Generated: 2026-07-14 10:47 PM EDT America/New_York Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50 Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion. Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-13 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source) Current price uses the latest downloaded market bar/quote snapshot for proximity; zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.70
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI leaning against the break (backtest: 32% win, +0.09 avg R)
Typical opening range
$3.46
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$96.08 (R:R 1:17.87)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
32% win rate, avg R -0.03 (N=41 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.34× ATR (~$2.26)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for strong RTH close below demand, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest below the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $109.03–$112.00 S $109.53–$110.30
Scenario
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $107.56–$108.73
T1 R:R
1:4.86
R:R range
T1 1:4.86 → T3 1:11.27
Demand top / risk area
$108.73
Demand bottom / breakdown
$107.56
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Excellent (2.09 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Excellent (2.23x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
10.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 101.87
1:4.86
Fresh
T2
4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 97.10
1:8.94
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 94.37
1:11.27
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand breakdown level near $107.56, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.
Daily trend: HOOD is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 107.56-108.73. Setup: Demand Breakdown Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure. Invalidation: 108.73. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 101.87 (RR 4.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.7) -- R:R 4.86. Swing target: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 97.10 (RR 8.94, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.4) -- R:R 8.94. Day target is 1.14x daily atr away; swing target is 1.85x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.85x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.92 approach to the trigger, $1.17 zone thickness (the stop), $5.69 runway to the next zone -- 4.9:1 at the trigger, 1.14x daily ATR total. Textbook day-trade geometry: short approach, day-sized move, and runway well past the stop (backtest: +0.30 avg R vs +0.05 for everything else). Prior momentum: steady and aligned with the trade direction -- the backtest's best continuation profile (+0.55 avg R when paired with textbook geometry).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.75
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
51.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Typical opening range
$3.20
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$110.01 (R:R 1:4.03)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
32% win rate, avg R -0.03 (N=41 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.34× ATR (~$2.27)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for strong RTH close below demand, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest below the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $114.56–$117.67 S $130.63–$138.90
Scenario
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $125.64–$126.85
T1 R:R
1:6.00
R:R range
T1 1:6.59 → T3 1:14.21
Demand top / risk area
$126.85
Demand bottom / breakdown
$125.64
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.73 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.66x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.8/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/1H demand @ 117.67
1:6.59
Fresh
T2
3H/90m/1H demand @ 112.83
1:10.59
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 108.44
1:14.21
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand breakdown level near $125.64, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 125.64-126.85. Setup: Demand Breakdown Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure. Invalidation: 126.85. Day target: 1D/1H demand @ 117.67 (RR 6.59, fresh, tests 0, quality 20.0) -- R:R 6.59. Swing target: 3H/90m/1H demand @ 112.83 (RR 10.59, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.7) -- R:R 10.59. Day target is 0.86x daily atr away; swing target is 1.58x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.58x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $2.14 approach to the trigger, $1.21 zone thickness (the stop), $7.97 runway to the next zone -- 6.6:1 at the trigger, 1.50x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the full move is 1.50x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.27
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups. Momentum: RSI neutral -- no momentum tailwind (backtest: 33% win, -0.02 avg R)
Typical opening range
$3.30
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$148.14 (R:R 1:1.83)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
32% win rate, avg R -0.03 (N=41 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.34× ATR (~$2.11)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume breaking below demand • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for strong RTH close below demand, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest below the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $154.07–$156.85 S $169.22–$175.53
Scenario
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Zone
4H/3H/2H demand $165.92–$167.53
T1 R:R
1:5.63
R:R range
T1 1:5.63 → T2 1:9.50
Demand top / risk area
$167.53
Demand bottom / breakdown
$165.92
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H
Departure strength
Moderate (1.15 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Excellent (2.08x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.2/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 156.85
1:5.63
Fresh
T2
1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 150.62
1:9.50
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure
Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 4H/3H/2H demand breakdown level near $165.92, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 165.92-167.53. Setup: Demand Breakdown Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure. Invalidation: 167.53. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 156.85 (RR 5.63, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.1) -- R:R 5.63. Swing target: 1D/3H/90m/1H demand @ 150.62 (RR 9.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.8) -- R:R 9.5. Day target is 0.61x daily atr away; swing target is 1.6x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.6x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $5.25 approach to the trigger, $1.61 zone thickness (the stop), $9.07 runway to the next zone -- 5.6:1 at the trigger, 2.29x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.84x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 2.29x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers. Prior momentum caution: the recent multi-day move has been impulsive -- backtest shows these average ~0.0 R even when aligned; the move tends to have spent itself.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.58
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
52.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.79
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$261.55 (R:R 1:2.58)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.14)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand grinding • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $240.52–$245.66 S $245.22–$250.43
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $240.52–$245.66
T1 R:R
1:1.11
R:R range
T1 1:1.11 → T3 1:2.53
Demand bottom / failure
$240.52
Demand top / hold area
$245.66
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.45 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.61x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
