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Supply & Demand Scenario Watchlist — 2026-07-13

Generated: 2026-07-13 11:07 PM EDT America/New_York
Price source: latest downloaded market price; timestamp-aware overrides only
Final report filter: setup grades A+ and above, minimum T1 R:R 1:2.50
Entry-confirmation score is intentionally reserved for backtesting/trade review, not watchlist inclusion.
Latest OHLCV bar seen: 2026-07-10 03:55 PM EDT (5M regular-session source)
Current price uses the latest downloaded market bar/quote snapshot for proximity; zones are built from regular-session candles only. Candidates are excluded entirely while current price is inside any active zone because that state is unresolved consolidation/chop. Stale quote overrides are ignored when downloaded bars are newer.

Final setups

All candidates

126

Bullish / bearish

3 / 2

Avg. distance

3.07%

Excellent: 1:4+ Strong: 1:2.5–1:3.99 Acceptable: 1:2.0–1:2.49 Watch only: 1:1.5–1:1.99 Poor: <1:1.5

Quick View

Section	Symbol	Contract	Scenario	Setup Grade	Current Price	Zone	Distance	T1 R:R	R:R Range	Target Ladder
Future	HOOD	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	A+	$111.67	4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $107.56–$108.73	3.68%	1:6.00	T1 1:8.38 → T3 1:14.79	T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 101.87 (RR 8.38, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.7) \| T2: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 97.10 (RR 12.45, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.4) \| T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 94.37 (RR 14.79, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.0) \| T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 89.63 (RR 18.84, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.1) \| T5: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 84.61 (RR 23.13, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.1)
Near-Term	QQQ	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	A+	$718.16	4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand $707.88–$711.30	1.43%	1:3.23	T1 1:3.23 → T3 1:8.70	T1: 1D demand @ 707.13 (RR 3.23, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 7.3) \| T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 702.11 (RR 4.69, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2) \| T3: 4H/3H/2H demand @ 688.40 (RR 8.70, one_test, tests 1, quality 11.2) \| T4: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 682.53 (RR 10.42, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.1) \| T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 674.66 (RR 12.72, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.8)
Future	PANW	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	A+	$325.95	4H/2H/90m/1H supply $336.01–$338.37	3.81%	1:6.00	T1 1:8.07 → T2 1:11.94	T1: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 344.99 (RR 8.07, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) \| T2: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 354.12 (RR 11.94, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.1)
Future	IONQ	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	A+	$41.97	4H/3H/1H supply $43.17–$43.63	3.96%	1:5.20	T1 1:5.20 → T3 1:20.50	T1: 1D/2H/90m/1H supply @ 44.36 (RR 5.20, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.6) \| T2: 1D/2H/90m/1H supply @ 48.87 (RR 15.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.0) \| T3: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 51.40 (RR 20.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.6) \| T4: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 56.61 (RR 31.83, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.5) \| T5: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 65.33 (RR 50.78, fresh, tests 0, quality 18.0)
Future	MSFT	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	A+	$387.20	1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply $392.84–$396.84	2.49%	1:2.54	T1 1:2.54 → T3 1:8.12	T1: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 397.36 (RR 2.54, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.5) \| T2: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 409.20 (RR 5.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) \| T3: 90m/1H supply @ 419.69 (RR 8.12, fresh, tests 0, quality 10.0) \| T4: 1H supply @ 422.25 (RR 8.76, fresh, tests 0, quality 8.4) \| T5: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 425.48 (RR 9.57, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.1)

Final / Actionable Setups

📉 HOOD — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts Bearish Future DBR/RBR Aligned bullish Counter-structure Obs 53.7 Confluence 5

Current price

$111.67
as of 2026-07-13 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket

Distance to zone

3.68%

Daily ATR

$6.87

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

61.5 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.

Typical opening range

$3.63

Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.

Realistic swing target (2x ATR)

$97.93 (R:R 1:4.67)

Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.

Historical performance

38% win rate, avg R +0.24 (N=40 historical trades)

How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.

Price position

inside demand

Structure

Aligned bullish
Bullish HH/HL / Mixed / Transition

Trade vs structure

Counter-structure

Movement context

above demand no trigger
high_volume • gap into demand

Watch for

Watch for strong RTH close below demand, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest below the zone.

