Generated: 2026-07-15 11:50 PM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-14 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Current price uses the latest downloaded market bar/quote snapshot for proximity; zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.57
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Typical opening range
$4.17
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$129.08 (R:R 1:8.04)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
46% win rate, avg R +0.39 (N=46 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-23 (8d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-23 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-29) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-17 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.22× ATR (~$2.09)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for a strong RTH close above supply, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest above the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $105.84–$107.06 S $109.58–$110.85
Scenario
Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $112.33–$113.90
T1 R:R
1:5.29
R:R range
T1 1:5.29 → T2 1:16.06
Supply bottom / risk area
$112.33
Supply top / breakout
$113.90
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.83 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.56x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 122.20
1:5.29
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 139.12
1:16.06
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply breakout level near $113.90, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 112.33-113.9. Setup: Supply Breakout Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure. Invalidation: 112.33. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 122.20 (RR 5.29, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.1) -- R:R 5.29. Swing target: 1D/4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 139.12 (RR 16.06, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.9) -- R:R 16.06. Day target is 1.28x daily atr away; swing target is 3.05x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 3.05x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $3.95 approach to the trigger, $1.57 zone thickness (the stop), $8.30 runway to the next zone -- 5.3:1 at the trigger, 1.28x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.41x daily ATR before entry. Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.95
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$2.72
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$225.10 (R:R 1:1.14)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-29 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (42d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-29) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.05)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $198.96–$209.56 S $208.65–$213.99
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $198.96–$209.56
T1 R:R
1:0.61
R:R range
T1 1:0.61 → T3 1:1.87
Demand bottom / failure
$198.96
Demand top / hold area
$209.56
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Moderate (1.39 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (1.01x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.7/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 218.72
1:0.61
Fresh
T2
2H/90m/1H supply @ 228.32
1:1.40
2 tests
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 234.11
1:1.87
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $198.96, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 198.96-209.56. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 198.96. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 218.72 (RR 0.61, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) -- R:R 0.61. Swing target: 2H/90m/1H supply @ 228.32 (RR 1.40, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 5.3, soft obstacle: low_quality) -- R:R 1.4. Day target is 1.08x daily atr away; swing target is 2.46x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.46x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.64 to reach the zone, $10.60 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $9.16 runway to the target -- 0.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $218.72 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.34
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.20
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$148.34 (R:R 1:1.83)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-03 (19d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.11)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $133.11–$133.80 S $130.63–$138.90
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $125.64–$130.06
T1 R:R
1:0.92
R:R range
T1 1:0.92 → T3 1:2.48
Demand bottom / failure
$125.64
Demand top / hold area
$130.06
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.63 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (1.1x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.2/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 140.98
1:0.92
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 152.01
1:2.29
Fresh
T3
90m supply @ 153.50
1:2.48
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $125.64, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 125.64-130.06. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 125.64. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 140.98 (RR 0.92, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) -- R:R 0.92. Swing target: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 152.01 (RR 2.29, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.7) -- R:R 2.29. Day target is 1.0x daily atr away; swing target is 2.5x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.59 to reach the zone, $4.42 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $10.92 runway to the target -- 2.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $140.98 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$1.78
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
41.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$0.76
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$31.20 (R:R 1:1.59)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.27)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $25.41–$27.48 S $27.64–$29.21
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $25.41–$27.48
T1 R:R
1:0.74
R:R range
T1 1:0.74 → T3 1:1.89
Demand bottom / failure
$25.41
Demand top / hold area
$27.48
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.71 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.5x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.7/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
3H/90m/1H supply @ 29.30
1:0.74
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 29.93
1:1.02
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 31.89
1:1.89
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $25.41, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: SMCI is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 25.41-27.48. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 25.41. Day target: 3H/90m/1H supply @ 29.30 (RR 0.74, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.1) -- R:R 0.74. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 29.93 (RR 1.02, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.7) -- R:R 1.02. Day target is 0.93x daily atr away; swing target is 1.28x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.39x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.17 to reach the zone, $2.07 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.82 runway to the target -- 0.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $29.30 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$12.93