7.6/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 252.90
1:1.11
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 256.49
1:1.72
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 261.25
1:2.53
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $240.52, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: AMZN is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 240.52-245.66. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 240.52. Day target: 1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 252.90 (RR 1.11, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.2) -- R:R 1.11. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/90m/1H supply @ 256.49 (RR 1.72, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.9) -- R:R 1.72. Day target is 0.86x daily atr away; swing target is 1.33x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.96x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.74 to reach the zone, $5.14 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.24 runway to the target -- 1.4:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $252.90 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.41
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
54.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$2.59
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$729.04 (R:R 1:1.59)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.38)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $739.98–$747.88 S $752.38–$759.69
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $752.38–$759.69
T1 R:R
1:0.80
R:R range
T1 1:0.80 → T3 1:2.35
Supply top / failure
$759.69
Supply bottom / rejection
$752.38
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Excellent (-2.91 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.87x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
10.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 738.33
1:0.80
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 728.85
1:1.60
2 tests
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 720.07
1:2.35
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $759.69, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: SPY is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 752.38-759.69. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 759.69. Day target: 1H demand @ 738.33 (RR 0.80, fresh, tests 0, quality 7.7) -- R:R 0.8. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 728.85 (RR 1.60, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 11.5) -- R:R 1.6. Day target is 1.01x daily atr away; swing target is 2.02x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.02x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.53 to reach the zone, $7.31 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $14.05 runway to the target -- 1.9:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $738.33 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.84
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.5 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.82
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$160.71 (R:R 1:3.02)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.59)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume below supply no trigger • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $177.07–$178.68 S $182.03–$184.14
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/1H supply $185.30–$189.56
T1 R:R
1:0.52
R:R range
T1 1:0.52 → T3 1:1.85
Supply top / failure
$189.56
Supply bottom / rejection
$185.30
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.69 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (1.07x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.4/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
90m demand @ 178.68
1:0.52
Fresh
T2
2H/90m/1H demand @ 175.72
1:0.93
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/1H demand @ 169.10
1:1.85
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/1H supply zone near $189.56, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: ANET is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 185.3-189.56. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 189.56. Day target: 90m demand @ 178.68 (RR 0.52, fresh, tests 0, quality 9.7) -- R:R 0.52. Swing target: 2H/90m/1H demand @ 175.72 (RR 0.93, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.3) -- R:R 0.93. Day target is 0.34x daily atr away; swing target is 0.62x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $2.91 to reach the zone, $4.26 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $6.62 runway to the target -- 1.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $178.68 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.92
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
49.9 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$2.72
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$191.91 (R:R 1:1.68)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.02)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply grinding • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $198.96–$204.46 S $207.81–$213.99
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $207.81–$213.99
T1 R:R
1:0.16
R:R range
T1 1:0.16 → T3 1:2.01
Supply top / failure
$213.99
Supply bottom / rejection
$207.81
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Moderate (-1.25 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.89x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.2/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 204.46
1:0.16
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 197.43
1:1.01
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 189.21
1:2.01
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $213.99, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 207.81-213.99. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 213.99. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 204.46 (RR 0.16, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2) -- R:R 0.16. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 197.43 (RR 1.01, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.8) -- R:R 1.01. Day target is 0.19x daily atr away; swing target is 1.2x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.39x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.06 to reach the zone, $6.18 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $3.35 runway to the target -- 0.5:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $204.46 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$17.50
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
59.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$7.58
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$363.84 (R:R 1:2.78)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$2.64)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction above demand no trigger • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $316.25–$328.73 S $336.01–$338.37
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $316.25–$328.73
T1 R:R
1:0.57
R:R range
T1 1:0.57 → T3 1:2.01
Demand bottom / failure
$316.25
Demand top / hold area
$328.73
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.3 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (0.93x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
7.7/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 336.01
1:0.57
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 344.99
1:1.28
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 354.12
1:2.01
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $316.25, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 316.25-328.73. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 316.25. Day target: 4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 336.01 (RR 0.57, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.8) -- R:R 0.57. Swing target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 344.99 (RR 1.28, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) -- R:R 1.28. Day target is 0.41x daily atr away; swing target is 0.92x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.11 to reach the zone, $12.48 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.28 runway to the target -- 0.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $336.01 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$0.96