Nearest demand / supply

D $109.09–$112.73
S $112.23–$118.65

Scenario

Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Zone

4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$107.56–$108.73

T1 R:R

1:6.00

R:R range

T1 1:8.38 → T3 1:14.79

Demand top / risk area

$108.73

Demand bottom / breakdown

$107.56

Freshness

Fresh / untested (0 tests)

Confluence

4H,3H,2H,90m,1H

Departure strength

Excellent (2.09 ATR)

How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.

Departure volume

Excellent (2.23x avg)

Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.

Setup quality score

10.0/10

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 101.87	1:8.38	Fresh
T2	4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 97.10	1:12.45	Fresh
T3	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 94.37	1:14.79	Fresh

Puts confirmation checklist

□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure

Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand breakdown level near $107.56, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.

Daily trend: HOOD is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 107.56-108.73. Setup: Demand Breakdown Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure. Invalidation: 108.73. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 101.87 (RR 8.38, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.7) -- R:R 8.38. Swing target: 4H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 97.10 (RR 12.45, fresh, tests 0, quality 14.4) -- R:R 12.45. Day target is 1.43x daily atr away; swing target is 2.12x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.12x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $4.11 approach to the trigger, $1.17 zone thickness (the stop), $5.69 runway to the next zone -- 4.9:1 at the trigger, 1.43x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.60x daily ATR before entry; the full move is 1.43x daily ATR -- more than a typical day delivers.

📉 QQQ — Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Setup Grade A+ Puts Bearish Near-Term RBR Range-bound / insufficient Mixed / no clear structure edge Obs 81.0 Confluence 5

Current price

$718.16
as of 2026-07-13 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket

Distance to zone

1.43%

Daily ATR

$15.76

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

52.8 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.

Typical opening range

$4.50

Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.

Realistic swing target (2x ATR)

$686.65 (R:R 1:4.59)

Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.

Historical performance

38% win rate, avg R +0.24 (N=40 historical trades)

How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.

Price position

inside demand

Structure

Range-bound / insufficient
Range-bound / Range-bound

Trade vs structure

Mixed / no clear structure edge

Movement context

approaching demand with weakness
absorption_possible • gap into demand

Watch for

Watch for strong RTH close below demand, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest below the zone.

Nearest demand / supply

D $715.12–$718.74
S $719.93–$731.92

Scenario

Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts

Zone

4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand
$707.88–$711.30

T1 R:R

1:3.23

R:R range

T1 1:3.23 → T3 1:8.70

Demand top / risk area

$711.30

Demand bottom / breakdown

$707.88

Freshness

Fresh / untested (0 tests)

Confluence

4H,3H,2H,90m,1H

Departure strength

Moderate (1.07 ATR)

How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.

Departure volume

Weak (0.73x avg)

Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.

Setup quality score

8.9/10

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D demand @ 707.13	1:3.23	2 tests
T2	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 702.11	1:4.69	Fresh
T3	4H/3H/2H demand @ 688.40	1:8.70	1 test

Puts confirmation checklist

□ 5M close below demand
□ hold/retest below zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ below 9EMA/VWAP
□ lower-low or lower-high structure

Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close below the 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand breakdown level near $707.88, followed by continuation below 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken demand zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next demand zones below.

Daily trend: QQQ is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading below its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Pre-market plan: Bias: Bearish (Puts). Level of interest: 707.88-711.3. Setup: Demand Breakdown Watch. Confirmation required: Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure. Invalidation: 711.3. Day target: 1D demand @ 707.13 (RR 3.23, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 7.3) -- R:R 3.23. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H demand @ 702.11 (RR 4.69, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.2) -- R:R 4.69. Day target is 0.7x daily atr away; swing target is 1.02x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 3 is 1.89x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $10.28 approach to the trigger, $3.42 zone thickness (the stop), $0.75 runway to the next zone -- 0.2:1 at the trigger, 0.70x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.65x daily ATR before entry; runway past the zone is only 0.2x the stop width (backtest: below 2.5x averaged negative).

📈 PANW — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls Bullish Future RBD Mixed structure Mixed / no clear structure edge Obs 56.3 Confluence 4

Current price

$325.95
as of 2026-07-13 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket

Distance to zone

3.81%

Daily ATR

$17.26

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

58.5 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
RSI above neutral (backtest: 38% win rate, +0.15 avg R in this bucket)

Typical opening range

$7.31

Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.

Realistic swing target (2x ATR)

$360.47 (R:R 1:3.43)

Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.