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
71.3 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$7.42
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$250.55 (R:R 1:3.02)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (42d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.90)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $274.50–$277.00 S $277.00–$284.99
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $277.00–$284.99
T1 R:R
1:0.32
R:R range
T1 1:0.32 → T3 1:2.89
Supply top / failure
$284.99
Supply bottom / rejection
$277.00
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Moderate (-1.34 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (1.17x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
10.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 273.69
1:0.32
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 271.10
1:0.62
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 251.65
1:2.89
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $284.99, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: SNOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 277.0-284.99. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 284.99. Day target: 1H demand @ 273.69 (RR 0.32, fresh, tests 0, quality 8.9) -- R:R 0.32. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 271.10 (RR 0.62, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.9) -- R:R 0.62. Day target is 0.21x daily atr away; swing target is 0.41x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.92x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.58 to reach the zone, $7.99 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.31 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $273.69 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.57
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
53.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.76
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$263.00 (R:R 1:2.06)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-27 (12 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (15d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-27) land before the 2026-07-30 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.14)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $246.15–$246.65 S $245.22–$250.43
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $240.52–$245.78
T1 R:R
1:0.69
R:R range
T1 1:0.69 → T3 1:1.82
Demand bottom / failure
$240.52
Demand top / hold area
$245.78
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.45 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.61x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.3/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 252.90
1:0.69
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 256.49
1:1.17
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 261.25
1:1.82
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $240.52, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 240.52-245.78. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 240.52. Day target: 1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 252.90 (RR 0.69, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.2) -- R:R 0.69. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 256.49 (RR 1.17, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.9) -- R:R 1.17. Day target is 0.66x daily atr away; swing target is 1.14x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.77x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.09 to reach the zone, $5.26 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.12 runway to the target -- 1.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $252.90 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$4.93
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$377.36 (R:R 1:2.91)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-22 (7d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-22 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-29) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-17 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.51)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $350.40–$356.19 S $358.63–$362.90
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $350.40–$356.19
T1 R:R
1:0.19
R:R range
T1 1:0.19 → T3 1:2.76
Demand bottom / failure
$350.40
Demand top / hold area
$356.19
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.7 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.53x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.7/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 358.63
1:0.19
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 365.75
1:1.22
Fresh
T3
1D/90m supply @ 376.37
1:2.76
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $350.40, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 350.4-356.19. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 350.4. Day target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 358.63 (RR 0.19, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.4) -- R:R 0.19. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 365.75 (RR 1.22, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.5) -- R:R 1.22. Day target is 0.13x daily atr away; swing target is 0.84x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.9x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.11 to reach the zone, $5.79 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.44 runway to the target -- 0.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $358.63 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$4.22
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$2.28
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$49.88 (R:R 1:1.76)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (15d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-17) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.62)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $58.20–$58.49 S $60.09–$63.11
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $60.09–$63.11
T1 R:R
1:0.16
R:R range
T1 1:0.16 → T3 1:1.24
Supply top / failure
$63.11
Supply bottom / rejection
$60.09
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.77 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.71x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.1/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H demand @ 57.55
1:0.16
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 56.29
1:0.42
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 52.38
1:1.24
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $63.11, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: TEM is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 60.09-63.11. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 63.11. Day target: 90m/1H demand @ 57.55 (RR 0.16, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.2) -- R:R 0.16. Swing target: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 56.29 (RR 0.42, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.9) -- R:R 0.42. Day target is 0.18x daily atr away; swing target is 0.48x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.77 to reach the zone, $3.02 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.54 runway to the target -- 0.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $57.55 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$12.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$5.21