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
54.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$0.50
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$20.00 (R:R 1:1.52)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.14)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand grinding • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $17.96–$18.14 S $18.35–$19.77
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand $16.82–$17.73
T1 R:R
1:0.21
R:R range
T1 1:0.21 → T3 1:1.83
Demand bottom / failure
$16.82
Demand top / hold area
$17.73
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m
Departure strength
Weak (0.96 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.83x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.3/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 18.35
1:0.21
Fresh
T2
2H/90m/1H supply @ 19.88
1:1.43
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/90m/1H supply @ 20.39
1:1.83
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand zone near $16.82, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: SOFI is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 16.82-17.73. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 16.82. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 18.35 (RR 0.21, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.7) -- R:R 0.21. Swing target: 2H/90m/1H supply @ 19.88 (RR 1.43, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.8) -- R:R 1.43. Day target is 0.28x daily atr away; swing target is 1.88x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.88x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $0.35 to reach the zone, $0.91 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $0.62 runway to the target -- 0.7:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $18.35 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$9.93
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
45.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$5.00
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$136.13 (R:R 1:3.82)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.46)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction below supply no trigger • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $154.01–$159.36 S $156.18–$161.19
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H supply $156.18–$161.19
T1 R:R
1:1.50
R:R range
T1 1:1.50 → T2 1:2.83
Supply top / failure
$161.19
Supply bottom / rejection
$156.18
Freshness
One successful retest (1 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H
Departure strength
Weak (0.07 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.79x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
6.4/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18
1:1.50
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 141.29
1:2.83
1 test
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H supply zone near $161.19, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: COIN is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 156.18-161.19. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 161.19. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 148.18 (RR 1.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.6) -- R:R 1.5. Swing target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 141.29 (RR 2.83, one_test, tests 1, quality 16.8) -- R:R 2.83. Day target is 0.79x daily atr away; swing target is 1.48x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Day-trade-shaped: no qualifying target sits far enough away (>= 1.5x daily ATR) to plan around a multi-day hold. Reversal geometry: $0.19 to reach the zone, $5.01 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $8.00 runway to the target -- 1.6:1. Expected move: hold this thick base and a controlled bounce to $148.18 nearby -- the validated reversal profile (backtest +0.18 avg R, ~47% win: grinding approach into a thick zone).
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$7.07
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
38.7 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.66
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$54.05 (R:R 1:3.24)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: 74% of the way to T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.04)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Price position
inside demand
Structure (5m / 15m)
Aligned bearish Bearish LH/LL / Bearish LH/LL
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $63.43–$68.76 S $71.18–$72.54
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
4H/3H supply $71.18–$72.54
T1 R:R
1:4.38
R:R range
T1 1:4.38 → T3 1:6.76
Supply top / failure
$72.54
Supply bottom / rejection
$71.18
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H
Departure strength
Moderate (-1.14 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Excellent (1.86x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.5/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D demand @ 49.08
1:4.38
Fresh
T2
1D demand @ 41.93
1:6.02
Fresh
T3
1D demand @ 38.72
1:6.76
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 4H/3H supply zone near $72.54, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: ASTS is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 71.18-72.54. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 72.54. Day target: 1D demand @ 49.08 (RR 4.38, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.1) -- R:R 4.38. Swing target: 1D demand @ 41.93 (RR 6.02, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.6) -- R:R 6.02. Day target is 2.7x daily atr away; swing target is 3.71x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.7x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.00 to reach the zone, $1.36 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $22.10 runway to the target -- 16.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $22.10 to $49.08 -- a long 16.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$36.15
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
38.3 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$15.63
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$500.61 (R:R 1:3.80)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: 93% of the way to T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$5.46)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $418.46–$455.00 S $505.65–$510.00
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
4H/1H demand $409.27–$412.55
T1 R:R
1:4.06
R:R range
T1 1:4.06 → T3 1:5.23
Demand bottom / failure
$409.27
Demand top / hold area
$412.55
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
4H,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.38 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.76x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
6.6/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 505.65
1:4.06
Fresh
T2
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 510.11
1:4.30
Fresh
T3
2H/90m/1H supply @ 527.91
1:5.23
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/1H demand zone near $409.27, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: APP is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 409.27-412.55. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 409.27. Day target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 505.65 (RR 4.06, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.7) -- R:R 4.06. Swing target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 510.11 (RR 4.30, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9) -- R:R 4.3. Day target is 2.14x daily atr away; swing target is 2.26x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 2.14x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $15.76 to reach the zone, $3.28 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $93.10 runway to the target -- 28.4:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $93.10 to $505.65 -- a long 28.4:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.27
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
