📈 NVDA — Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Setup Grade A
Calls
Bullish
Immediate
DBR/RBR
Range-bound / insufficient
Mixed / no clear structure edge
Obs 62.6
Confluence 2
Current price
$210.58
as of 2026-07-10 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket
as of 2026-07-10 07:55 PM EDT — Aftermarket
Distance to zone
0.12%
Daily ATR
$6.80
Average daily price range over the last 14 sessions -- use it to judge how far a target really is in real terms, not just percent.
Daily RSI (14)
57.0 (neutral)
Relative Strength Index over the last 14 daily sessions -- 70+ is often read as overbought, 30 or below as oversold. Informational only, not used to grade or filter setups.
Realistic swing target (2x ATR)
$224.18 (R:R 1:16.19)
Price if this moves 2x its daily ATR from here, and the R:R that implies against the failure level below -- a more achievable goal than a far zone-based target. At that pace: clears T1.
Historical performance
33% win rate, avg R +0.03 (N=97 historical trades)
How this exact setup + grade combination has actually performed across the backtest's trade history -- from the same engine used to validate this strategy, not a live guarantee.
Price position
inside supply
Structure
Range-bound / insufficient
Mixed / Transition / Mixed / Transition
Mixed / Transition / Mixed / Transition
Trade vs structure
Mixed / no clear structure edge
Movement context
above demand no trigger
volume_expansion_with_direction • gap into supply
volume_expansion_with_direction • gap into supply
Watch for
Watch for demand tap, absorption or lower-wick rejection, reclaim of demand top, then bullish follow-through.
Nearest demand / supply
D $209.74–$210.32
S $208.65–$213.99
S $208.65–$213.99
Scenario
Demand Reversal / Hold — Calls
Zone
90m/1H demand
$209.74–$210.32
$209.74–$210.32
T1 R:R
1:6.00
R:R range
T1 1:9.69 → T3 1:28.01
Demand bottom / failure
$209.74
Demand top / hold area
$210.32
Freshness
Fresh / untested (0 tests)
Confluence
90m,1H
Departure strength
Weak (0.28 ATR)
How forcefully price left this zone, in ATR multiples -- bigger means more conviction behind the move away from it.
Departure volume
Average (0.96x avg)
Volume on the departure candle vs. its trailing 20-bar average -- bigger means more participation behind that move.
Setup quality score
5.5/10
Target ladder:
| Tier | Zone | R:R | Fresh |
|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 218.72 | 1:9.69 | Fresh |
| T2 | 2H/90m/1H supply @ 228.32 | 1:21.12 | 2 tests |
| T3 | 4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 234.11 | 1:28.01 | Fresh |
Calls confirmation checklist
- □ demand test
- □ selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone
- □ reversal candle
- □ reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP
- □ bullish continuation/RBR
- □ market context improving
Plan: If price tests and holds above the 90m/1H demand zone near $209.74, stays above the open, 9EMA, and VWAP, and forms bullish 5m candles with increasing volume, monitor for a long toward the next supply zone.
Daily trend: NVDA is in a range-bound/mixed daily trend (Mixed / Transition), trading above its 20-day average and above its 50-day average.
Pre-market plan: Bias: Bullish (Calls). Level of interest: 209.74-210.32. Setup: Demand Hold/Reversal Watch. Confirmation required: Calls: demand test; selling volume fades or stabilizes into zone; reversal candle; reclaim/hold 9EMA and VWAP; bullish continuation/RBR; market context improving. Invalidation: 209.74. Day target: 1D/4H/3H/2H/90m/1H supply @ 218.72 (RR 9.69, fresh, tests 0, quality 17.4) -- R:R 9.69. Swing target: 2H/90m/1H supply @ 228.32 (RR 21.12, multiple_tests, tests 2, quality 5.3, soft obstacle: low_quality) -- R:R 21.12. Day target is 1.2x daily atr away; swing target is 2.61x daily atr away. Contract expiration and position size: not available (no account-equity/options-chain data in this system).
Trade shape: Swing-shaped: target 2 is 2.61x daily ATR away with elevated volume support -- more likely to need multiple days than one.