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$411.33 (R:R 1:1.92)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-27 (12 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (14d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-27) land before the 2026-07-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.89)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $373.35–$384.78 S $386.62–$388.19
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $373.35–$384.78
T1 R:R
1:0.02
R:R range
T1 1:0.02 → T3 1:0.85
Demand bottom / failure
$373.35
Demand top / hold area
$384.78
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.09 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.64x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.3/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/1H supply @ 386.62
1:0.02
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 391.02
1:0.36
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 397.36
1:0.85
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $373.35, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 373.35-384.78. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 373.35. Day target: 2H/1H supply @ 386.62 (RR 0.02, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.4) -- R:R 0.02. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 391.02 (RR 0.36, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.7) -- R:R 0.36. Day target is 0.02x daily atr away; swing target is 0.37x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $1.56 to reach the zone, $11.43 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.84 runway to the target -- 0.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $386.62 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$27.64
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
63.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$11.92
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$607.43 (R:R 1:1.92)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-27 (12 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (14d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-27) land before the 2026-07-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$4.06)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Price position
inside supply
Structure (5m / 15m)
Mixed structure Range-bound / Mixed / Transition
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $654.81–$658.77 S $660.52–$664.49
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $665.98–$691.52
T1 R:R
1:0.14
R:R range
T1 1:0.14 → T3 1:3.45
Supply top / failure
$691.52
Supply bottom / rejection
$665.98
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Excellent (-3.64 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Excellent (3.68x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
10.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H demand @ 658.77
1:0.14
1 test
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 615.98
1:1.62
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 563.29
1:3.45
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $691.52, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: META is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 665.98-691.52. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 691.52. Day target: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 658.77 (RR 0.14, one_test, tests 1, quality 7.4) -- R:R 0.14. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 615.98 (RR 1.62, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.4) -- R:R 1.62. Day target is 0.14x daily atr away; swing target is 1.69x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.69x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.26 to reach the zone, $25.54 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.21 runway to the target -- 0.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $658.77 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$4.22
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
56.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$2.28
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$66.76 (R:R 1:1.56)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (15d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-17) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.64)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $58.20–$58.49 S $60.09–$63.11
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
4H/2H/90m/1H demand $52.90–$56.29
T1 R:R
1:0.33
R:R range
T1 1:0.33 → T3 1:1.15
Demand bottom / failure
$52.90
Demand top / hold area
$56.29
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.66 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.63x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
7.9/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 60.09
1:0.33
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H supply @ 63.36
1:0.93
Fresh
T3
90m/1H supply @ 64.56
1:1.15
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $52.90, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: TEM is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 52.9-56.29. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 52.9. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 60.09 (RR 0.33, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.1) -- R:R 0.33. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/1H supply @ 63.36 (RR 0.93, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.5) -- R:R 0.93. Day target is 0.42x daily atr away; swing target is 1.19x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.03 to reach the zone, $3.39 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.80 runway to the target -- 1.1:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $60.09 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.61
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
51.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.30
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$181.67 (R:R 1:1.82)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (49d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.00)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $165.92–$167.53 S $169.22–$175.53
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $161.20–$165.60
T1 R:R
1:0.11
R:R range
T1 1:0.11 → T3 1:1.94
Demand bottom / failure
$161.20
Demand top / hold area
$165.60
Freshness
One successful retest (1 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Moderate (1.48 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.85x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.5/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 169.22
1:0.11
Fresh
T2
4H/3H supply @ 179.50
1:1.52
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/90m/1H supply @ 182.55
1:1.94
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $161.20, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 161.2-165.6. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 161.2. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 169.22 (RR 0.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.5) -- R:R 0.11. Swing target: 4H/3H supply @ 179.50 (RR 1.52, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9) -- R:R 1.52. Day target is 0.12x daily atr away; swing target is 1.67x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.67x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.85 to reach the zone, $4.40 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.62 runway to the target -- 0.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $169.22 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.15
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
62.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.17
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$136.81 (R:R 1:1.32)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (21d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.93)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $121.60–$126.05 S $125.25–$129.39