55.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.30
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$173.20 (R:R 1:1.90)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.95)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $154.07–$156.85 S $169.22–$175.53
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $154.07–$156.85
T1 R:R
1:1.30
R:R range
T1 1:1.30 → T3 1:3.32
Demand bottom / failure
$154.07
Demand top / hold area
$156.85
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Moderate (1.02 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.81x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.1/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 169.22
1:1.30
Fresh
T2
4H/3H supply @ 179.50
1:2.85
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/90m/1H supply @ 182.55
1:3.32
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $154.07, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: CRM is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 154.07-156.85. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 154.07. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 169.22 (RR 1.30, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.4) -- R:R 1.3. Swing target: 4H/3H supply @ 179.50 (RR 2.85, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.9) -- R:R 2.85. Day target is 1.36x daily atr away; swing target is 3.0x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 3.0x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $3.82 to reach the zone, $2.78 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $12.37 runway to the target -- 4.5:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $12.37 to $169.22 -- a long 4.5:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$5.60
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
58.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$2.64
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$113.68 (R:R 1:3.72)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.85)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $101.77–$108.12 S $111.69–$115.36
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $99.47–$100.48
T1 R:R
1:3.06
R:R range
T1 1:3.06 → T3 1:7.87
Demand bottom / failure
$99.47
Demand top / hold area
$100.48
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.12 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.65x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
6.8/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 111.69
1:3.06
Fresh
T2
1D/1H supply @ 119.36
1:5.61
Fresh
T3
3H/90m/1H supply @ 126.17
1:7.87
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand zone near $99.47, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: NOW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 99.47-100.48. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 99.47. Day target: 1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 111.69 (RR 3.06, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.5) -- R:R 3.06. Swing target: 1D/1H supply @ 119.36 (RR 5.61, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.0) -- R:R 5.61. Day target is 1.64x daily atr away; swing target is 3.01x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 1 is 1.64x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $2.00 to reach the zone, $1.01 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $11.21 runway to the target -- 11.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $11.21 to $111.69 -- a long 11.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$19.89
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$7.40
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$356.20 (R:R 1:2.32)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$2.92)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Price position
inside demand
Structure (5m / 15m)
Mixed structure Range-bound / Bearish LH/LL
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $389.30–$399.38 S $397.24–$399.30
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $407.68–$413.16
T1 R:R
1:0.78
R:R range
T1 1:0.78 → T3 1:2.86
Supply top / failure
$413.16
Supply bottom / rejection
$407.68
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.73 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.71x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.3/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 382.58
1:0.78
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 354.42
1:2.42
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 346.91
1:2.86
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $413.16, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 407.68-413.16. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 413.16. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 382.58 (RR 0.78, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6) -- R:R 0.78. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 354.42 (RR 2.42, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.3) -- R:R 2.42. Day target is 0.67x daily atr away; swing target is 2.09x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.09x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $11.70 to reach the zone, $5.48 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $25.10 runway to the target -- 4.6:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $25.10 to $382.58 -- a long 4.6:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$6.75
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
51.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$3.20
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$136.99 (R:R 1:1.51)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.02)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Counter-structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $114.56–$117.67 S $130.63–$138.90
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/1H demand $114.56–$117.67
T1 R:R
1:0.80
R:R range
T1 1:0.80 → T3 1:3.19
Demand bottom / failure
$114.56
Demand top / hold area
$117.67
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,1H
Departure strength
Moderate (1.48 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Strong (1.4x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
10.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/90m/1H supply @ 130.63
1:0.80
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 140.98
1:1.96
Fresh
T3
4H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 152.01
1:3.19
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/1H demand zone near $114.56, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: PLTR is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 114.56-117.67. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 114.56. Day target: 1D/90m/1H supply @ 130.63 (RR 0.80, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.9) -- R:R 0.8. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 140.98 (RR 1.96, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) -- R:R 1.96. Day target is 1.06x daily atr away; swing target is 2.59x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.59x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $5.83 to reach the zone, $3.11 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $12.96 runway to the target -- 4.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $12.96 to $130.63 -- a long 4.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$19.89
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
47.2 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$7.40
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$356.20 (R:R 1:11.98)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$2.92)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Price position
inside demand
Structure (5m / 15m)
Mixed structure Range-bound / Bearish LH/LL
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $389.30–$399.38 S $397.24–$399.30
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1H supply $397.24–$399.30
T1 R:R
1:4.04
R:R range
T1 1:4.04 → T3 1:14.78
Supply top / failure
$399.30
Supply bottom / rejection
$397.24
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.64 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.8x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