Historical performance

44% win rate, avg R +0.24 (N=54 historical trades)

How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.

Price position

inside supply

Structure

Mixed structure
Range-bound / Mixed / Transition

Trade vs structure

Mixed / no clear structure edge

Movement context

below supply no trigger
absorption_possible • gap into supply

Watch for

Watch for a strong RTH close above supply, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest above the zone.

Nearest demand / supply

D $324.15–$325.29
S $325.44–$326.59

Scenario

Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Zone

4H/2H/90m/1H supply
$336.01–$338.37

T1 R:R

1:6.00

R:R range

T1 1:8.07 → T2 1:11.94

Supply bottom / risk area

$336.01

Supply top / breakout

$338.37

Freshness

Fresh / untested (0 tests)

Confluence

4H,2H,90m,1H

Departure strength

Weak (-0.64 ATR)

How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.

Departure volume

Weak (0.25x avg)

Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.

Setup quality score

7.4/10

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 344.99	1:8.07	Fresh
T2	4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 354.12	1:11.94	Fresh

Calls confirmation checklist

□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure

Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 4H/2H/90m/1H supply breakout level near $338.37, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.

Daily trend: PANW is in a bullish daily trend (Bullish HH/HL), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.

Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 336.01-338.37. Setup: Supply Breakout Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure. Invalidation: 336.01. Day target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 344.99 (RR 8.07, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.9) -- R:R 8.07. Swing target: 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 354.12 (RR 11.94, fresh, tests 0, quality 15.1) -- R:R 11.94. Day target is 1.1x daily atr away; swing target is 1.63x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.63x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $12.42 approach to the trigger, $2.36 zone thickness (the stop), $6.62 runway to the next zone -- 2.8:1 at the trigger, 1.10x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.72x daily ATR before entry.

📈 IONQ — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls Bullish Future DBD/RBD Aligned bearish Counter-structure Obs 73.4 Confluence 4

Current price

$41.97
as of 2026-07-13 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket

Distance to zone

3.96%

Daily ATR

$4.13

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

33.7 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
RSI below neutral (backtest: 34% win rate, +0.10 avg R in this bucket)

Typical opening range

$2.03

Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.

Realistic swing target (2x ATR)

$50.23 (R:R 1:6.88)

Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.

Historical performance

44% win rate, avg R +0.24 (N=54 historical trades)

How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.

Price position

inside demand

Structure

Aligned bearish
Bearish LH/LL / Mixed / Transition

Trade vs structure

Counter-structure

Movement context

rejecting from supply
absorption_possible • gap into demand

Watch for

Watch for a strong RTH close above supply, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest above the zone.

Nearest demand / supply

D $39.77–$43.17
S $43.17–$43.63

Scenario

Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Zone

4H/3H/1H supply
$43.17–$43.63

T1 R:R

1:5.20

R:R range

T1 1:5.20 → T3 1:20.50

Supply bottom / risk area

$43.17

Supply top / breakout

$43.63

Freshness

Fresh / untested (0 tests)

Confluence

4H,3H,1H

Departure strength

Weak (-0.26 ATR)

How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.

Departure volume

Weak (0.58x avg)

Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.

Setup quality score

7.3/10

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/2H/90m/1H supply @ 44.36	1:5.20	Fresh
T2	1D/2H/90m/1H supply @ 48.87	1:15.00	Fresh
T3	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 51.40	1:20.50	Fresh

Calls confirmation checklist

□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure

Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 4H/3H/1H supply breakout level near $43.63, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.

Daily trend: IONQ is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading below its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.

Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 43.17-43.63. Setup: Supply Breakout Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure. Invalidation: 43.17. Day target: 1D/2H/90m/1H supply @ 44.36 (RR 5.20, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.6) -- R:R 5.2. Swing target: 1D/2H/90m/1H supply @ 48.87 (RR 15.00, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.0) -- R:R 15.0. Day target is 0.58x daily atr away; swing target is 1.67x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.67x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $1.66 approach to the trigger, $0.46 zone thickness (the stop), $0.73 runway to the next zone -- 1.6:1 at the trigger, 0.58x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.40x daily ATR before entry; runway past the zone is only 1.6x the stop width (backtest: below 2.5x averaged negative).

📈 MSFT — Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Setup Grade A+ Calls Bullish Future DBD/RBD Mixed structure Mixed / no clear structure edge Obs 69.0 Confluence 9

Current price

$387.20
as of 2026-07-13 08:10 AM EDT — Premarket

Distance to zone

2.49%

Daily ATR

$12.68

Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.