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $115.17–$120.93
T1 R:R
1:0.08
R:R range
T1 1:0.08 → T3 1:1.92
Demand bottom / failure
$115.17
Demand top / hold area
$120.93
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.76 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.74x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
7.5/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/2H/90m supply @ 125.25
1:0.08
1 test
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 131.88
1:0.79
Fresh
T3
1D supply @ 142.40
1:1.92
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $115.17, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: SHOP is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 115.17-120.93. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 115.17. Day target: 1D/4H/2H/90m supply @ 125.25 (RR 0.08, one_test, tests 1, quality 17.6) -- R:R 0.08. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 131.88 (RR 0.79, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0) -- R:R 0.79. Day target is 0.12x daily atr away; swing target is 1.2x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.91x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.57 to reach the zone, $5.76 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $4.32 runway to the target -- 0.8:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $125.25 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$12.49
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$5.21
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$361.35 (R:R 1:13.51)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-27 (12 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (14d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-27) land before the 2026-07-29 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.84)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $373.35–$384.78 S $386.62–$388.19
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $386.62–$388.19
T1 R:R
1:0.84
R:R range
T1 1:0.84 → T3 1:18.19
Supply top / failure
$388.19
Supply bottom / rejection
$386.62
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.49 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (0.97x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
6.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 384.78
1:0.84
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.02
1:7.20
Fresh
T3
1H demand @ 352.69
1:18.19
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $388.19, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: MSFT is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 386.62-388.19. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 388.19. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 384.78 (RR 0.84, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.3) -- R:R 0.84. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 373.02 (RR 7.20, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) -- R:R 7.2. Day target is 0.12x daily atr away; swing target is 1.07x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.69x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.28 to reach the zone, $1.57 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.84 runway to the target -- 1.2:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $384.78 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.61
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
51.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.30
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$155.23 (R:R 1:1.87)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-09-02 (49d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-09-02 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.97)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $165.92–$167.53 S $169.22–$175.53
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $169.22–$175.53
T1 R:R
1:0.13
R:R range
T1 1:0.13 → T3 1:1.64
Supply top / failure
$175.53
Supply bottom / rejection
$169.22
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.56 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (1.06x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
7.5/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H demand @ 167.53
1:0.13
3 tests
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 165.60
1:0.40
1 test
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 156.85
1:1.64
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $175.53, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 169.22-175.53. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 175.53. Day target: 4H/3H/2H demand @ 167.53 (RR 0.13, multiple_tests, tests 3, quality 7.6) -- R:R 0.13. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 165.60 (RR 0.40, one_test, tests 1, quality 14.8) -- R:R 0.4. Day target is 0.14x daily atr away; swing target is 0.43x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.75x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.77 to reach the zone, $6.31 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.69 runway to the target -- 0.3:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $167.53 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$12.93
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
71.3 (overbought)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$7.42
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$302.29 (R:R 1:5.07)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-26 (42d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-26 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.95)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible above demand no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $274.50–$277.00 S $277.00–$284.99
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $271.32–$273.69
T1 R:R
1:0.11
R:R range
T1 1:0.11
Demand bottom / failure
$271.32
Demand top / hold area
$273.69
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.78 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Strong (1.35x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
5.6/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 277.00
1:0.11
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $271.32, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: SNOW is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 271.32-273.69. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 271.32. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 277.00 (RR 0.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.0) -- R:R 0.11. Swing target: Not available (no qualifying opposing zone found). Day target is 0.04x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.73 to reach the zone, $2.37 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.31 runway to the target -- 1.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $277.00 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$29.38
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$14.50
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$224.39 (R:R 1:19.99)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (14d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-17) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$4.32)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $279.29–$282.27 S $283.90–$286.09
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
90m/1H supply $283.90–$286.09
T1 R:R
1:0.30
R:R range
T1 1:0.30 → T3 1:19.98
Supply top / failure
$286.09
Supply bottom / rejection
$283.90
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.33 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Strong (1.21x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