4.9/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 382.58
1:4.04
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 354.42
1:12.52
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 346.91
1:14.78
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1H supply zone near $399.30, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: TSLA is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 397.24-399.3. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 399.3. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 382.58 (RR 4.04, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.6) -- R:R 4.04. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 354.42 (RR 12.52, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.3) -- R:R 12.52. Day target is 0.67x daily atr away; swing target is 2.09x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.09x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.26 to reach the zone, $2.06 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $14.66 runway to the target -- 7.1:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $14.66 to $382.58 -- a long 7.1:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$38.41
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
53.1 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$15.35
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$474.49 (R:R 1:3.63)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$5.65)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
absorption possible approaching supply with strength • gap between zones
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $494.00–$521.70 S $551.95–$559.50
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
2H/90m/1H supply $562.84–$572.50
T1 R:R
1:1.40
R:R range
T1 1:1.40 → T3 1:3.52
Supply top / failure
$572.50
Supply bottom / rejection
$562.84
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.52 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.7x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
6.2/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 521.70
1:1.40
Fresh
T2
90m/1H demand @ 488.21
1:2.98
Fresh
T3
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 476.72
1:3.52
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 2H/90m/1H supply zone near $572.50, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: AMD is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 562.84-572.5. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 572.5. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 521.70 (RR 1.40, fresh, tests 0, quality 19.6) -- R:R 1.4. Swing target: 90m/1H demand @ 488.21 (RR 2.98, fresh, tests 0, quality 12.7) -- R:R 2.98. Day target is 0.77x daily atr away; swing target is 1.64x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.64x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $11.53 to reach the zone, $9.66 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $41.14 runway to the target -- 4.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $41.14 to $521.70 -- a long 4.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.03
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
39.4 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$4.43
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$85.44 (R:R 1:3.76)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R -0.04 (N=162 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.48)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Price position
inside supply
Structure (5m / 15m)
Aligned bearish Bearish LH/LL / Bearish LH/LL
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
With structure
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching supply with strength • gap into supply
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for failure to close above supply, upper-wick/absorption behavior, then bearish follow-through away from the zone.
Nearest demand / supply
D $101.79–$102.39 S $105.09–$106.17
Scenario
Supply Rejection — Puts
Zone
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $109.58–$110.85
T1 R:R
1:0.58
R:R range
T1 1:0.58 → T3 1:3.93
Supply top / failure
$110.85
Supply bottom / rejection
$109.58
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
1D,4H,3H,2H,90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (-0.77 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.81x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
9.4/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1H demand @ 102.39
1:0.58
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 95.60
1:1.86
Fresh
T3
4H/2H/90m demand @ 84.54
1:3.93
Fresh
Puts confirmation checklist
□ supply test
□ rejection candle
□ lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP
□ bearish continuation/DBD
□ downside volume response
□ market context weakening
Plan: If price tests and rejects the 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply zone near $110.85, stays below the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms lower lows on the 5m with downside volume, monitor for a short toward the next demand zone.
Daily trend: INTC is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 109.58-110.85. Setup: Supply Rejection Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening. Invalidation: 110.85. Day target: 1H demand @ 102.39 (RR 0.58, fresh, tests 0, quality 8.5) -- R:R 0.58. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m demand @ 95.60 (RR 1.86, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.0) -- R:R 1.86. Day target is 0.31x daily atr away; swing target is 0.99x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 2.09x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $4.07 to reach the zone, $1.27 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $7.19 runway to the target -- 5.7:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $7.19 to $102.39 -- a long 5.7:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$10.06
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
43.8 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$5.07
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$370.28 (R:R 1:1.07)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$1.52)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
high volume approaching demand with weakness • no meaningful gap
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $335.39–$341.18 S $355.53–$362.90
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
4H/3H/2H/1H demand $331.35–$332.93
T1 R:R
1:0.29
R:R range
T1 1:0.29 → T3 1:1.39
Demand bottom / failure
$331.35
Demand top / hold area
$332.93
Freshness
One successful retest (1 tests)
Confluence
4H,3H,2H,1H
Departure strength
Strong (1.8 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Weak (0.72x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
7.5/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 355.53
1:0.29
Fresh
T2
1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 365.75
1:0.83
Fresh
T3
1D/90m supply @ 376.37
1:1.39
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 4H/3H/2H/1H demand zone near $331.35, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: GOOGL is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 331.35-332.93. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 331.35. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 355.53 (RR 0.29, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.4) -- R:R 0.29. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 365.75 (RR 0.83, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.5) -- R:R 0.83. Day target is 0.53x daily atr away; swing target is 1.55x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.55x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $17.23 to reach the zone, $1.58 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $22.60 runway to the target -- 14.3:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $22.60 to $355.53 -- a long 14.3:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
How far price is from the zone, in percent, dollars, and multiples of daily ATR. The ATR multiple is the most useful -- under ~0.3x the zone is right here; a large multiple means price has to travel a lot of a typical day just to arrive.