Daily RSI (14)

47.5 (neutral)

Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
RSI neutral (backtest: 34% win rate, -0.14 avg R in this bucket)

Typical opening range

$5.41

Median 9:30-9:44 ET high-low range over the last 20 sessions, in dollars -- a calibration reference for whether today's actual open (once it forms) looks wide or quiet for this name.

Realistic swing target (2x ATR)

$412.56 (R:R 1:4.50)

Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.

Historical performance

44% win rate, avg R +0.24 (N=54 historical trades)

How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.

Price position

inside supply

Structure

Mixed structure
Range-bound / Mixed / Transition

Trade vs structure

Mixed / no clear structure edge

Movement context

approaching supply grinding
absorption_possible • gap into supply

Watch for

Watch for a strong RTH close above supply, opening-volume confirmation, and hold/retest above the zone.

Nearest demand / supply

D $373.35–$384.60
S $386.74–$390.16

Scenario

Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls

Zone

1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply
$392.84–$396.84

T1 R:R

1:2.54

R:R range

T1 1:2.54 → T3 1:8.12

Supply bottom / risk area

$392.84

Supply top / breakout

$396.84

Freshness

Fresh / untested (0 tests)

Confluence

1D,3H,2H,90m,1H

Departure strength

Moderate (-1.34 ATR)

How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.

Departure volume

Average (1.14x avg)

Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.

Setup quality score

8.5/10

Target ladder:

Tier	Zone	R:R	Fresh
T1	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 397.36	1:2.54	Fresh
T2	1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 409.20	1:5.50	Fresh
T3	90m/1H supply @ 419.69	1:8.12	Fresh

Calls confirmation checklist

□ 5M close above supply
□ hold/retest above zone
□ volume expands on break or continuation
□ above 9EMA/VWAP
□ higher-high or higher-low structure

Plan: Watch for a confirmed 5m close above the 1D/3H/2H/90m/1H supply breakout level near $396.84, followed by continuation above 9EMA/VWAP with volume. The broken supply zone becomes the risk area; targets are the next supply zones above.

Daily trend: MSFT is in a bearish daily trend (Bearish LH/LL), trading above its 20-day average and below its 50-day average.

Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 392.84-396.84. Setup: Supply Breakout Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure. Invalidation: 392.84. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 397.36 (RR 2.54, fresh, tests 0, quality 16.5) -- R:R 2.54. Swing target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 409.20 (RR 5.50, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.2) -- R:R 5.5. Day target is 0.8x daily atr away; swing target is 1.74x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).

Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 1.74x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one. Trade geometry: $9.64 approach to the trigger, $4.00 zone thickness (the stop), $0.52 runway to the next zone -- 0.1:1 at the trigger, 0.80x daily ATR total. Not textbook geometry: the approach alone burns 0.76x daily ATR before entry; runway past the zone is only 0.1x the stop width (backtest: below 2.5x averaged negative).