5.8/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m demand @ 282.27
1:0.30
1 test
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 256.59
1:9.05
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 224.50
1:19.98
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 90m/1H supply zone near $286.09, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: ARM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 283.9-286.09. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 286.09. Day target: 90m demand @ 282.27 (RR 0.30, one_test, tests 1, quality 6.2) -- R:R 0.3. Swing target: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 256.59 (RR 9.05, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0) -- R:R 9.05. Day target is 0.03x daily atr away; swing target is 0.9x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.0x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.75 to reach the zone, $2.19 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.63 runway to the target -- 0.7:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $282.27 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$29.38
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
40.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$14.50
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$341.91 (R:R 1:15.22)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-29 (14d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-17) lands before the 2026-07-29 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$4.44)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume above demand no trigger • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $279.29–$282.27 S $283.90–$286.09
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
90m demand $279.29–$282.27
T1 R:R
1:0.19
R:R range
T1 1:0.19 → T3 1:10.11
Demand bottom / failure
$279.29
Demand top / hold area
$282.27
Freshness
One successful retest (1 tests)
Confluence
90m
Departure strength
Weak (0.44 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Excellent (1.56x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
4.2/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H supply @ 283.90
1:0.19
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 297.00
1:3.58
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 322.24
1:10.11
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 90m demand zone near $279.29, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: ARM is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 279.29-282.27. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 279.29. Day target: 90m/1H supply @ 283.90 (RR 0.19, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.0) -- R:R 0.19. Swing target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 297.00 (RR 3.58, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.8) -- R:R 3.58. Day target is 0.03x daily atr away; swing target is 0.47x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.88 to reach the zone, $2.98 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $1.63 runway to the target -- 0.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $283.90 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.34
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.20
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$148.34 (R:R 1:5.65)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-03 (19d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-03 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.11)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $133.11–$133.80 S $130.63–$138.90
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
90m/1H demand $131.05–$132.19
T1 R:R
1:2.82
R:R range
T1 1:2.82 → T3 1:7.63
Demand bottom / failure
$131.05
Demand top / hold area
$132.19
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.79 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (0.9x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
5.9/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 140.98
1:2.82
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 152.01
1:7.06
Fresh
T3
90m supply @ 153.50
1:7.63
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 90m/1H demand zone near $131.05, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 131.05-132.19. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 131.05. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 140.98 (RR 2.82, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) -- R:R 2.82. Swing target: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 152.01 (RR 7.06, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.7) -- R:R 7.06. Day target is 1.0x daily atr away; swing target is 2.5x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.46 to reach the zone, $1.14 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $8.79 runway to the target -- 7.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $8.79 to $140.98 -- a long 7.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$38.05
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$15.35
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$477.90 (R:R 1:2.48)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-29 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-29) land before the 2026-08-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$5.59)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $494.00–$521.70 S $551.95–$558.95
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $579.88–$584.73
T1 R:R
1:1.05
R:R range
T1 1:1.05 → T3 1:2.51
Supply top / failure
$584.73
Supply bottom / rejection
$579.88
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Moderate (-1.3 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (0.91x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.2/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 521.70
1:1.05
Fresh
T2
90m/1H demand @ 488.21
1:2.14
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 476.72
1:2.51
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $584.73, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: AMD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 579.88-584.73. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 584.73. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 521.70 (RR 1.05, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.6) -- R:R 1.05. Swing target: 90m/1H demand @ 488.21 (RR 2.14, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.7) -- R:R 2.14. Day target is 0.85x daily atr away; swing target is 1.73x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.73x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $25.88 to reach the zone, $4.85 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $58.18 runway to the target -- 12.0:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $58.18 to $521.70 -- a long 12.0:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$3.70
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
30.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$1.95
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$32.14 (R:R 1:6.28)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-17 (2 DTE) | swing 2026-07-31 (16 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-05 (21d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-17) and swing expiry (2026-07-31) land before the 2026-08-05 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.54)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $33.74–$34.95 S $39.28–$39.70
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1H supply $40.08–$40.73
T1 R:R
1:3.90
R:R range
T1 1:3.90 → T3 1:8.64
Supply top / failure
$40.73
Supply bottom / rejection
$40.08
Freshness
One successful retest (1 tests)
Confluence
1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.89 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Excellent (1.85x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
4.7/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/90m/1H demand @ 34.95
1:3.90
Fresh
T2
1H demand @ 29.78
1:8.28
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 29.36
1:8.64
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1H supply zone near $40.73, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: IONQ is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 40.08-40.73. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 40.73. Day target: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 34.95 (RR 3.90, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.3) -- R:R 3.9. Swing target: 1H demand @ 29.78 (RR 8.28, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.8) -- R:R 8.28. Day target is 1.24x daily atr away; swing target is 2.64x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.64x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.53 to reach the zone, $0.65 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.13 runway to the target -- 7.9:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.13 to $34.95 -- a long 7.9:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$38.05
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$15.35
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$477.90 (R:R 1:4.11)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expiry to trade (0.40 delta)
day 2026-07-20 (5 DTE) | swing 2026-07-29 (14 DTE)
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-08-04 (20d) — clear
Both your day expiry (2026-07-20) and swing expiry (2026-07-29) land before the 2026-08-04 report, so neither pays the earnings IV premium.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$5.59)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $494.00–$521.70 S $551.95–$558.95
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply $562.84–$572.50
T1 R:R
1:1.75
R:R range
T1 1:1.75 → T3 1:4.18
Supply top / failure
$572.50
Supply bottom / rejection
$562.84
Freshness
Multiple retests (2 tests)
Confluence
2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.52 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.7x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
3.7/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 521.70
1:1.75
Fresh
T2
90m/1H demand @ 488.21
1:3.56
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 476.72
1:4.18
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 2H/90m/1H supply zone near $572.50, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: AMD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 562.84-572.5. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 572.5. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 521.70 (RR 1.75, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.6) -- R:R 1.75. Swing target: 90m/1H demand @ 488.21 (RR 3.56, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.7) -- R:R 3.56. Day target is 0.85x daily atr away; swing target is 1.73x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.73x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $8.84 to reach the zone, $9.66 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $41.14 runway to the target -- 4.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $41.14 to $521.70 -- a long 4.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.68
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$4.92
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$142.72 (R:R 1:7.42)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-30 (15d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-17) lands before the 2026-07-30 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-31) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-24 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.42)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching supply grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $154.01–$159.79 S $161.61–$162.26
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $163.54–$164.69
T1 R:R
1:0.88
R:R range
T1 1:0.88 → T3 1:7.97
Supply top / failure
$164.69
Supply bottom / rejection
$163.54
Freshness
One successful retest (1 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.93 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.67x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
5.1/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 159.79
1:0.88
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18
1:5.33
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 141.29
1:7.97
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $164.69, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: COIN is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 163.54-164.69. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 164.69. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 159.79 (RR 0.88, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.0) -- R:R 0.88. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18 (RR 5.33, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.6) -- R:R 5.33. Day target is 0.24x daily atr away; swing target is 1.44x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.15x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.46 to reach the zone, $1.15 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.75 runway to the target -- 3.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $3.75 to $159.79 -- a long 3.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.57
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$4.17
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$90.82 (R:R 1:4.84)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Standardized targets (5 DTE day / 14 DTE swing), snapped to the expiries this name actually lists -- Friday-only names may land further from target than the large caps.
Earnings / IV crush
2026-07-23 (8d) — day OK, swing crosses
The 5-DTE day expiry (2026-07-20) lands before the 2026-07-23 report and is clean. The 14-DTE swing (2026-07-29) would hold through it and eat the crush. Pulling the swing in to 2026-07-17 keeps it before the report.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.41)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $105.84–$107.06 S $109.58–$110.85
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $112.33–$113.90
T1 R:R
1:0.73
R:R range
T1 1:0.73 → T3 1:3.63
Supply top / failure
$113.90
Supply bottom / rejection
$112.33
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.83 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.56x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m/1H demand @ 107.06
1:0.73
Fresh
T2
1H demand @ 102.39
1:1.91
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 95.60
1:3.63
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $113.90, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 112.33-113.9. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 113.9. Day target: 90m/1H demand @ 107.06 (RR 0.73, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.0) -- R:R 0.73. Swing target: 1H demand @ 102.39 (RR 1.91, fresh, tests 0, quality 8.5) -- R:R 1.91. Day target is 0.3x daily atr away; swing target is 0.79x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.5x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.38 to reach the zone, $1.57 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $5.27 runway to the target -- 3.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $5.27 to $107.06 -- a long 3.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.