Daily ATR
$2.48
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
39.6 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Typical opening range
$1.27
Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$78.38 (R:R 1:1.94)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
40% win rate, avg R +0.04 (N=178 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Expected favorable travel
0.15× ATR (~$0.37)
How far similar setups historically ran in the trade's favor before reversing, in daily-ATR terms and dollars. This is the reward number that matters when your risk is a fixed 20% option stop, not the zone width -- so it does not get distorted by how wide the zone is (unlike the zone-based R:R).
Whether the short-term (5m/15m) higher-high/lower-low structure agrees with the trade direction. Discretionary context only -- it is not tracked in the backtest, so unlike the momentum/geometry reads it has no measured edge. Use it as a "does the tape agree" gut check, not a signal.
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
"With structure" means the trade runs the same way as the current 5m/15m trend; "Counter-structure" means it fights it (normal for reversals). Same caveat as Structure above -- context, not a validated edge.
Volume / movement context
volume expansion with direction approaching demand with weakness • gap into demand
Is volume confirming the move? "volume expansion with direction" backtested best (+0.16 avg R); "absorption possible" was negative (-0.04) -- the move is being faded. This is the part of movement context that actually carries an edge.
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $72.33–$73.69 S $74.42–$75.08
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
1D/3H demand $70.86–$71.70
T1 R:R
1:0.39
R:R range
T1 1:0.39 → T3 1:1.53
Demand bottom / failure
$70.86
Demand top / hold area
$71.70
Freshness
One successful retest (1 tests)
Confluence
1D,3H
Departure strength
Moderate (1.37 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Excellent (1.64x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
8.0/10
Target ladder:
Tier
Zone
R:R
Fresh
T1
2H/1H supply @ 74.42
1:0.39
Fresh
T2
2H/90m/1H supply @ 75.97
1:1.00
Fresh
T3
4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 77.33
1:1.53
Fresh
Calls confirmation checklist
□ demand test
□ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
□ reversal candle
□ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
□ bullish continuation/RBR
□ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 1D/3H demand zone near $70.86, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: NFLX is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 70.86-71.7. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 70.86. Day target: 2H/1H supply @ 74.42 (RR 0.39, fresh, tests 0, quality 11.4) -- R:R 0.39. Swing target: 2H/90m/1H supply @ 75.97 (RR 1.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 13.0) -- R:R 1.0. Day target is 0.4x daily atr away; swing target is 1.03x daily atr away. Note: estimated R:R is below the configured minimum (2.5) -- not a final actionable setup as-is. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.58x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Reversal geometry: $1.72 to reach the zone, $0.84 zone thickness (the base you're standing on; stop beyond its far side), $2.72 runway to the target -- 3.2:1. Expected move: a sharp rejection off the zone running the full $2.72 to $74.42 -- a long 3.2:1. Bigger reward, but this 1:3 avenue was ~breakeven in backtest, so it needs the bounce to really extend, not just tag the zone.
Developing Scenario Watchlist
Symbol
Contract
Scenario
Status
Setup Grade
Distance
T1 R:R
R:R Range Summary
Freshness
Confirmation Checklist
NET
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.19%
1:0.17
T1 1:0.17 → T3 1:4.67
One successful retest (1 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
NET
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.27%
1:1.46
T1 1:1.46
One successful retest (1 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
UBER
Calls
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.31%
1:0.34
T1 1:0.34 → T3 1:2.42
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
CRM
Puts
Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts
Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R
B
0.33%
1:0.99
T1 1:0.99 → T2 1:2.40
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure