$634.60
T1 R:R
1:1.59
Demand bottom / failure
$626.00
Demand top / hold area
$634.60
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 662.85
1:1.59
Fresh
T2
4H supply @ 691.75
1:3.61
Fresh
T3
90m/1H supply @ 697.07
1:3.99
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 90m/1H demand zone near $626.00, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: META is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.68x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.65 to reach the zone, $8.60 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $28.25 runway to the target -- 3.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $28.25 to $662.85 -- a long 3.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$693.60 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
2.73% • $18.94 • 1.28× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-22 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $668.90–$674.66
Tight core (where 6 zones align): $672.07–$672.88 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.24
Demand bottom / failure
$668.90
Demand top / hold area
$674.66
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m supply @ 699.49
1:0.24
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/1H supply @ 705.94
1:0.50
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 716.25
1:0.92
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $668.90, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.53x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $18.94 to reach the zone, $5.76 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $24.83 runway to the target -- 4.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $24.83 to $699.49 -- a long 4.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$72.55 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
3.64% • $2.64 • 1.05× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.52
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
48.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (19d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $69.56–$69.91
Tight core (where 4 zones align): $69.62–$69.69 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.07
Demand bottom / failure
$69.56
Demand top / hold area
$69.91
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H supply @ 72.75
1:0.07
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 73.46
1:0.30
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 79.08
1:2.18
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $69.56, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: UBER is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.6x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.64 to reach the zone, $0.35 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.84 runway to the target -- 8.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $2.84 to $72.75 -- a long 8.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
$693.60 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.75% • $5.20 • 0.35× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.82
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
42.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-22 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $686.48–$688.40
T1 R:R
1:0.83
Demand bottom / failure
$686.48
Demand top / hold area
$688.40
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m supply @ 699.49
1:0.83
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/1H supply @ 705.94
1:1.73
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 716.25
1:3.18
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $686.48, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.53x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.20 to reach the zone, $1.92 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.09 runway to the target -- 5.8:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $11.09 to $699.49 -- a long 5.8:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 PANW — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Latest price ~15-min delayed
$359.39 as of 2026-07-17 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket. Alpaca feed is 15-min delayed, so this trails the live tape by ~15-20 min; treat it as approximate for proximity, confirm the live number in your broker.
Distance to zone
0.51% • $1.83 • 0.09× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$19.46
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
67.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (7 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-18 (32d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-18 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply with strength • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply $361.21–$362.46
Tight core (where 2 zones align): $362.25–$362.45 — precise level to watch inside the zone.
T1 R:R
1:0.76
Supply top / failure
$362.46
Supply bottom / rejection
$361.21
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 357.06
1:0.76
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 330.30
1:9.49
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 299.04
1:19.69
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 90m/1H supply zone near $362.46, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 3.1x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.82 to reach the zone, $1.25 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.15 runway to the target -- 3.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $4.15 to $357.06 -- a long 3.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.