Developing Scenario Watchlist

Symbol	Contract	Scenario	Status	Setup Grade	Distance	T1 R:R	R:R Range Summary	Freshness	Confirmation Checklist
ANET	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.12%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AMZN	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.14%	1:0.82	T1 1:0.82 → T3 1:3.54	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PANW	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.20%	1:5.59	T1 1:5.59 → T3 1:15.65	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AAPL	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.22%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
CRWD	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.32%	1:6.00	T1 1:10.25 → T3 1:28.12	One successful retest (1 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SPY	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.34%	1:0.55	T1 1:0.55 → T3 1:3.05	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PLTR	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.35%	1:0.22	T1 1:0.22 → T3 1:7.56	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
NET	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.38%	1:1.63	T1 1:1.63 → T3 1:9.16	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
QQQ	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.39%	1:1.31	T1 1:1.31 → T3 1:3.06	One successful retest (1 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
UBER	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.40%	1:6.00	T1 1:9.93 → T3 1:18.37	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
HOOD	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.50%	1:0.42	T1 1:0.42 → T3 1:2.09	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PANW	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.55%	1:4.48	T1 1:4.48 → T3 1:28.41	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
SPY	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.56%	1:0.21	T1 1:0.21	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
CRWD	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	At zone: needs confirmation	B	0.60%	1:6.00	T1 1:19.23	One successful retest (1 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NVDA	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.72%	1:1.83	T1 1:1.83 → T3 1:9.20	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
RBLX	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Near zone: developing	B	0.89%	1:5.11	T1 1:5.11 → T3 1:32.83	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SNOW	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.89%	1:0.21	T1 1:0.21 → T3 1:3.18	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SMCI	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.90%	1:0.17	T1 1:0.17 → T3 1:1.01	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
APP	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.90%	1:0.24	T1 1:0.24 → T3 1:1.68	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
QQQ	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	0.96%	1:0.17	T1 1:0.17 → T2 1:1.71	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPY	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.01%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
APP	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.04%	1:0.24	T1 1:0.24 → T3 1:2.57	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
SHOP	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.06%	1:1.00	T1 1:1.00 → T3 1:3.52	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NFLX	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.06%	1:1.32	T1 1:1.32 → T3 1:4.61	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
ARM	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.07%	1:1.08	T1 1:1.08 → T3 1:9.66	One successful retest (1 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
TSLA	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.19%	1:0.32	T1 1:0.32 → T3 1:2.03	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AVGO	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.19%	1:0.66	T1 1:0.66 → T3 1:7.43	Multiple retests (3 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
PLTR	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Near zone: developing	B	1.29%	1:6.00	T1 1:7.94 → T3 1:15.57	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
AMD	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.30%	1:2.04	T1 1:2.04 → T3 1:6.07	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
AVGO	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.35%	1:0.41	T1 1:0.41 → T3 1:1.30	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
MSFT	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.46%	1:0.27	T1 1:0.27 → T3 1:3.58	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
PLTR	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	A+	1.50%	1:2.28	T1 1:2.28 → T3 1:16.82	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
QQQ	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.54%	1:0.12	T1 1:0.12 → T2 1:1.15	Multiple retests (2 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
PANW	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.57%	1:1.17	T1 1:1.17 → T3 1:3.29	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
SPY	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.61%	1:1.74	T1 1:1.74 → T3 1:4.05	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
NET	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.61%	1:1.42	T1 1:1.42	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
UBER	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	A+	1.64%	1:2.47	T1 1:2.47 → T3 1:10.79	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
TEM	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Near zone: developing	B	1.70%	1:6.00	T1 1:8.47 → T3 1:23.37	One successful retest (1 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
NET	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.75%	1:0.64	T1 1:0.64 → T3 1:3.58	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
ANET	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	1.80%	1:2.48	T1 1:2.48 → T3 1:5.54	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure

Zone Map / Research Context

Symbol	Contract	Scenario	Status	Setup Grade	Distance	T1 R:R	R:R Range Summary	Freshness	Confirmation Checklist
GOOGL	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	0.60%	1:2.09	T1 1:2.09 → T3 1:4.93	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
NOW	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	1.29%	1:1.34	T1 1:1.34 → T3 1:9.00	Multiple retests (3 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
SMCI	Puts	Demand Breakdown / Continuation — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	2.10%	1:0.25	T1 1:0.25 → T3 1:4.18	Multiple retests (2 tests)	Puts: 5M close below demand; hold/retest below zone; volume expands on break or continuation; below 9EMA/VWAP; lower-low or lower-high structure
GOOGL	Puts	Supply Rejection — Puts	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	2.77%	1:0.73	T1 1:0.73 → T3 1:1.72	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Puts: supply test; rejection candle; lose/hold below 9EMA and VWAP; bearish continuation/DBD; downside volume response; market context weakening
AMD	Calls	Supply Breakout / Continuation — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	B	2.77%	1:2.44	T1 1:2.44 → T2 1:4.69	Multiple retests (4 tests)	Calls: 5M close above supply; hold/retest above zone; volume expands on break or continuation; above 9EMA/VWAP; higher-high or higher-low structure
AAPL	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	3.14%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
GOOGL	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	4.13%	1:0.10	T1 1:0.10 → T3 1:1.00	Multiple retests (4 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
ANET	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	4.17%	n/a	No valid target	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving
AMD	Calls	Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls	Blocked: nearest zone limits R:R	C	4.18%	1:0.15	T1 1:0.15 → T3 1:0.70	Fresh / untested (0 tests)	Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving

v0.29 separates setup quality from entry confirmation. The watchlist prepares Calls/Puts scenarios, target ladders, R:R tiers, and confirmation checklists; entry-confirmation scoring belongs to backtesting/trade review.