Generated: 2026-07-16 08:30 AM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-15 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Current price uses the latest downloaded market bar/quote snapshot for proximity; zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.73
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-23 (7d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-23 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-29) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-17 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand $101.06–$102.07
T1 R:R
1:5.41
Demand top / risk area
$102.07
Demand bottom / breakdown
$101.06
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 95.60
1:5.41
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m demand @ 84.54
1:16.36
Fresh
T3
3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 82.81
1:18.07
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 90m/1H demand breakdown level near $101.06, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.55x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.44 approach to the trigger, $1.01 zone thickness (the stop), $5.46 runway to the next zone -- 5.4:1 at the trigger, 0.71x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 ARM — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Setup Grade A+Puts
Current price
$263.99 as of 2026-07-16 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket
Distance to zone
4.80% • $12.67 • 0.44× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$28.87
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
39.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI extended in the trade direction (backtest: 39% win, +0.17 avg R)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $251.31–$256.59
T1 R:R
1:5.08
Demand top / risk area
$256.59
Demand bottom / breakdown
$251.31
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 224.50
1:5.08
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 219.09
1:6.10
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 176.31
1:14.20
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 4H/2H/90m/1H demand breakdown level near $251.31, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.
Daily trend: ARM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.56x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $12.68 approach to the trigger, $5.28 zone thickness (the stop), $26.81 runway to the next zone -- 5.1:1 at the trigger, 1.37x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.44x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.37x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
📉 GOOGL — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade A+Reversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Current price
$374.10 as of 2026-07-16 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket
Distance to zone
0.61% • $2.28 • 0.22× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.34
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-22 (6d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-22 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-29) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-17 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $376.37–$378.56
T1 R:R
1:3.17
Supply top / failure
$378.56
Supply bottom / rejection
$376.37
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 359.95
1:3.17
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 356.19
1:4.02
Fresh
T3
1D/3H demand @ 341.18
1:7.38
4 tests
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $378.56, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.73x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.27 to reach the zone, $2.19 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $16.42 runway to the target -- 7.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $16.42 to $359.95 -- a long 7.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.08
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
59.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (8 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (15 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply $124.31–$129.39
T1 R:R
1:0.64
Supply top / failure
$129.39
Supply bottom / rejection
$124.31
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 120.93
1:0.64
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 114.67
1:1.86
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.60
1:3.04
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply zone near $129.39, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.57x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.07 to reach the zone, $5.08 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.38 runway to the target -- 0.7:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $120.93 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.53
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
60.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (14d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/90m/1H supply $256.49–$261.20
T1 R:R
1:0.31
Supply top / failure
$261.20
Supply bottom / rejection
$256.49
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/90m demand @ 254.79
1:0.31
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 247.85
1:1.74
Fresh
T3
4H/3H demand @ 240.31
1:3.28
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/90m/1H supply zone near $261.20, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.13x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.17 to reach the zone, $4.71 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.70 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $254.79 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.02
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (8 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (15 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-06 (21d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-06 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $262.05–$270.70
T1 R:R
1:0.31
Demand bottom / failure
$262.05
Demand top / hold area
$270.70
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H supply @ 278.81
1:0.31
1 test
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $262.05, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: NET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $4.10 to reach the zone, $8.65 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $8.11 runway to the target -- 0.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $278.81 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$28.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
66.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $649.05–$663.21
T1 R:R
1:0.37
Demand bottom / failure
$649.05
Demand top / hold area
$663.21
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H supply @ 691.75
1:0.37
Fresh
T2
90m/1H supply @ 697.07
1:0.54
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 706.40
1:0.84
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $649.05, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: META is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $17.04 to reach the zone, $14.16 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $28.54 runway to the target -- 2.0:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $691.75 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$18.88
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-22 (6d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-22 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-29) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-17 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $354.77–$382.58
T1 R:R
1:0.07
Demand bottom / failure
$354.77
Demand top / hold area
$382.58
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 395.33
1:0.07
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 407.68
1:0.39
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 416.64
1:0.63
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $354.77, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $10.16 to reach the zone, $27.81 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $12.75 runway to the target -- 0.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $395.33 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$37.10
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (8 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (15 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
elevated volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $418.46–$455.00
T1 R:R
1:1.29
Demand bottom / failure
$418.46
Demand top / hold area
$455.00
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 505.65
1:1.29
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 510.11
1:1.41
Fresh
T3
2H/90m/1H supply @ 527.91
1:1.88
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $418.46, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: APP is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.93x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.49 to reach the zone, $36.54 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $50.65 runway to the target -- 1.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $505.65 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$4.17
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
53.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (14d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $52.90–$56.29
T1 R:R
1:0.51
Demand bottom / failure
$52.90
Demand top / hold area
$56.29
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 58.27
1:0.51
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 60.09
1:1.03
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H supply @ 63.36
1:1.95
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $52.90, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: TEM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.66x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.16 to reach the zone, $3.39 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.98 runway to the target -- 0.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $58.27 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.08
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
59.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-24 (8 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (15 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-24) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $115.17–$120.93
T1 R:R
1:0.01
Demand bottom / failure
$115.17
Demand top / hold area
$120.93
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m supply @ 124.31
1:0.01
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 131.88
1:0.84
Fresh
T3
1D supply @ 142.40
1:2.00
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $115.17, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.99x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.31 to reach the zone, $5.76 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.38 runway to the target -- 0.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $124.31 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
📈 ARM — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Current price
$263.99 as of 2026-07-16 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket
Distance to zone
2.80% • $7.39 • 0.26× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$28.87
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
39.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $251.31–$256.59
T1 R:R
1:1.12
Demand bottom / failure
$251.31
Demand top / hold area
$256.59
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H supply @ 278.14
1:1.12
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 297.00
1:2.60
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 322.24
1:4.59
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $251.31, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: ARM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.02x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $7.40 to reach the zone, $5.28 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $21.55 runway to the target -- 4.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $21.55 to $278.14 -- a long 4.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 HOOD — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Current price
$113.60 as of 2026-07-16 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket
Distance to zone
4.29% • $4.87 • 0.76× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.43
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-24) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $107.56–$108.73
T1 R:R
1:0.91
Demand bottom / failure
$107.56
Demand top / hold area
$108.73
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/1H supply @ 119.13
1:0.91
1 test
T2
1D supply @ 121.70
1:1.34
Fresh
T3
1D supply @ 135.26
1:3.58
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $107.56, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: HOOD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 3.37x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.87 to reach the zone, $1.17 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $10.40 runway to the target -- 8.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $10.40 to $119.13 -- a long 8.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 AMD — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Current price
$510.60 as of 2026-07-16 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket
Distance to zone
4.39% • $22.42 • 0.56× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$40.04
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
51.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (4 DTE) | swing 2026-07-29 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (19d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-29) land before the 2026-08-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H demand $479.79–$488.21
T1 R:R
1:0.77
Demand bottom / failure
$479.79
Demand top / hold area
$488.21
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 534.39
1:0.77
Fresh
T2
2H/90m/1H supply @ 562.84
1:1.70
2 tests
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 579.88
1:2.25
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 90m/1H demand zone near $479.79, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: AMD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.73x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $22.39 to reach the zone, $8.42 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $46.18 runway to the target -- 5.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $46.18 to $534.39 -- a long 5.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📈 QQQ — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayCalls
Current price
$711.01 as of 2026-07-16 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket
Distance to zone
3.18% • $22.61 • 1.52× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$14.88
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-21 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-29 (13 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
none upcoming
No earnings on the calendar for this name (normal for ETFs), so no IV-crush exposure to price in.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $686.48–$688.40
T1 R:R
1:0.35
Demand bottom / failure
$686.48
Demand top / hold area
$688.40
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 719.65
1:0.35
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 735.76
1:1.01
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $686.48, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.66x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $22.61 to reach the zone, $1.92 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $31.25 runway to the target -- 16.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $31.25 to $719.65 -- a long 16.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
📉 MSFT — Supply Rejection — Puts
Setup Grade BReversal: 1:3 runwayPuts
Current price
$400.70 as of 2026-07-16 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket
Distance to zone
4.74% • $18.99 • 1.52× ATR
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$12.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
53.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (13d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Zone
90m/1H supply $419.69–$420.98
T1 R:R
1:0.69
Supply top / failure
$420.98
Supply bottom / rejection
$419.69
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 386.72
1:0.69
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.02
1:1.36
Fresh
T3
1H demand @ 352.69
1:2.37
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 90m/1H supply zone near $420.98, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.22x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $18.99 to reach the zone, $1.29 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $32.97 runway to the target -- 25.6:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $32.97 to $386.72 -- a long 25.6:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
SPY
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
At zone: needs confirmation
B
0.08%
1:6.00
T1 1:38.11 → T3 1:86.16
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
RKLB
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.10%
1:1.19
T1 1:1.19 → T3 1:4.58
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving